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An uninspiring Mitt Romney will impale the GOP and give Barack Obama 4 more years…

What is Mitt Romney doing in the Republican Party? (Although a better question might by why has the Republican Party strayed so far to the left that a guy like Mitt Romney could be its standard bearer…)

Everyone knows the story of Mitt Romney. He ran Bain Capital and financed a number of new businesses and helped rescue others. True, he and Bain failed a few times, but Bain Capital did what it was supposed to do, which is make money for its shareholders. At the end of the day Bain Capital was a net plus in that it actually produced prosperity (and jobs) for a significant number of people, and that accomplishment cannot be obviated simply because they could not rescue every firm they took a position in.

In 1994 Romney sought to unseat Ted Kennedy from the US Senate but lost as Kennedy pilloried him for lacking core (political) convictions. The fact that he had difficulty establishing a coherent message didn’t help. He lost badly. In 2002 he headed west to manage the Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City. By all accounts he did a tremendous job and accomplished the financial equivalent of a perfect game, making the Olympics profitable for the host city.

Then of course there was his stint as governor of one of the bluest states in the union, Massachusetts. Like Scott Brown, a Republican in Teddy Kennedy’s neighborhood can be expected to be a RINO, and Romney certainly fit the bill. On a variety of issues both social and economic Romney was… shall we say purple in his approach. But at the end of the day he was more conservative than his predecessor in one of America’s most liberal states.

Add to that the fact that he’s a good looking guy with a great family and he seems like a poster child for putting Barack Obama in the unemployment line. It’s claimed he’s the Republican who can deliver Massachusetts and other key states like as Pennsylvania, Florida and probably Ohio and Nevada.

The problem is, he won’t.

When conservatives stand by conservative ideals, when conservatives clearly and coherently articulate the conservative principles of limited government, fiscal restraint and low taxes, they win. Not sure? In the three Reagan elections (counting Bush-41 in ’88 as an extension of Reagan’s policies) the GOP garnered 54% of the popular vote and beat the Democrats by an average of 11.9%. Contrast that with the elections since Reagan, beginning with Bush 41’s second run. Over the course of those five elections, the GOP has garnered an average of 44.4% of the vote while the Democrats earned an average of 48.3%. The GOP went from an average of 11.9% ahead to an average deficit of 4.4%. That is a 15 point swing in the wrong direction. What’s the difference? Solid conservative vs. milquetoast moderate. Unfortunately Mittens Romney is an extension of that milquetoast strategy.

Ominously, while 2012 may be the most important American election in a century, the two candidates seeking the White House are not going to be particularly distinguishable to voters – if we assume Mittens gets the nomination. Everyone knows that Barack Obama is a statist with socialist & populist instincts. Romney, in slight contrast, may be a capitalist, but on government policy he’s not enormously different. He supported the government’s TARP bailouts of the banks, he regularly plays the populist card of middle class tax cuts while arguing for increasing taxes on the rich, and of course there is RomneyCare, his signature achievement in Massachusetts that was literally the blueprint for the thing he rails against at every whistle-stop event: ObamaCare. Then there is his 59 point tax plan which does little to streamline the tax code and of course penalizes those earning over $200,000 a year. Finally there is his bizarre suggestion last week that the minimum wage should be indexed to inflation, something even our Socialist in Chief has not suggested. (Is it possible that the financial genius Mitt has no clue about how actual economics work?)

At this critical time when the United States is so clearly heading down the road to perdition what the country needs is someone to stand up on the biggest soapbox he can find and sing the praises of the capitalist system and make a clear and articulate argument for small, constitutional, limited government. We need someone to inspire and challenge the American people to throw off the yoke of the nanny state and pick themselves up by their bootstraps and in doing so become the economic vanguard of the world once again. Unfortunately, what we get instead is a GOP candidate who is in many respects largely indistinguishable from his statist, redistributionist opponent.

There is an old saying that you can’t fight something with nothing. In the case of Mitt Romney the GOP is hoping to fight the omnipresent government type Obama with the slightly less onerous, big government type Romney. Conservatives despise Barack Obama and they would likely turn out to vote if the GOP were to trot out Mickey Mouse to run against him. They won’t require the GOP to light a fire under them to get them to the polls. The middle sea of “moderates” on the other hand won’t respond to nothing. If the mass of largely disengaged Americans who are not political junkies finds that there is little or nothing to distinguish the candidates from one another then they will likely remain on the sidelines and not bother to vote. In a tight race intensity is the key to success. As such, Romney is a losing candidate. As can be seen by the fervency of the not-Romney elements of the GOP, the anemic turnout in Florida and Romney’s canned speeches and uninspiring debate performances, Mitt Romney is incapable of stirring the animal spirits of the base, never mind the general public.

Barack Obama is salivating at the prospect of facing off against Mittens. Knowing that Romney is incapable of articulating or defending strong conservative principals or even inspiring his own party – never mind the muddling middle – Obama can do what he does best: demagogue Republicans (up and down the ticket) and inspire his base with populist platitudes that are like blood in the water to the left. The result will not only be another four years of Barack Obama, but it will likely mean something of a bloodbath in the down ticket races as well, from the House to the neighborhood dog catcher.

Mitt Romney may be the candidate who finally puts an end to a Republican Party that has outlived its usefulness and ushers in a truly conservative Tea Party driven party. One might wish that GOP good riddance. The only question is however, will the United States as we know it survive another four years of Barack Obama so that there’s something left for the Tea Party cavalry to come to the rescue of?

COMMENTS

  • chadosborne

    Your argument is fatally flawed. If Romney is conservative enough to win the GOP primary, he is obviously conservative enough to win the general election.

