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Cap and Trade: a job killer

You don’t have to be an economist to understand the economic situation.  Unemployment has hit double digits in many states and is growing (in Ohio: 340,000 jobs lost since Ted Strickland and Lee Fisher took office) and everyone is paying the price.    The stimulus has accomplished nothing (Again, in Ohio, in the neighborhood of 100,000 jobs lost since its passage) and yet the Democrats in Congress are intent on making a bad situation worse by passing legislation that would cripple American businesses and devastate families.

The focus lately has been on health care, and for good reason, but energy is an issue that should not be lost in the debate about the economy.  Because Cap and Trade (H.R. 2454, the Waxman- Markey bill) is a dagger aimed at the heart of our economy.

More below.

I attended the Energy Summit here in Columbus sponsored by the American Energy Solutions Group in the House Republican Conference.  The field hearing was led by Congressman Pence and joined by House Minority Leader John Boehner and Ohio Reps. Austria, Latta, Tiberi, and Schmidt.  It was an interesting experience.

Pulling up to THE (all the OSU grads made sure to emphasize that word) Ohio State University campus I saw protesters with signs: “Paid for by Big Oil”, “Clean Energy Now”, etc.  I made a note to inquire about my check from Big Oil, because I have yet to receive it!

Joking aside, the summit was really free from ideology or partisan debates about global warming, etc.  The focus was on jobs.  The simple message was that an “All of the Above” strategy is needed to address American energy needs, that the Waxman-Markey Cap and Trade bill ignores this fact and as a result will have a devastating effect on the American economy.

The particular focus was on how damaging this bill, as passed by the House, would be for Ohio businesses and families.  There were a wide variety of witnesses and sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, small business, municipal energy, minority business, etc. were all touched on.

And in all of these areas Ohio’s economy would be devastated by Cap and Trade.  Example: it is estimated that there are roughly 35,000 coal related jobs in Ohio.  With Cap and Trade 80% of those jobs would be destroyed by 2030.  And these are high paying jobs in areas of the state that are struggling economically.  This is a serious human impact.

A small businessman put this in perspective.  He said this was about not having to lay off friends and neighbors; about trying to find a way to give your employees 40 hours a week in a struggling economy.  Cap and Trade would mean less business as his customers pay higher prices, it would mean higher costs for his own company, and it would force him to go overseas to get raw materials and supplies.  This means fewer jobs and those tough conversations with his employees. Not to mention the economic reverberations in the community.

And as Christopher Horner, Senior Fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute,  explained, all of this for a policy that will not actually reduce carbon emissions.  He noted that Europe has tried a similar strategy (in the aftermath of Kyoto) and it has failed.  They have not reduced emissions but instead have paid the price economically (they have been desperately trying to hide this fact ever since).

Horner bluntly explained that what is being proposed is really the largest tax increase in history, albeit a hidden one, and a strategy of government rationing where the federal government decides what is available and at what cost.  He also noted that as a result of Europe’s policy America has once again begun to be competitive in the steel industry with companies building plants here.  This bill threatens that and the resulting jobs that those companies produce.

Having followed the energy issue myself very little of what was discussed was news to me, but it was helpful to see the issue presented in such a straightforward and factual way.

What became clear, however, is that there is a fundamental disconnect between what voters think about energy and what is going on in Washington.  Voters care about the environment and would like to see growth in “green jobs” and renewable energy.  But they obviously don’t want to do so at the expense of their own jobs and communities.

What they don’t fully understand is that under the guise of these popular sentiments the Democrats in Congress are trying to pass a bill that will cripple the Midwestern economy – with Ohio being at the center of hat bulls-eye.

Rep. Latta explained that his district is the heaviest agricultural and manufacturing district in Ohio and 3rd in terms of districts that would be hardest hit by Cap and Trade.  The irony is that this district is involved in, and manufactures, many of the technologies that will lead to clean energy: wind, solar, bio-diesel, etc.  But higher costs make those businesses uncompetitive as well.

A Heritage Foundation study outlines the devastation this bill would cause:

Analysis of the economic impact of Waxman-Markey projects that by 2035 the bill would:

  • Reduce aggregate gross domestic product (GDP) by $9.4 trillion;
  • Destroy 1,145,000 jobs on average, with peak years seeing unemployment rise by over 2,479,000 jobs;
  • Raise electricity rates 90 percent after adjusting for inflation;
  • Raise inflation-adjusted gasoline prices by 58 percent;
  • Raise residential natural gas prices by 55 percent;
  • Raise an average family’s annual energy bill by $1,241; and
  • Result in an increase of $28,728 in additional federal debt per person, again after adjusting for inflation

After all of this, the question is what can we do about it?  I spoke with Rep. Latta afterwords and he suggested that what is needed is to make Americans aware of what the bill actually does and its impact on them.

He felt that when Congress convened their was a sense of urgency and a traditional honeymoon period for President Obama.  So many issues were being pushed through by the majority that it was hard to focus citizen’s attention on Cap and Trade (though the House GOP tried).  It was really only in the aftermath of the bill’s passage that businesses and voters began to understand the damage that could be done.

The bill is now in the hands of the Senate.  So it falls to knowledgeable and politically active people to get the message out.  The members of the Energy Solutions group are doing there part.  They are holding meetings (Latta has held hundreds of meetings across his district) and reaching out to people online.

Whether it is through new media or just old fashioned communicating with your friends, family, and neighbors if you care about economic growth and jobs you need to spread the word about this bill.  Politicians from dog catcher to president need to feel the heat, and understand the political ramifications of a vote to support the policies that will kill jobs and cripple our economy.

