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Poll: Voters Trust GOP over Dems on 8 of 10 Key Issues

Six months. That didn't take long.

Well, that didn’t take long. Those of us who expected the Democrats, with control over three DC houses — House,  Senate and White House — to blow it didn’t expect it happen so quickly. But it seems that the donkey party, by misinterpreting their 2008 election victory as a mandate (it wasn’t) and by overreaching on the stimulus, abortion, cap and trade, health care reform and other major issues, has managed to destroy what good will they have won for themselves with the electorate.

Pubic polling Top Gun Scott Rasmussen reports his latest findings:

Voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats on eight out of 10 key electoral issues, including, for the second straight month, the top issue of the economy. They’ve also narrowed the gap on the remaining two issues, the traditionally Democratic strong suits of health care and education.

Rasmussen’s survey found that for the second straight month, Republicans held their six-point lead over the Democrats on economic issues among all voters, only the second time in over two years of his polling that the GOP has had the advantage on economic matters. Especially worrisome for the Democrats has to be the metric that independents now trust Republicans more to handle the economy by a 46% to 32% margin. What’s behind the shift in trust from the ruling party to the opposition?

Last week’s report of 9.5 percent unemployment, the highest since 1983, raised doubts about the economy and the president’s handling of it. Consumer and investor confidence is now down to the lowest levels in three months. Just 39% now say President Obama is doing a good or an excellent job on the economy while 43% rate his performance as poor. Those are by far the weakest numbers yet for the president…

Most voters (52%) now trust Republicans more on the issue of taxes, also the highest level found in over two years. Only 36% trust Democrats more on taxes. A survey conducted at the end of June found that 39% of voters now expect their taxes to go up under Obama, the highest level of concern measured to date.

Republicans also continue to hold sway with voters on national security, a traditional GOP area of strength in public perception:

For the second straight month, voters put North Korea at the top of the list of biggest threats to U.S. national security.

It cannot have helped the Democrats that the Obama Administraton cut the defense budget for missile defense at a time when the North Koreans are developing both nuclear warheads and the delivery vehicles to carry them. All the while, they are improving the accuracy of their missiles.

The GOP holds a four-point lead on the issue of the War in Iraq, one where they were being clobbered by the Democrats prior to the November elections. Now it seems that shoe is on the other foot. Republicans also have a six-point advantage on the issue of immigration, are ahead by seven points on abortion, and has a one-point edge on government ethics and corruption.

Here are some other things which should cause the Democrats to lose sleep:

Also for the first time in over two years, Republicans lead Democrats on the issue of Social Security 42% to 37%. Democrats held a six-point lead on the issue last month, and the parties were tied in April.

Democrats have also seen their leads shrink on two of the party’s strong points, health care and education. The party holds a four-point lead on health care, down from 18 points in May. The Democrats’ advantage on the issue is the smallest found in over two years.

Voters are evenly divided when it comes to the health care reform plans being promoted by the president and Democrats in Congress.

On education, Democrats lead Republicans 41% to 38%, also the smallest margin in over two years. Democrats held a 15-point lead in May on the issue.

Rasmussen says fifty-four percent of all voters believe that Democrat in Congress holds more liberal views than they do, while only 36% believe the average Republican on the Hill is more conservative than they are. This does not bode well for the Democrats in the upcoming mid-term elections. Indeed, GOP candidates lead Democrats for the second week in a row on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

Even Stevie Wonder can see the warning signs here, but don’t expect the Democrats to alter their suicidal course. Even putting the brakes on cannot prevent the inevitable train wreck, and the Dems have no intention of pulling that lever. The years they were out of power inside the Beltway only made them covet it more, and they just can’t help themselves from trying to implement the full liberal Monty Python. Even if they could, their radical leftist special interest groups would not let them.

What Republicans should take away from the trend shown by the Rasmussen polls in the six months since the Democrats took power is that they should hold a conservative line. The American people are increasingly becoming fed up with the Democrats’ abuse of power, and now is not the time to get week in the knees or the spine. The voters will give them another chance, but they still have to show Americans that the GOP has real solutions to offer and will not betray the principles that brought them into power when they themselves held the three most important houses in the nation’s capitol. Republicans must reassure voters that they have read Santayana‘s famous warning and they will never again forget.

- JP

COMMENTS

  • Kowalski

    I have to believe that some of the shift begins and ends at the top — with Obama himself. I think a lot of people are really having a serious case of buyer’s remorse after having vested all their hopes and (and money) in a year-long daydream/hallucination about Barack The One.

