Election Preview: Tale of Eight States Two Days Out

    Here is a Sunday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. New Hampshire – BO 52.7 and JM 42.0; Undecideds 5.3; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 3.3 will break 2/1 for JM. Prediction given these assumptions: BO 52.8 and JM 45.2. Obama wins New Hampshire. Pennsylvania – BO 51.3 and JM 44.0; | Read More »