Voters need to understand that this bill won’t help the environment and won’t magically lead to a Utopian world of green jobs and renewable powered energy.  This is big government, bad science, and terrible economics.

It is not an easy time.  Jobs are scarce and there are battles on multiple fronts.  But the only way to dig ourselves out of this hole is to stop digging and start making policies that help not hurt.

Cap and Trade is a dagger aimed at the economy of the  heartland and must be stopped.

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COMMENTS

  • ccd6116

    Some years ago I was an Engineer working on a consulting engineering contract for the Department of Energy During my time at DOE my job consisted (in part) of doing ? Studies? of the Western? Transmission grid. Grid in this case refers to the backbone high voltage transmission system of 115KV and above. These studies were used to determine the systems reaction to various generation, load and stability scenarios. As you can imagine these studies gave me some insight as to the systems characteristics.

    So naturally I have been intensely interested in the “Cap and Trade” bill and the possible problems,(to numerous to list as you no doubt know) that will surely follow its implementation. I have read many of the reports generated about the possible results of the bill from both Heritage and from the DOE websites. Other sources (at least the ones released to the public)as well. One thing is very clear even from those reports that might be more supportive of this bill. Energy costs will go to levels not ever seen by the public. More then that, in my opinion, I believe that nation wide electrical energy reliability will be severely effected.

    Even the most rosy engineering studies talk about the difficulty of integrating ?Renewable generation? into the current and future electrical transmission and distribution systems. More then that it is very clear (to me at least) that unless the nation is willing to except everything up to and including rolling blackouts and rationing (think California 2001) this bill if passed will be catastrophic. I know that of the conclusions I have eluded to in the above paragraphs some are mine some from others including Heritage. Please forgive me for repeating what you already know. I wanted only to summarize what my thinking process was.

    So now let me get to the point and of my note. What no one has addressed in any study (at least the ones I have been able to read) is the social ramifications of ?Cap and Trade?. By that I mean how will the various groups like socially affluent, Middle class, and in particular the poor react to the energy cost escalation. Let me give an example of something I have been thinking about.

    As I said above part of my responsibilities was the study of power flow in the western US. It was a given that the single largest user of electrical power in the West were the densest population centers, naturally. For my studies that was the west coast metropolitan areas most especially the Los Angles basin area.

    I think that those who favor cap and trade have not given any thought (or very little) to what will happen in the poorest areas of LA and the bay (SF, Oakland) area, or any large metropolitan area for that matter, when energy costs go through the roof.

    What happens when the Africa-Americans in south central LA or the Hispanic population in many areas of California can’t pay their electrical bills and their power is shut down or curtailed. Do the members of Congress and the members of the global warming and environmental communities really understand how the poor (not to mention the rest of us) will react to having less, little or no (or more likely unreliable) energy. Frankly, the though scares me.

    Am I being an alarmist? Maybe, I don’t know. What I do know is the scenario I am suggesting is possible.

  • spainishirish

    In many ways, Cap and Trade is much more insidious than socialized medicine. As you point out, this is rationing of everything, including jobs.

    Factual information about the economic devastation this legislation would cause is the best weapon to stop it. Already, as you noted, the more the public learns about this hidden energy price increase–by far, the largest and most regressive tax hike in world history–the more public opinion has turned against this monstrosity. Many Blue Dog Democrats live in the very districts where the impact would be felt the most. As their constituents learn the threat it poses to them and their families, those Democrats will be forced to decide whether to carry water for the left-wing of their party or to serve who sent them to Washington. Many already have sided with the Far Left and felt the sting. If any Red State Democratic Senator or Blue Dog Democrat (or any Republican, for that matter) votes for this insanity, we must make certain their constituents know what that represents.

    We as individuals shouldn’t shoulder this burden alone, and those industries that face extinction need to step up to the plate and spend some jack to get this message out. I would hope the non-profits who support liberty and capitalism also would open their wallets so that when the time comes, all MoC’s and senators know their constituents are informed and educated about what their vote means. If that happens, this will not become law.

  • 6eorge Jetson

  • penguinprosemedia

    …shows the impact of Waxman-Markey’s impact on *individual states*.

    Get the word out to bloggers/friends in your state about the damage Cap and Trade will do in your particular state!

  • cowgirl_from_hell

    Cap and Trade is a bad idea I know it, you know it, and the Liberals in Washington know it.

    America can not afford it, especially now. I couldn’t understand why anyone would want to implement a policy that would do so much financial harm to so many. I began doing research on the “green” agenda, and other policy goals of the left, and came up with this:

    http://tinyurl.com/cap-tradePERI

    Their whole “green” platform is just obfuscatory rhetoric. Cap and trade is just the means to an end for the left. In short, cap and trade is the legislative conduit through which the left will inact “social justice”, i.e. the redistribution of wealth. (see p. 21 of the linked document)

    If Cap and trade is signed into law, it will be permanent, and a HUGE score for the left. The permanence comes from the TRADE part of Cap and Trade.

    In the bill there are provisions laying out how the new commodity will be initially distributed, and sets guidelines for trading on an exchange. As with all commodities, futures and derivatives trade based on speculated future value.

    Once the new commodity is incorporated into the financial markets, there is a dollar value associated with it. To repeal cap and trade once this happens would be like shutting down trading for wheat, gold or T-bills. Too many people would lose too much money, and who knows what that would do to the rest of the U.S. economy, or the global economy.