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House Dems to Commit Seppuku Again, Again Most Likely for Nothing

In light of a bloody legislative year, in which the House passed a number of controversial measures that ultimately stalled in the Senate, Blue Dogs and other endangered Democrats have been putting substantial amounts of pressure on Pelosi and the rest of the House leadership to not act on more controversial bills without sure signals that the Senate was already lined up to pass them.  The Blue Dogs, you see, are tired of getting thrown under Pelosi’s bus on behalf of unpopular bills that don’t become law. It’s one thing to hypothesize that the public might like the effects of an unpopular bill after it passes, it’s another to try to recover from voting in favor of one when you can’t even hold on to that vain hope.

In light of the fact that Congressional Democrat leadership has apparently decided to give self-immolation a try on behalf of the wildly unpopular Obamacare reforms, the Blue Dogs had hoped yet again that the Senate would act first.  However, earlier this week, Kent Conrad sent a clear signal to the House that the bill was dead entirely unless the House passed the Senate version first.  So how did Pelosi and the rest of Dem leadership respond?

The House could act first to pass a healthcare bill within the next month, a top House chairman signaled Thursday.

Rep. George Miller (D-Calif.), the chairman of the House Education and Labor Committee and a close ally of Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), suggested that the House may pass the Senate bill before any other action is taken — a key concession to Senate Democrats.

This is an especially foolhardy move by Pelosi since, as the article notes, she doesn’t believe she even has the votes to pass it, thus putting many of her most vulnerable members inbetween the rock of a possible nutroots primary challenge and the hard place of a loss in the general election.  In other words, the clear message being sent to House Democrats, like the message sent to vulnerable Senate Democrats, is “be prepared to fall on your sword.”  But hey, take heart Blue Dogs – if the agony is too much to bear, Obama is prepared to act as your second.

COMMENTS

  • bobojake
  • itrytobenice

    Demon Sheep ate their brains, right?

    If he wasn’t already on the dark side, I’d call foul. As it is, I’ll just make sure he has plenty of salt…

    • houstoneagle
    • nessa

      …nothing to do about that now, but I hear that electing @chuckdevore will rob @demonsheep of his power over his progressive minions. Just rumors, but I understand he is also immune to silver bullets. it seems only an exorcism from a true conservative can send him back to the hell that spawned him. Paul Ryan might be able do manage it.

  • http://www.gopmom.com GOPMOM

    The MA state legislature, despite the $3 billion structural deficit, rampant corruption and the continued loss of jobs, is currently considering legislation to do the following:

    -Ban the practice of de-barking dogs
    -Require non-gender specific restrooms in public facilities (and schools)- Transgender Hate Crimes Bill
    -Ban circumcision
    -Allow physician assisted suicide (in a state with “universal” healthcare!)

    It’s as if they forgot January 19th. It’s like they want to lose.

    Oh, and “Itrytobenice” – I heartily agree with your tag line.

  • Dan McLaughlin

    it’s the bus backing over them repeatedly.

  • gman2008

    To send a clear signal to the House it will block any reconciliation attempt. Yes, I know, the bill will already be law, but that is beside the point. No excuses and no quarter.

    Draw out reconciliation with amendment after amendment – really hard ones to, like treatment of terrorists. Obstruct what the American people do no want. Anything less is caving and we will know it.

    If there is anything else that can be done to obstruct or slow down the process (assuming Pelosi even gets the votes she needs, which I doubt), it should be done with the utmost dedication and gumption. Make the Democrats go on record on some really tough amendments. The slaughter in November will be even greater.

  • Repair_Man_Jack

    Can she? I’m not betting the mortgage. I don’t see her being able to pass the Senate Bill unchanged…

    • writeblock

      It’s all she can do. Right now she doesn’t have the votes because too many House members are terrified of the people’s fury back home. If she had the votes, the bill would have been law weeks ago.

      What the summit was supposed to do was shift public opinion sufficiently to inspire more yea votes. Instead it might have even made matters worse, allowing Republicans to make their case.

      One huge hurdle: no policy amendment excluding abortion would ever conceivably pass reconciliation. Pro-lifers are not about to vote for the Senate bill without prior assurances it will–and that won’t ever happen.

      So Pelosi will have to twist arms to get some members who voted no for the House bill to now flip and vote yes for the Senate bill–at a time when public opinion has hardened even more against any bill at all.

  • stigmo

    It seems as though they’d have no chance to pass this. But I can’t imagine they’d be so brazen if they didn’t have some sort of trump card waiting in the wings?

