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T. Boone Gore?

Gore and Pickens are selling snake oil, not real energy solutions

What’s gotten into T. Boone Pickens? Apparently, a lot of wind and gas. Anyone who has watched any amount of cable television lately has seen his commercial, which concludes:

“I’ve been an oil man my life, but this is one emergency we can’t drill our way out of. I have a plan…”

Not only does he have a plan, but Pickens also has a flair for the theatrical. He has adopted the Deomocrat talking point that “we can’t drill our way out of this” and is repeating it every time the ad airs, which, if the Fox News Channel is any indicator, is quite often. But like so many Democrat mantras, it’s a canard.



So what is the Pickens Plan? Basically, it’s to switch from gasoline to natural gas as a motor fuel and replace the natural gas and coal we have been using for heating and generation of electricity with wind power. Doing this, Pickens contends, will buy us time to develop other technologies, presumably solar and hydrogen.




It’s a plan with many problems, but using more natural gas to fuel our vehicles is not one of them. It’s true that natural gas is, as Pickens’ website argues, the cleanest-burning transportation fuel available today. It’s even cleaner than such renewables as ethanol and biodiesel. It’s not a problem for automakers to produce vehicles powered by natural gas, as Honda is already doing so, and municipalities are buying up buses and other fleet vehicles powered by natual gas as fast as manufacturers can produce them. Older diesel-powered vehicles can be converted to run on natural gas, and gasoline engines can be converted to run on propane, which is closely related to natural gas.



All that’s needed to move from gasoline to natural gas as a motor fuel, besides the commitment to do it, is infrastructure. The transmission facilities are mostly in place, but a national network of refueling stations would have to be built. Oklahoma leads the nation in natural gas refueling infrastructure, and its system could serve as a model for the rest of the nation.



And natural gas is an American national treasure. As Pickens’ website points out, we produce 98% of the the natural gas that we use here in the good ol’ USA. Our natural gas reserves are double that of our petroleum reserves. But while I think we should definately use much more of our natural gas resources as a motor fuel, I don’t think that we should put all of our domestic motor fuel eggs into one basket, as the Pickens Plan does.



Where Pickens’ idea really falls apart, though, is its reliance on wind for electrical power generation. A large part of the problem is that, again, Pickens puts all the eggs in one basket. It makes more sense to me to use whatever means of providing power that are appopriate to given situations and geographical regions. Some places are better than others for wind, solar, wave or geothermal power, for example.



Moreover, wind power does have its disadvantages. The wind does not constantly blow, and it varies in strength from still air to gale force. So wind turbines do not produce the same amount of electricity all the time. There will be times when they provide no electricity at all.



Wind turbines generate more than power. They are noisy. Each one can generate the same level of noise as a car travelling at 70 mph. They can be harmful to migratory birds who sometimes fly right into the blades and get sliced and diced. Also, ice collects on those big turbine blades, and when they start spinning, they can fling very large chunks of it off to distances of up to 1,500 feet. You don’t want to be around a wind farm when that happens.



Pollution is produced in the manufacture of wind turbines, so they do leave a sort of “footprint” on the environment. Wind turbines and the transformers associated with them use motor oil. Up to 200 gallons of motor oil for lubrication and cooling can be contained in one large-scale turbine, and up to 500 gallons of oil can be present in the transformers at the base of the turbines. The substation transformers where a group of turbines connects to the grid contain over 10,000 gallons of oil each.



Many turbines collected in large “wind farms” are required to meet the electrical power needs of even small towns. The larger available turbines today can only keep about 500 homes supplied with electricity, even when running at full capacity. Do the math, and you quickly see that a large farm of 200 turbines would be required for a modest city with a population of 100,000. And that is just homes. Additional turbines would be required to provide power for business and industrial customers.



But the biggest disadvantage of wind power is the NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) factor. Not everyone sees the beauty in large wind turbines, considering them ugly structures which add visual pollution to the landscape. Even the heroes of America’s environmentalists don’t want wind farms in their line of sight, as we learned from the battle the Kennedys have waged aginst a plan to put a wind farm just eight miles from the family compound’s back yard. Since the only places that people don’t object to as potential sites for wind farms are places where people don’t live, the cost of transmitting that power to where it can be used goes up. In this writer’s opinion, wind (like solar) is better suited to rural applications for farms, ranches and neighborhood cooperatives than large-scale applications.



The Pickens website boasts that Denmark gets 20% of its power from wind turbines. But what the site doesn’t tell us is that Denmark hasn’t shut down any conventional power plants. In other words, wind power in Denmark has supplemented, not replaced, existing power facilities. Those older power plants are needed for times when the wind isn’t blowing. So when the wind is up, the power they generate is usually a surplus and sold to other countries at a discount. During extended periods of still air, Denmark must import electricity. According to AWEO, a group opposed to wind power, Norway commissioned a study of wind power in Denmark and concluded that it has “serious environmental effects, insufficient production, and high production costs.”



