Election Preview: Eight States That Will Determine Election

By: Lords86 (Diary)  |  November 3rd at 07:44 PM  | 

Here is my Monday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. New Hampshire – BO 52.8 and JM 42.0; Undecideds 5.2; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 3.2 will break 2/1 for JM. Prediction given these assumptions: BO 52.9 and JM 45.1. Obama wins New Hampshire. Pennsylvania – BO 51.3 and JM 43.7; | Read More »

Election Preview: Tale of Three States

By: Lords86 (Diary)  |  October 30th at 08:37 PM  | 

Here is a Thursday update to my election analysis, using the most recent RCP information. Assuming BO overpolling 1 pt. Pennsylvania – BO 52.3 and JM 42.8; Undecideds 4.9; BO will overpoll by 1 pt.; Undecideds, less 2.0, 2.9 will break 5/7 for JM and 2/7 for BO – based on 2008 Democratic Primary Performance. Prediction given these assumptions: JM – 45.8 BO 52.2 Ohio | Read More »

Election Preview: McCain Still in Ballgame

By: Lords86 (Diary)  |  October 28th at 07:41 PM  | 

One week out from an election that could affect the course and direction of America for the next thirty years — we have a real choice between two very different candidates. An aging war hero who has championed himself as the maverick, an unconventional legislator once loved by the media, now ridiculed as out of touch. A young, energetic first term senator, whose intellect is | Read More »