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Rick Perry should harness an imploding Europe to define his message to GOP voters.

It is said that history is written by the victors. In the case of the 2012 election it’s hard to see how that’s even possible given that with the current trajectory of the GOP primaries we’re all going to end up losers.

Rarely does it occur that choices and consequences of government policies are so starkly presented for an electorate as they are today. Unfortunately, I’m not talking about the GOP field as an alternative to our big government president.

Today, the national debt stands at approximately $15 trillion, or almost $50,000 per American citizen. $4.6 trillion of that debt was run up under Barack Obama. That exceeds the combined amount of debt accumulated by every president from George Washington through the first George Bush. Everyone knows that too much debt is a bad thing. Even Candidate Barack Obama knew enough and told us on the campaign trail:

The problem is, that the way Bush has done it over the last eight years is to take out a credit card from the Bank of China in the name of our children, driving up our national debt from $5 trillion for the first 42 presidents, # 43 added $4 trillion by his lonesome so that now we have over $9 trillion of debt that we are going to have to pay back, $30,000 for every man woman and child. That’s irresponsible. It’s unpatriotic.

So what George Bush accomplished in eight years, Barack Obama has accomplished in three. And it’s only going to get worse. By Candidate Obama’s rationale that must make President Obama über unpatriotic.

Well, the President will tell you that the policies behind that spending were necessary to save the country from a depression and are finally beginning to bear fruit. He’d point to December’s unemployment rate that dropped to 8.5%, from a peak of 10.1% in November of ’09. As the fourth best president in our history, he’s obviously doing something right.

Or maybe not… When Barack Obama took office the population of the United States was 306 million and there were 186 million people working with an additional 14.9 million people looking for work, resulting in an unemployment rate of 7.4%. (14.9 million / 201 million) That 201 million is called the Workforce and it’s the key to understanding unemployment numbers. Workforce is defined as the following:

Total number of a country’s population employed in the armed forces and civilian jobs, plus those unemployed people who are actually seeking paying work.

Today, three years after Barack Obama took office the population has grown to 312 million but the workforce has actually shrunk from 201 million to 199 million. That means that despite adding 6 million people, the number of Americans working or actively seeking work has dropped by 2 million. Add to that the 4 million working age new Americans and you have a total of 6 million more people not working or even looking since Barack Obama took office. That’s how you get to 8.5% unemployment; you get people to stop looking for a job in the first place. He’s definitely doing something, but it’s not good. Nor is it unprecedented.

The big government policies that Barack Obama is shoving down American’s throats are this very day showing themselves to be utterly unsustainable a mere 5,000 miles away. Within the last week S&P downgraded the debt of nine (9) European countries, including EU giants France, Italy and Spain. The Euro is on the brink and the economies are disasters. If that were not bad enough, unemployment in Europe is so high (10% overall and 9% in France, 14% in Ireland, 18% in Greece and a whopping 23% in Spain) that a continent already unable to replace itself is shrinking even faster as an increasing number of its citizens emigrate to seek jobs elsewhere. In Greece the economic problems are so bad that parents are now abandoning babies and children at hospitals and churches across the country.

Which brings us back to the American election of 2012. The big government policies of Barack Obama are bringing the train wreck that is Europe to our shores. Unfortunately, the candidates leading the GOP charge to unseat him are little better, despite their protestations to the contrary. They claim to be conservatives, but they are not. They are big government advocates, just less so than Barack Obama.

Even more unfortunate is the fact that the only candidate in the GOP field who actually has a record of pursuing small government policies is seemingly unable to articulate those ideas to the average voter. If that candidate, Rick Perry, is to have any chance at all to resurrect his campaign he will have to do something dramatically different and he’ll have to do it soon. He should drop the oafish Bain Capital attacks and instead focus in a laser like fashion on smaller government. That is the one issue that every American can relate to regardless of age, sex, race etc. The rapacious nature of government must be demonstrated in a way they understand. In South Carolina, where the NLRB just tried to kill a Boeing plant, that message should resonate particularly well.

