What follows are my thoughts written since Wednesday morning. In the early hours of this morning, after tossing and turning most of the night, I got up and turned on our local television network. How bad was it? I knew, of course, that President-elect Barack Obama had handily defeated my candidate, John McCain. I, further, knew about the many Senate races and a few select | Read More »
John McCain will not win Michigan. So don’t hold your breath. But, if the race is six points or less — then we will be up late tonight. If it’s five points or less — start thinking upset. If it’s four points or less — John McCain will be our next president. Anecdotally and I will update throughout the day and early evening: 9:15 a.m. | Read More »
Here is my Monday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. New Hampshire – BO 52.8 and JM 42.0; Undecideds 5.2; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 3.2 will break 2/1 for JM. Prediction given these assumptions: BO 52.9 and JM 45.1. Obama wins New Hampshire. Pennsylvania – BO 51.3 and JM 43.7; | Read More »
Here is a Sunday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. New Hampshire – BO 52.7 and JM 42.0; Undecideds 5.3; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 3.3 will break 2/1 for JM. Prediction given these assumptions: BO 52.8 and JM 45.2. Obama wins New Hampshire. Pennsylvania – BO 51.3 and JM 44.0; | Read More »
One week out from an election that could affect the course and direction of America for the next thirty years — we have a real choice between two very different candidates. An aging war hero who has championed himself as the maverick, an unconventional legislator once loved by the media, now ridiculed as out of touch. A young, energetic first term senator, whose intellect is | Read More »
With just more than two weeks left before the November 4th presidential elections, political junkies are just entering their favorite time of year. The constant checks of the various polls, taken state by state, and website after website offering each of us an opportunity to create our own electoral map — establishing the permutations under which our candidate will reach that all-important 270 electoral votes. | Read More »
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