New Jersey Republican gubernatorial candidate Christopher Christie’s campaign got a shot in the arm today when Quinnipiac released the results of its most recent polling in the governor’s race. Christie has expanded his lead to 12 points over incumbent governor Jon Corzine (D). From the poll:
Republican challenger Christopher Christie is pulling away from Democratic incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine and now holds a 53 - 41 percent lead among likely voters in the New Jersey Governor’s race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 50 - 40 percent lead for the former federal prosecutor in a June 10 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
In a three-way matchup among likely voters, Christie leads Gov. Corzine 47 - 38 percent, with 8 percent for independent candidate Christopher Daggett.
Christie has increased his lead despite a month-long negative ad blitz by Corzine that is seeking to paint Christie as ethically challenged and tied to former president George W. Bush. The charges are not sticking. The poll found that only 10% of likely voters say that Corzine’s attacks on Christie’s association with Bush, who appointed him as U.S. Attorney for Newark, are fair. By contrast, 77% say that Corzine should focus on state issues.
But Corzine can’t do that, as the poll results demonstrate.
By a 39 - 20 percent margin, New Jersey likely voters have a favorable opinion of Christie, while 40 percent say they don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. Corzine gets a negative 34 - 58 percent favorability.
New Jersey registered voters disapprove 60 - 33 percent of the job Corzine is doing, his lowest rating ever and down from a 56 - 36 percent disapproval June 10. Independent voters disapprove 69 - 24 percent. Likely voters also disapprove 60 - 33 percent.
Likely voters say 50 - 36 percent that Christie would do a better job handling the state budget and 54 - 30 percent that the Republican would do a better job cleaning up corruption.
President Obama makes a highly anticipated trip to New Jersey this Thursday to raise money and stump for Corzine. If Corzine cannot turn around his dismal poll numbers by early fall, and make the race competitive, it may be the president’s last trip to the Garden State.
A win for Republicans in New Jersey, coupled with an expected win in the Virginia governor’s race, will set the national Republican Party up well for the 2010 midterm elections. Christie is keeping up his end of the bargain.Christie now needs to avoid and major mistakes and seal the deal with voters, who still need to be convinced that he has the skills to govern. But poll results like these buold their own momentum, and Christie is close to the point where his campaign will begin to roll downhill to November.

this is close to being finished
dingo Tuesday, July 14th at 9:55PM EDT (link)Chris Cristie has all but locked up this race.
Although NJ is a Democrat state on the national level, and also for most federal races, it is far more competitive in state races, as former Governor Whitman’s elections showed. Plus, at this point, with the Democrats in full control over the U.S. government at all levels, Corzine cannot save himself by blaming the economy on the “evil” Republicans. Thus, he has two choices: to defend his poor record in NJ, and/or muddy Christie’s crime fighting record. Unfortunately for Corzine, his own economic approval ratings are in the 30’s-40’s, and he has problems breaking 40% in all the polls I have seen. Thus, the first choice is not possible, and all he can do is attack Christie’s crime record. But because the economy is the major issue here, and Corzine has no credibility on it, his attacks on Christie’s crime record have no effect.
Unless Christie screws up his campaign in a major way, or has some huge scandal that we don’t know about, this race is over.
PS: The Republicans have more of an edge here than they do in Virginia. Go figure.
Dingo
Goldman Sachs
DerKrieger Tuesday, July 14th at 11:21PM EDT (link)Goldman Sachs is getting a lot of negative press and a lot of people are very angry at them. If I were Christie I’d tout the Corzine, Goldman corruption connection a little bit.
“In questions of power, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution.” - Thomas Jefferson
“I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence (OBAMACARE – mine), the money of their constituents.” – James Madison
Goldman Link
DerKrieger Tuesday, July 14th at 11:31PM EDT (link)http://tinyurl.com/lf9gvd
“In questions of power, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution.” - Thomas Jefferson
“I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence (OBAMACARE – mine), the money of their constituents.” – James Madison
Torch Corzine?
Jim Mullins Wednesday, July 15th at 2:28AM EDT (link)If the polls do not move, would the NJ Dems attempt the Torricelli Option with Corzine?
–Jim
jimmullins.blogspot.com
West Virginia Citizens Defense League
Never say never.
Mark Impomeni Wednesday, July 15th at 5:43AM EDT (link)I think they would if they could get away with it. The trouble is twofold. One, it would be awfully tough to remove Corzine from the ballot after the president has come to campaign for him. And two, there is no other Democrat with the name ID and credibility to run. Unless they wanted to take a flyer on Menendez.
That said, it is NJ. So keep watching.
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Damn the Obama! Full speed ahead!
Hehe.
redtillimdead Wednesday, July 15th at 3:12AM EDT (link)Even Dems are losing hope. The liberal blog, Swing State Project, is now rating this Lean R. They don’t feel too hopeful. I am especially excited that nearly 20% of Dems are for Christie….
Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
Corrupt NJ Dems
Dencal26 Wednesday, July 15th at 7:39AM EDT (link)Never count out New Jersey Dems. Remember when Torricelli was losing in polls and Dems did a last minute switcheroo with Lautenberg. Dems could run Obama wanna bee Corie Booker who is Newarks mayor. Or perhaps bring Bill Bradley back. They always have something up their slimy sleeves,
What are the drivers of anti-Corzine numbers
tankertodd Wednesday, July 15th at 11:53AM EDT (link)I’m curious what is hurting Corzine. Is it personal, or are these issues that are easily extrapolated upon Democratic policies? I would be more excited about the latter - also goes to the great debate in the Republican Party - reach for moderation or stay true to core concepts. We’re told that we can’t win in New England unless we “moderate” - anything in this race that supports or refutes that assertion? I would think that the exodus from Northern states to Southern would help people realize that Democratic economics don’t work, for example.
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The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race - Chief Justice Roberts