So why is Pickens pushing so hard for wind power despite its known problems? Beyond the fact that he has personally invested very heavily in it, I just don’t know. He has put over $12 Billion into his Texas wind farm. Like Al Gore, Pickens has set himself up to profit from what he preaches.



Should Gore worry about being upstaged by Pickens? Not so much. Their approaches to our energy situation are quite different. Gore is coming from the environmental side. Even though he talks about energy independence, he’s still trying to convince us that global warming is not only man-made, but it will be the end of the world as we know it if allowed to continue. Pickens is more focused on energy independence, even if his plan for achieving it is severely flawed. What Gore and Pickens have in common is that they are both grandstanding snake oil salesmen who are being disingenuous.



I’m an “all of the above” energy advocate. I say make gasoline (and diesel) out of coal and biomass, while ramping up domestic oil drilling and building new refineries. Remove the subsidies and tariffs from ethanol and let it stand on its own. Greatly expand our current paltry one percent use of natural gas and propane as motor fuels. Continue developing electric hybrids and hydrogen fuel cells. Take the cooking oil that fish and chips were fried in and make biodiesel out of it. Build new nuclear power plants. Use wind and solar power in those places and situations where it makes sense to do so. Do it all. When it comes to domestic energy, diversity is a good thing. Let all the resources compete in the marketplace, and may the best fuels win.



- JP

COMMENTS

  • bk

    If you piece all this together and do a little research, his plan will use 200K acres worth of turbines to generate enough electricity to power 1M+ homes. 200K acres is >310 sq mi, or about 1/3 larger than the city of Chicago. And that doesn’t count the space needed for the transmission lines needed to get the power from the boonies to those homes. How in the hell could anyone with half a brain think this approach is sound on any broad basis?

  • Brandozilla

    I have to agree with al gore on this.

    (excuse me while I go throw up…)

    But it just doesn’t make sense to convert our vehicles and infrastructure to natural gas. By the time we made any serious level of conversion, we’d have electric cars ready as a more viable alternative.

    Converting our vehicles twice makes no sense, it will be hard enough to do it once.

    The focus right now should be on fuel efficiency and developing better batteries for electric cars.

  • Tim_Schieferecke

    He tried to buy KU Head Coach Bill Self back. Bill wouldn’t go. I think Pickens has the same I’m God the Creator Syndrome which seems to befall so many after they’ve achieved billionaire status and lose sight of what it’s like to live an average life. I believe wind and solar will play an important role in our future, but I don’t want to see any of our options limited artificially. Also, it drives me NUTS that nuclear power isn’t touted more than it is. We could probably run this country forever on it.

  • Erick

    Pickens has a massive amount of very windy land in Texas that he’s drilled all the oil out of. Now he wants to make it profitable again.

    There is no altruism here.

  • phred

    With $12 billion involved this man is motivated enough to say anything. Carbon credits, cap and trade, alternative energy, tree hugging, energy prices and environmental theology has produced a time of confused desperation that is ripe for harvest. An illusion of urgent crisis replaces level-headed decisions with emotional ones that are amplified by personal guilt over consumption (except for Al Gore.)

    Got to hand it to Pickens, his white- knight role in saving this country is great theatrics and will be the voice of reason to many—”investors.”

    • LanceKates

      I think we are more likely to see a shift to natural gas than to electric for reasons other than the fuels themselves.

      First, due to many issues, electricity is currently in short supply in a few places. Think of the ‘rolling blackouts’ and the incredible power shortages in California and a few other states.

      An added plus to natural gas is that many gas stations already have a hookup, so it is just a matter of expanding it.

      Now, none of that really matters. Here is what will determine what replaces gasoline: Taxes.

      It is easy to determine how much natural gas is used for fuel when you fill up at a gas station. Electricty, not so much as you’d hook up at home each night. How do you seperate car recharging from keeping your computer and television powered? Seperate meters? Eh, expensive to put in place.

      Now, toss in solar agumentation and you’re opening a whole new can of worms. The government can’t tax the sun.

      The idea of refining solar panels to be more efficient to store energy during the day to charge a car at night, as an augmentation to normal electric power, is going to be very troubling to state and federal governments that permanantly keep their hand in your pocket for ‘roads and bridges’ taxes.

      • Mord

        What will the govornment do to replace the gasoline tax? There are already rumblings about RAISING it right now by as much as 10 cents a gallon because consumption of gas at $4 a gallon has dropped off so much.