    • writeblock

      …they have is to try Chicago style politics. But the fact that this hasn’t worked by now suggests that there is a larger number of no votes than can be switched by threatening tactics.

  • clintonformccain

    He has no intention of pushing reconcilation at all. The second 217 votes are recorded in the House, he will unfurl a big MISSION ACCOMPLISHED banner and mutter “suckers” under his breath to House Democrats.

    If they haven’t figured out how this guy rolls yet, then they deserve to commit political suicide, unassisted.

    • writeblock

      …it’s all over. Everything after that would be anti-climactic–for us and for the House. The Senate couldn’t care less. And the House knows this. Hence the present impasse. The fact that the House is expected to go first has compounded the difficulty. It’s not about to take a step like that on the basis of trust. But it’s on the horns of a dilemma. Under the Constitution all budget bills must originate in the House. That’s problem number one. Number two, the Senate can’t use the reconciliation process for a budget bill that amends a bill that hasn’t even become law yet. That would put the cart before the horse. So Pelosi has to go first and pass the Senate bill–which her House membership hates. The summit was supposed to change the atmospherics enough to switch some votes. It didn’t do that. They’ve run out of options.

  • http://thesandsinstitute.org Vassar Bushmills

    Unless of course, (which is not outside the realm of possibility) the Dem’s decide to skirt the law, in which case it all ends up in the courts, assuming the GOP. the probable only aggrieved party (standing), takes it there. That’s a double roll of the dice for the Dems.

    But since they now know 1) the people are watching, and don’t like this, and that 2) OBama ain’t got their backs while expecting them to throw themselves on their swords for him (which was the only real lesson learned from the Blair House summit…Obama lives on a one-way street). So…

    Nancy doesn’t have the votes, since she’s disavowed waterboarding as a means to get it…her star is sinking, too…and Harry can’t can’t even threaten to “reconcile” until there’s an agreed bill to reconcile…

    We should all live an interesting times, and to think, we’re actually a part of it

    • nessa

      …Night Vision Goggles, that is. I retired to get away from such interesting times, then my integrity and patriotism forced me into politics. If only I could use the tools I know to solve this problem. Aahhh well, patience is purported to be a virtue. So I wait…

  • erp617

    I hope it’s on YouTube.

  • http://charlemagne-the-hammer.blogspot.com/ DerKrieger

    …doesn’t surprise me. That’s the Marxist that want to confiscate our 401k’s and IRA’s.

  • earlgrey

    that if they try reconciliation, the dem congressmen will go along with it.?

    I kind of felt like Obama’s comments at the end of the summit referring to elections, might have been a threat to the current dem blue dogs or whatever they choose to be called. They could face primary challengers to their left for the dem nomination.

    I wonder if at any time in our history something so utterly unpopular and tainted with backroom dealings has been passed into law on a purely partisan basis.

    Finally, any thoughts on Obama’s approval ratings on Rasmussen tomorrow? He was at 44 today and I am thinking tomorrow will be a new low – 43.

    • renny

      because they ONLY won in the first place by campaigning to the right of Reps. themselves in 2006 and 2008. That was the Rahm strategy–to outflank Reps. on the right, figuring once the Dogs were in DC, they’d all roll over and expose their bellies to lib. scratching–which has proved all too true.

      But running leftward candidates against the Dogs in primaries–even if they win–does the Dens. no overall good, The Dogs come from cons. or swing districts that are preferably Rep. to begin with. So what is the point? Just torment? Or the Chi-town way?

      • earlgrey

        Hang over their head to pass this legislation

  • 10ksnooker

    So Obama’s illegal organizing for America thugs can take it to the tea party people, like they did before?

    What do you think would happen if Bush had an Organizing for America group of thugs?

  • The_Gadfly

    Your title hit it correctly, it’s seppuku, the “thrown under the bus” bit is wrong. In order to be thrown under the bus, someone else must do it to you. The Big 0 has the power to do this, because he’s the only elected person in his branch of government. All the rest are minions serving at his whim discretion. In the House all the people we are talking about are elected, and therefore equals (excluding the Animal Farm reference of course). It follows that they must throw themselves under the bus. Or they can choose not to. If there were any actual moderates among the Democrats, Nancy Pelosi would be weighing that possibility VERY carefully and keeping her big yap shut while she did it. That she isn’t is the surest sign all the elected Dems are J Juice drinkers. And yes, I’m no longer going to use the conventional reference because I’m actually rather fond of the powered stuff you can buy in the store.

  • earlgrey

    Pro reform groups they are “reasonably confident” they can get this bill passed. It is in the Politico and Hor Air. I really can’t believe they are going to do this.