    The idea that independents and liberals will reject Romney because he is not conservative is absurd.

    Just remember that the only way to beat Barack Obama is by flipping Obama votes from 2008.

    Those Obama voters are not looking for the true conservative in the race. They are looking for someone moderate on social issues who will manage the economy better (like Reagan). Winning over Obama voters will require the exact same skills required to be elected governor in Massachusetts (and in California). Romney is the new Reagan.

    • Viet71

      n/t

    • http://www.imperfectamerica.com imperfectamerica

      Romney may indeed win the GOP nomination, but it is not because he is sufficiently conservative but rather because the conservative vote has been split between the other “not Romney” candidates.

      Take a look at the numbers cited in the post. Reagan blew the doors off both Carter and Mondale. He articulated the conservative message enough to persuade voters that might have otherwise never gone to the polls or would have voted for the Democrats to come out and support him. If Romney can’t even arouse the passions of the base it will be impossible to inspire the people who aren’t that interested in the first place.

    • burke

      Obama’s certainly not inspiring. But incumbents don’t need to be inspiring to cling to power. Those who would unseat them need to be inspiring. Recent history is educative.

      Look at Reagan. He was inspiring and exciting and beat an incumbent who was neither. A similar story goes for Clinton beating Bush I.

      It is not at all clear that an uninspiring challenger can beat an uninspiring incumbent. Truman and W’s reelections are a testament to that.

      Carter beat Ford, and neither were inspiring or exciting. So I suppose we can hope for that type of a scenario. But that was an unusual case. Ford wasn’t elected President or Vice President and he had pardoned Nixon, so he was an odd sort of incumbent.

      Romney needs to get inspiring. It’s not going to be easy for him, but he needs to. And I think he can do it. I really liked him in 2008; now I merely tolerate him. He needs to reengage the enthusiasm he was able to generate in 2008.

    • falconrap

      I don’t know why people continue to look past the hard data. It’s right there. 60-65% of this country is fiscally conservative. The “moderates” are such because they are generally moderate to liberal on social issues. There is crossover when it comes to those who are either fiscally or socially conservative but moderate or liberal in the other area. Poll after poll from Battleground and Gallup show this, year in and year out. Republican candidates that espouse fiscal conservatism GET ELECTED. Always have, and likely always will. Romney does not fit this bill. He put a lot of fiscal power into the government in Mass. I would even argue that he’s only socially moderate. He’s not a communist, so we have that, but he’s not the kind of candidate that can win the general.

      Look at the turnout once Romney became the front runner again. It plummeted. When Gingrich looked like he could be the guy, turn out spiked tremendously. When you look at the candidates that we have left, barring a brokered convention, Newt is really the only guy that has a chance. People may not like that, but it is what it is. Newt, when focused, is able to draw from conservatives and moderates. He only tends to lose support when he goes off reservation. Santorum, the only seemingly viable candidate (Paul just doesn’t have the broad appeal and never will) is really Romney-light. He’s more socially conservative, and slightly more conservative on fiscal issues. But his history is that of one who supports unions, and other government programs and mandates.

      At some point in time, many here need to simply look at the history of polling and the election cycles to realize which candidates have a hope of winning. The candidate that can actually get people to the polls, is the only one that is going to 1) beat Obama, and 2) help drive up the number of Republicans (hopefully conservative ones) in the legislature. This isn’t rocket science. History tells you that inspiring candidates win. Milquetoast ones do NOT.

  • Dave_A

    Is the one that states ‘We lost because McCain wasn’t conservative enough, and that made conservatives stay home’…

    We lost 08 because Obama was the better salesman of the two – he articulated a vision that locked up the moderate vote with visions of hope, change, and rainbow-unicorns (Well not really on the last one, but…).

    The ‘right’ new exactly what Obama was, and turned out against him – the problem is that the middle believed his rhetoric, and overwhelmingly voted Dem accross the board.

    That’s also why we got the 2010 about-face – the same people who swept him into office because they bought into his rhetoric, flipped to the right when they realized that Obama couldn’t deliver the paradise he promised…

    It’s not about our people staying home… It’s about who can express a vision or personify the skills that the middle is attracted to.

    Rooney’s angle on this, of course, is the ‘I’m a financial wizard, I can fix the economy’ bit that has had people attracted to him since 08.

    It’s not much, but his primary opponents have absolutely nothing to offer in that category – Newt’s ‘vision’ is focused on outlandish proposals like his moon colony, and Santorum’s is stuck back in 1950…

  • Viet71

    Not because he was conservative.

    He was likable because he appeared to the voters to be genuine. He said he was personally opposed to abortion, but that the Supreme Court had spoken to the matter (a saavy comment in that it showed his respect for our tri-partite form of government). Lots of NYC Dems, for example, pooh-poohed him with a smile and still voted for him.

    Romney MIGHT be like Reagan in governance. He falls down on likability.

    • Viet71

      Not just because he was conservative.

  • Right_Again

    and loses the general election it will be because conservatives did not sufficiently support our candidate. He will get enough independent votes to win. He just needs enough conservatives who want another four years of Obama less than they want to whine about how moderate Romney is.

    Think about it. Is four more years of Obama really worth it?

  • natek58

    Wow!!! This is such a cogent argument!! I am truly speechless.

    EVERYONE NEEDS TO READ THIS!! PLEASE READ THIS POST!!

  • jaykali

    If the economy averages 200k+ jobs this year he’s in and it doesn’t really matter who the candidate is. If its more like 2011 then he probably won’t win. I am not sure what the average was, maybe around 100k per month give or take? Not sure what the exact number is but if its like 2011 it probably doesnt matter bc ppl will judge the economy as not good enough and he’ll get kicked out.