    In a sense, how could they not? Obama and the Democrats and the media who supported him (and still run intereference for him) had to know that selling something as big as the U.S. Presidency with so much hype and an elaborate informercial as the back story without it eventually deflating.

    Still, I think his numbers will get a bounce later this summer after the Michael Jackson shockwaves finally peter out and Obama cranks up the charm for one more go-around. And of course, there is an endless bag of tricks and Wag the Dog pretexts that ObamaRahma still have in the quiver.

    • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

      Dems and Libs, with the aid of the media spend most of their time obfuscating what they really believe and what policies they favor. I was struck this past week while on vacation among many ObamaDems at how often they volunteered how that Obama is really not a far leftie. They know.

      Plenty of evidence of what Obama and the dems stood for was out there in the campaign, but it has been so long (really since the late 70s) since we got to experience the results of demlib policies that many grew ignorant esp given the credit crisis and GOP mushyness on govt spending.

      McCain didn’t help.

      Now, we see the horror of the left in the raw during a bad recession which concentrates the mind.

      more later

      • SteveLA

        Mike

        Don’t you think it’s a bit more complex than that?

        Is there a need for Republicans to put forth conservative answers to the policies of Obama? I’m not seeing a lot of good conservative ideas put forth by conservative elected politicians right now in response to Obama, that’s a problem too in my view.

        I tend to believe you have to give people something to vote FOR and not just standing in opposition. Maybe I’ve got it wrong, but it seems people are looking for answers.

        • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine
      • aesthete

        People are starting to see how much Dem policies suck. What we don’t have is a coherent opposition a la Contract with America that voters can turn to as an alternative. Once we get that, I think we have a chance. Until then, we (as a party) are doomed to be Cassandras predicting the dismal results of Dem policies, but doing nothing to prevent them from being enacted.

        • SteveLA

          aesthete

          That’s it, the lack of a Contract with America, the Sequel.

          Who has the stature to craft such a manifesto, and sell to to the all the wings of the party? The one in the 90′s was good, covered many of the problems created by Klinton and the Donks, it would seem another one could be developed which goes after the mess Obama is creating now.

          • Xasteius
          • Xasteius

            Demint or Coburn, perhaps? Palin could come up with something, but the diary posted by mbecker leaves me hesitate to suggest someone….

          • SteveLA

            Demit, maybe, or some other running for President in 2012. The first shot will be some sort of new contract, with details. At this point, I really don’t know who will fire that shot.

          • aesthete

            I think that this time, we will have to put in most of the legwork, and indeed, the intellectual work, in any re-imagining of the Contract with America: I certainly see no one who has the intellectual chops in the top leadership or limelight in the top leadership of the party. Potentials like Jindal, Daniels, and the like aren’t really popular or involved enough in the national spectre to do much more than play supporting roles, and our assorted pundits aren’t generally idea men or movers and shakers so much as they are representatives of the conservative everyman. This vacuum of leadership, in conjunction with the rise of activist movements in the party (the Minutemen, Tea Parties, etc.), indicate that now, more than ever, the rank and file of the party are going to have to step up to the plate, and take on the statists in the battle of ideas, and in the implementation of said ideas.

            As a result, I think that the political equivalent of an open source project, with the “footsoldiers” in various groups in the Republican party taking part in the organic development of a second Contract with America, could be realized with existing groups and movements, such as the Tea Parties, the Minutemen, the emerging states’ rights movements, and the like. IMO, that’s the easy part, as our party is chok-full of people who have their heads on straight, and ideas should spring forth naturally as a result. The precinct committee project promoted by Coldwarrior and others, if popularized, should help even more with that. For this to happen, though, we would need two things: 1) for the energy created by the Tea Party movement to be used for constructive endeavors, rather than just protest (I’m pretty sure that this will happen eventually), and 2) for there to be more organization and collaboration between the separate protest movements, to provide a somewhat unified front.

            Of course, politicians and the Repubs’ VIPs can definitely help the movement along: some, like Michelle Malkin, are already involved. In fact, though some dislike her, I can see Mrs. Palin, or Huckabee (ugh) as a positive, and influential, force in this movement. If such a movement were popularized, I could see pols running with it in 2010, as they did with the CwA

            The pessimist/realist in me says that this won’t happen by 2010. But we won’t know until we try, will we? Also, even if it’s not prepped for 2010, we can at least be ready for 2012.

