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Romney doesn’t have the delegates to win a first ballot nomination

By: Jochanan (Diary)  |  February 8th, 2012 at 11:22 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

His current national polling average is about 32% right now. If he wins all the winner take all states and gets only roughly 30% of the rest, he’s about 130 short. There aren’t enough super delegates to close that gO even if they all broke his way.

It is no longer good enough for Mitt to win. He has to win with majorities or else it’s a brokered convention.

COMMENTS

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  • deVere

    I don’t think these men are going to allow the nomination to go to someone who hasn’t yet participated in the campaign. To avoid that they will have to agree among themselves.

  • jamesm

    Romney wont wiln all winner take all states. If all stay in then Gingrich/Santorum combo will have the majority of delegates by convention time. Gingrich, Santorum and Paul voters are more closely aligned. Santorum and Gingrich are friends according to their prior statements.