Election Preview: Tale of Three States

By: Lords86 (Diary)  |  October 30th at 08:37 PM  | 

Here is a Thursday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. Pennsylvania – BO 52.3 and JM 42.8; Undecideds 4.9; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 2.9 will break 5/7 for JM and 2/7 for BO – based on 2008 Democratic Primary Performance. Prediction given these assumptions: JM – 45.8 BO 52.2 Ohio | Read More »

Did you hear?

By: Lords86 (Diary)  |  October 22nd at 02:13 AM  | 

John Zogby this morning has issued his daily tracking poll and it shows a 10 point Obama advantage nationwide. No way! If anyone had any doubt about the accuracy of the polls — the more I hear about a 10 or 11 or 12 point lead nationwide for The One, the more I discount all polls. (I am reminded that CBS News in the days | Read More »