And how should he do that? With PowerPoint of course. PowerPoint might be a stretch, but not by much. The image of a burning Europe with its big government economies in ruin, double digit unemployment, rioters in the streets and babies abandoned on the sidewalks makes a perfect foil for the big government policies of both Barack Obama and the rest of the GOP field. Those are the kinds of images that voters can relate to because they see more and more of them on our own shores. And of course PowerPoint would come in handy when trying to remember what agencies to cut…

It would be a shame if when the history of the 2012 election is written Rick Perry is reduced to a 53 second footnote. Particularly because that means that some big government advocate won. Despite how damaging that sub one minute episode was, it need not be fatal to his campaign, but the time is getting short. With only 2% of the delegates decided, Rick Perry still has an opportunity to resurrect his campaign and maybe change history. His only hope is to harness the power of what Americans clearly don’t want, which is on such brilliant display right across the pond. With the images of Athens on fire, London under siege of by rioters and Naples covered in trash, even the least engaged voter can understand the correlation between big government and economic ruin and social failure. It’s up to Rick Perry to figure out how to make that case. If he does he has a shot at winning. If he can’t he’s destined to be a footnote in American political history.

COMMENTS

  • pjpetzold

    Rick Perry is the only small government conservative left in this race, and the only one that would be willing to do what needs to be done. The biggest obstacle I think is that he needs to convince people that he CAN win. A lot of people, I believe, know that he’s the best person for the job, however they don’t believe that he’s able to win and so are willing to settle on less qualified and less capable candidates that don’t have the history of standing firm as a small government conservative. If people would just stand their ground and vote for the most qualified candidate, instead of the most “electable” we would be rallying around the most consistent conservative running. I think your idea could definitely help to bring some of those people back around to where they should’ve been all along.

  • hls87

    The problem is that voters don’t want to hear that message, at least not from someone who really means it. From the outset of the campaign everyone got the idea that Perry wanted to redefine the role of government in American life so that it could be smaller, less intrusive and less expensive. They reacted by abandoning his candidacy in droves.

    This could be because he is a uniquely terrible candidate, but I very much doubt it. The more likley explanation is that people like big government, it gives them a warm and fuzzy. They don’t want to pay for it, but they certainly don’t want to do without it even though it is killing us. Perry’s candidacy is dying from too much clarity, not from too little. He started out by touching the proverbial third rail, telling the truth about the Social Security Ponzi scheme and it was all downhill from there. Unfortunately, this strongly suggests that there is no way the reforms we urgently need can emerge from democratic processes which means that our future is very bleak indeed.

    • bzip

      I am starting to see and agree with you on this. It isn’t because Perry is not getting the message across – it is because people in reality want a big gov’t guy. They want all these this gov’t does and supplies and rujn away from those who actually would do away with it.

      Perry has made his case very well and has done a great job at defining himself as a small gov’t candidate but it appears people don’t want that.

      • tnguy

        You’ve done a yeoman’s job in supporting Perry this cycle. Kudos to you. Perry is easily the closest thing we have to a limited government conservative, and the only one even talking about the sort of drastic measures needed to save a nation sinking in debt.
        And the only one to really propose tax policy that would make a difference.

        Ultimately, you and the previous poster are correct. People – obviously including many tea partiers – think that the economy is stabilizing somewhat, and that we can ultimately revert to go-along-get-along politics the republicans have practiced for most of modern history. The same politics that have our nation teetering on the edge of a hellhole of debt from which it may never escape.

        But thanks, though. I’ve thoroughly enjoyed your posts and links the last several months.

      • laura211

        Republicans have such a clear choice this election year and they have turned their back on smaller goverment. If Perry is not the nominee, I may for the first time in 22 years of being a registered Republican, leave the party. Even the tea party, who tout fiscal responsibility and smaller government, have failed to endorse Perry.

        Obvisiously, the Republicans speak of smaller goverment but in reality want more and more, they are no different than the democrats. Its this group of voters that will eventually ruin this country. We cannot continue to spend and think we can be prosperious again. Wake up people, China owns us, we are like puppets on a string for them.