            I can see three things that we can do to help: first, establish ourselves as regular participants in the emerging conservative activist movement. That will help these movements, and allow us to recommend policies that these groups can advocate for. Second, become a part of our local GOP. What some don’t realize is that Democrat dominance in blue states is often as much a function of broken state parties as it is the area’s political leanings. Third, advocate for candidates who espouse federalist ideas, and encourage them to be involved in the emergent conservative activist movement (which is where the politeness and civility evident in these movements will help us, as opposed to the left’s disgusting behavior at protests). Sites like Redstate (yay!) have already made headway here.

            In short, helping local movements is the key both to ensuring that the GOP can go to battle equipped with the best that conservatism has to offer, and to having an agenda that we can hold them to when they try to go off the reservation. To modify Moe’s trademark phrase, we have met the cavalry, and it is us :)

        • Husker

          the moderates, in order to keep their relevancy will cut deals with the Democrats on their programs using the lame excuse of ‘doing something.’ Then as always, the whole party takes a hit for one or two lawmakers with the American public.

          We had the high ground on very unpopular TARP and stimulus bills, and lo and behold a moderate comes to ‘save the day’ for the Democrats yet again.(John McCain) It’s a cycle that really discourages people who I know would be swayed to vote Republican, but they see these votes on legislation as not being a viable alternative to Democrats.

  • Hera

    What will drive Obama’s poll numbers below 50% for good is when he breaks his no increased taxes on those making less then 250K pledge to fund Obamacare for illegal immigrants. That will be the straw that breaks the camels back which will lead to a bloodbath for the dems in the 2010 elections.The GOP will regain control of at least one house of Congress in 2010. Though I can’t say I trust the GOP, they were given control of the entire government and failed to deliver for conservatives.

    • libertymt

      Rasmussen’s latest polling finds heavy (nearly 70%) support for taxing people making $250k+ to pay for healthcare, which is what the House Dems just proposed. Even crazier stuff like a national sales tax gets 40% support.

      Americans have never been the most consistent bunch. Lower taxes and more social programs… Poll the people, and they tell you they want both. How that works, none of them seems to know, but it gives both parties something from the polls to cherry pick.

      • Hera

        The 70% favorable number for taxing those with “high” incomes is consistent with Obama’s promise to tax only those earning $250K or more. The 40% number for a national sales tax represents his democratic supporters and few independents. The problem will come when he does raise taxes on the middle class which he will have to do in order to fund Obamacare to cover illegal immigrants. That will lead to the bloodbath for the dems in 2010. As Karl Rove pointed out Obama has already raised taxes on those making less then $250K with his cigarette tax. Imagine what will happen should they raise taxes on soda pop, health benefits (with Obama union supporters exempt) or with a VAT.This is why the dems are desperate to get Obamacare passed before anyone reads the bill not unlike the phony stimulus bill that no one read.

        • libertymt

          That stuff about pop taxes and sales taxes and such are poll questions and such. The dems actual proposals don’t contain any of those taxes, they’re just proposing the ‘surcharge’ (hah) on people making more than 250 grand a year to supposedly pay for this junk. At least that’s the last I had heard.

          If they’re now trying to get all those other new taxes passed as well, I’d love to see a source of that info.

          • Hera

            Obamacare cannot get there while just taxing the “rich” that is why the ideas for these other taxes including the tax on soda pop, VAT and taxes on health benefits (with Obama Union supporters exempt) have been sent out as trail balloons to see what happens. Like the phony stimulus bill its unlikely anyone will have read this garbage before Congress votes on it so we may not know what new taxes have been imposed until after its passed. But ANY tax increase on the middle class is what will lead to the blood bath for the dems in 2010.As for the surcharge on those making more then 250K as Karl Rove noted its being proposed by Charlie Rangel a known tax cheat.

  • bobojake

    The democrats have been the NO-NO- Acountibility party ever since clukie schummmmmmmmmer would stick his head between reid and the camera and LIE to the American People and the media wouldn’t call schummmmmmmmmmerf on it. Now the worm is turning and the media will go down with the democrats.

  • clintonformccain

    You guys probably will disagree with me, but as a voter who swings both ways, the thing that would give me a postiive reason to vote Republican would be a platform of competence, integrity, and common sense. Someday, a party is going to run on a platform of being mad as hell and not going to take it any more on selling our government to the highest special interest bidder. That party is going to spark a landslide in the electorate.