        • LanceKates

          I have discussed this with my father lately, who was a big fan of hydrogen (I am not) and is now a big fan of natural gas and electric both.

          There is actually a market for electric cars that has been around for quite a while.

          You can buy kits for 5 to 12 thousand dollars to replace your engine with an electric motor (the more you pay, the better and longer lasting batteries you get and the better range you get)

          There are some companies that will do the conversion for you, or you can buy a car they’ve already converted.

          Of course, I can’t afford such a thing. Discussing 11k for a conversion of a car so that I don’t have to buy gas is like talking about if I should buy a Gulfstream or a Learjet…. why bother even thinking about it?

          But yes, the thing I keep coming back to for electric is roads and bridges taxes.

          The government has never willingly let something happen that reduced the taxes they received.

          We’ve even fought wars over taxation.

          • blooch

            There is an article in the June 30, 2008 Forbes magazine about T. Boone Pickens getting a brain scan at the U of T Dallas Center for Brain Health:

            “It was a thrill for Denise Park, the neuroscientist lured to the center last year from the University of Illinois with some of Pickens money. He gave $11 million to the center last year…”

            Natch, he’s got a superbrain:

            “So how’d he do? ‘I was truly astonished’, says Park. “Mr. Pickens brain activated in places that young brains activate.”

            And Eric, he is altruistic, too:

            “As Pickens was on his way out the door to catch his flight, a researcher tried to give him the customary $70 cash payment for donating his time. He turned it down. ‘That makes 11 million and 70 dollars he’s donated to the center,’ says Pickens handler, Jay Rosser.”

          • phred

            miles driven, reduced road usage and thus reduced repair costs would be the need for additional road tax revenue?

            So true Lance Kates, the government(s) will never give up their automatic tax cash register. Government is addicted to oil.

            Of course one day, if you have a solar recharged electric vehicle, expect your license plate to cost $1000/year.

          • Jack_Savage

            Government has a pretty bad addiction to them as well…

          • bk

            The Dems don’t care about getting people to quit, they just care about maximizing the tobacco tax dollars flowing into governmental entities and trial lawyers’ hands.

          • satchman3

            and it always will be.

          • phred

            nt

          • LanceKates

            Until there is an accident with a fire, in which case a normal car fire becomes a giant crater, windows within a few football fields are shattered and hundreds and hundreds of people have to go to the hospital with blood flowing from their ears.

          • phred

            nt

          • LanceKates

            The Government never cares about ending anything they put a tax on.

            They just see a bunch of people who are addicted to a product and have to buy it (be it cigs or oil or booze) and so they tax it.

            Free sustained income.

            Once they started treating alcoholics as diseased people and cig smokers as second class citizens, it became easy to regularly increase the ‘sin tax’ without having to worry about revolt.

            After all, they’re just smokers…

          • satchman3

            I work in the combustion business so I know how dangerous H2 is. I talked to some folks working in a hydrogen plant and they told me that to find leaks they walk around with brooms in front of them. When the broom erupts in flames they’ve found the leak (H2 flames are invisible and they don’t emit much radiation so you can’t really feel the heat).

            My real problem with people talking about hydrogen is that there are no significant sources of H2 in nature. We can make hydrogen a variety of ways but it doesn’t occur naturally in meaningful quantities.

            For that reason we should think of hydrogen as an ‘energy carrier’ like electricity but it is not an ‘energy source’ like fossil fuels or nuclear.

          • Flagstaff

            hydrogen fuel cells work.

          • Flagstaff

            At least, none for the country.

            Yes, we should pursue new technologies, but we’ve been doing that for years with a lot to show for it, but not much that will make a car go fast or heat our homes.

            If we really want to address this problem, we have to include known technologies that are already proven to work. To ignore them simply indicates that they (the ‘Crats and the Greens and the Profiteers) aren’t serious.

            Is Pickens angling for a tax subsidy for his wind farm?

            This is a great place to point out the foolishness of a Government trying to direct which technology to pursue.

            The reason the marketplace is the ultimate best place to make those decisions is that the answer is still an unknown. For a government to put all its money on solar and wind and sugar energy is the height of folly. It’s possible that none of them are ever going to be viable.

            OTOH, in the open market there are always people working on every known option. The right answer is almost never missed by neglect. By virtue of the genius of cost/benefit analysis, the eventual winner is almost always the most economical as well.

            Left to its own devices, the Government would likely have picked HD over BluRay and Betmax over VHS. We know that they did pick corn-based ethanol, a mistake of grand dimensions.

            Open the doors to nuclear energy again, and the problem of storage and disposal will be solved by research and public debate.