What follows are my thoughts written since Wednesday morning. In the early hours of this morning, after tossing and turning most of the night, I got up and turned on our local television network. How bad was it? I knew, of course, that President-elect Barack Obama had handily defeated my candidate, John McCain. I, further, knew about the many Senate races and a few select | Read More »
Here is my Monday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. New Hampshire – BO 52.8 and JM 42.0; Undecideds 5.2; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 3.2 will break 2/1 for JM. Prediction given these assumptions: BO 52.9 and JM 45.1. Obama wins New Hampshire. Pennsylvania – BO 51.3 and JM 43.7; | Read More »
Here is a Sunday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. New Hampshire – BO 52.7 and JM 42.0; Undecideds 5.3; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 3.3 will break 2/1 for JM. Prediction given these assumptions: BO 52.8 and JM 45.2. Obama wins New Hampshire. Pennsylvania – BO 51.3 and JM 44.0; | Read More »
Here is a Thursday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. Pennsylvania – BO 52.3 and JM 42.8; Undecideds 4.9; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 2.9 will break 5/7 for JM and 2/7 for BO – based on 2008 Democratic Primary Performance. Prediction given these assumptions: JM – 45.8 BO 52.2 Ohio | Read More »
Good morning, Last night, in Senator Obama’s infomercial, he made mention in his prepared remarks that “much of what’s wrong with America goes back much further than” the last eight years. To the American people, I say this is a very telling statement and is where these two campaigns radically differ. Senator Obama’s campaign seems more and more to be a campaign always looking backward | Read More »
One week out from an election that could affect the course and direction of America for the next thirty years — we have a real choice between two very different candidates. An aging war hero who has championed himself as the maverick, an unconventional legislator once loved by the media, now ridiculed as out of touch. A young, energetic first term senator, whose intellect is | Read More »
With just more than two weeks left before the November 4th presidential elections, political junkies are just entering their favorite time of year. The constant checks of the various polls, taken state by state, and website after website offering each of us an opportunity to create our own electoral map — establishing the permutations under which our candidate will reach that all-important 270 electoral votes. | Read More »
Last night, I listened to pundit after pundit give their post-debate analysis, from Bill Kristol to Keith Olbermann. The core of the reaction was that McCain did well, but he didn’t hit the homerun against Obama. All of that misses the point and I think you are seeing it in the various polls taken this morning. McCain was never going to beat Obama on style. | Read More »
On Wednesday, October 15, John McCain must bring his ‘A’ game — by that I mean, not his ‘best’ game, but his ‘American’ game. And, he must be willing to get tough — a notion which his intermittently effective and, then, dismal campaign seemingly hasn’t mastered. McCain will never win this presidential election by trying to match the quixotic campaign of Barack Obama — for | Read More »
Two weeks ago, John McCain’s campaign went on hiatus, claiming that Senator McCain’s place was back in Washington, D.C. to address the nation’s credit crisis. With little explanation as to what exactly Senator McCain hoped to accomplish, he retreated to Northern Virginia at the height of a presidential campaign.
In August, 2007, while speaking at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars *in Washington, D.C., Senator Barack Obama indicated a willingness to invade Pakistan’s sovereign territory to pursue terrorists, whose location becomes known through “actionable intelligence.” Now, running from such a brazen statement, his campaign would quickly point out that such position was conditional — *only if *the terrorists were present in the mountains | Read More »
The McCain announcement, strange for its content and volume, that it was ending campaign operations in Michigan is just the latest misstep in a presidential campaign searching for a message which resonates with this state’s voters. As disappointing as the announcement was, it could hardly be called surprising. Not surprising because McCain’s campaign has been missing opportunity after opportunity in Michigan from day one. Perhaps, | Read More »
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