        I continue, and encourage everyone, to pray for Gov. Perry, his family, and campaign staff for strength and for the voters of SC that they will hear his message loud and clear and back him up.

        * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
        “If we ever forget that we’re one nation under God, then we will be a nation gone under.” Ronald Reagan

  • bzip

    The MSM is at it again, shunning Perry. From what I have read MSM won’t talk about Perry’s good debate last nuight, they either ignore him as if he wasn’t even there or find fault.

    At least I found two places that seem to agree with what I saw and felt happen last night. That Newt wion with Perry being second and doing very well. With Santorum and Romney doing so-so.

    South Carolina Debate Recap
    http://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2012/01/16/south_carolina_debate_recap

    “Rick Perry: Perry represented the 10th Amendment well tonight. He had a strong showing against the federal government and made great arguments for states

    • explodinghead

      If Juan Williams hadn’t served Gingrich that ridiculous soft ball of a racism question, that was obviously meant to be inflammatory and get the crowd energized, Gingrich was up until that point having a very quiet night.
      Take the Gingrich reply to that question out and look at the rest of the debate. For the limited amount of questions or time Perry got he gave very good responses and the crowd applauded loudly. he was strong on foreign policy, once again stood up for our military and highlighted the attack on religion by the Obama administration.
      FNC gave him very little time and almost no responses, he had to interject to be heard.
      His “Gong” response was very funny and would have made a highlight reel in any other debate.

  • circlegranch

    America is not ready to get our country back on track. Oh, we support that idea as long as its everybody else but us that is called to make a sacrifice. If its going to mean we each have to do some hard work, give something up, then we shrink into the shadows. All we’ve heard in the past 3 years has been 9-1-1 calls from Limbaugh, Hannity, Beck, Fox News talking heads and our own common sense, telling us that our country is going down fast unless we pull out all the stops.

    Rick Perry didn’t plot his run for the presidency on Obama’s inauguration day as some others in this race did. He was busy at his job as Texas governor, rolling with the punches, serving his state to the best of his ability. As Washington DC under Obama’s leadership made his job more and more difficult, Perry came to a rather sudden conclusion that the country was in dire need of quick action. He reported for duty. What met him at the door was a backlash of jealousy, fear, maybe even hatred. Long before he announced he was running, many had burned midnight oil preparing the case against Rick Perry for President. Before he could get a word in edgewise, the rabid attacks were underway. Did it throw him off his game? Hindsight would indicate that to be the case. By the time he’d dodged all the initial arrows and gotten enough money together to make his case, he had fallen back.

    Iowa turned its back on Rick Perry because he spoke the truth about starting up ethanol subsidies again. He gave them straight talk about our inability to put a floor under all energy subsidies. He got big applause when he talked about cutting other areas of govt, but when it came too close to home, they didn’t have the stomach for it. Somehow, it will be the kids and grandkids of other people paying the tab, not their own, right?

    Not enough Americans are in serious hurt yet. The reality of what we are allowing our federal govt to do to the future of our posterity hasn’t hit home yet. We wince at hearing frank discussions about gay marriage and defunding Planned Parenthood because too many of us don’t want to be perceived as bigoted or out of step with the flow of our secular, modern society. Too many of us haven’t felt the pressure yet from stifling EPA regulations. We haven’t taken the time to pay close attention to the overreach of the Justice Dept. The fact that we are spending billions to hostile govts. every year just doesn’t mean alot in our lives at this point. While it still hurts, we’ve kinda gotten used to paying over $3 a gallon for gas now, so the urgency to drill under our feet isn’t so pressing.

    America is still asleep. We are still locked in apathy and are more concerned now about who will be in the Super Bowl than we are about who will win SC and FL. Along about September we’ll start paying attention and trying to decide who is best to lead the country but right now, its just not important enough to be on our radar.

    Not only is America not ready–yet–for a staunch conservative nominee for president, the media has chosen the winners and losers and because we’re like sheep and unwilling to educate ourselves and get engaged, we are lead blindly and without complaint.

    Rush, Sean, Glenn, et al: hold those 9-1-1 calls. We, the People, answered. You did not deliver on your end of it.