The entire world is always going to Hell.
There’s always a crisis, always an epoch-shattering catastrophe in the offing. There’s usually a potential genocide, frequently a flashpoint in danger of becoming a shooting war, and invariably the fall of a friendly or unfriendly regime that will have immediate effects and more subtle, far-reaching ones. There is nothing new under the sun.
But there’s very rarely an opening there for the taking, begging to be taken, that can make so many differences. It takes a very special breed of fool to keep turning it down, time and again.
Most of this generation’s world leaders are specially-bred fools.
As I’ve noted before, the signal features of this generation of leaders in the West are a profound belief in their own understanding of Realpolitik, and a simultaneous failure to apply that policy in any effective way. While there are opportunities to be had the world over, it is in Eastern Europe that some of the greatest openings lie.
With Europe’s economies and governments in hibernation or a downward spiral, with a culture of entitlement burning down a culture of interdependent unity, with former Soviet states trying to escape the orbit of a revanchist Russia determined to control Europe through virtual control over natural gas, drawing former Soviet slave states into the European Union should be the first and foremost project Washington and Brussels have for the continent.
Ukraine would like to be part of that world. Despite not-so-subtle recent threats and cuts in gas supplies from Russia, despite repeated signs of contempt from the U.S. and E.U., Ukraine continues its bid for closer ties and future membership in Europe. Its leadership has clearly cast its lot with the West, even if the West has not properly understood this.
While Ukraine has flirted with Russia in the past — most recently during former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko’s attempts at foreign policy — its current President, Viktor Yanukovych, has not deviated from a Westward course during his time in office. While he has made this extremely explicit in his policy and speeches to date, his most recent speech to the Verkhovna Rada, the Ukrainian Parliament, is worth noting for the manner in which he continues to explicitly tie Ukraine’s future to the European Union.
“Our path to the EU has no alternatives,” he told Parliament. “I count on lawmakers’ serious and productive legislative work to support the process of our integration.”
Furthermore, he called for a decreased regulatory hand on business development, and chose very particular language in doing so. The President of Ukraine declared that “obsolete Soviet-era repressive rules of law governing the state-citizen and state-business relations must be finally cancelled.”
That’s right. The President of Ukraine said that, after committing himself to closer ties with the European Union.
While we take it for granted that the word “Soviet” is a synonym for almost every negative adjective in English, it is rare to see the leader of a former Soviet Socialist Republic making this tie so explicitly. It is especially important because in an era in which a wounded-but-returning Vladimir Putin stakes his personal appeal on a neo-Soviet Russian Empire reborn, and Russia’s foreign policy is explicitly aimed at broadening Russian hegemony in effect if not in name, this sort of language is something the foreign policy elite in Washington should take note of.
It is also more than symbolism. Ukraine’s governance has been uneven since before the Orange Revolution, but the last year has seen real improvements: Election reforms tailor-made for approval by the European Union, pension reforms, infrastructure investment for modernization, and now across-the-board economic reforms designed to liberate the economy from the weight of the crushing regulatory state.
This is a rare moment. By welcoming further Ukrainian integration into Europe, Washington and Brussels would send a message to the other states of the former Soviet Union still caught in Russia’s orbit: There is a welcoming future for you with the West. Markets and peoples could be pulled from Russia’s grasp forever with minimal effort. A Russia determined to dominate Europe through territory, people, and natural gas, would be stymied.
This is the cold, logical, Realpolitik choice.
Instead, as has become customary, these cool-eyed, gritty foreign policy types who don’t believe in idealism are dashing this opportunity because they are upset that Tymoshenko is in jail. They may not realize that a look into Tymoshenko’s recent past shows that she was as much a part of the problem in Ukraine as part of any solution.
Regardless of the merits of the Tymoshenko trial (and her proclivity to make even medical exams into a propaganda moment), or the fact that she is actually Putin’s closest ally in Ukraine, we are witnessing the spectacle of some European leaders tanking their own futures over an idealism they angrily reject.
Rational people might wonder why former Soviet states would want to join this gaggle of lunatics, but they do. The question now is whether the lunatics in Brussels come to their senses enough to have them.
Matthew Lina is a Junior Scholar at the soon-to-be-launched Center for the Study of Former Soviet Socialist Republics, a think-tank dedicated to advancing free markets and democracy in the former Soviet bloc. Follow him on Twitter at @MattLinaCXSSR.
Jeff Emanuel
Neil Stevens
Interesting, thanks
Viet71 (Diary) Saturday, February 18th at 10:12AM EDT (link)n/t
Most people simply don't understand
roberthawk Saturday, February 18th at 11:10AM EDT (link)I would not consider this exciting news and definitely not an epiphany. Most Americans do not understand that the cold war continues to raga foreword. They thought when the Berlin wall was taken down that the cold war was over. Actually the cold war moved into the final phase when the wall was taken down in 1989.
Look now and realize how far the Soviets have come toward realizing their dream of a world of global communist states (Golitsyn p337 new lies for old). The tactics of Soviet disinformation and subversion have moved the entire EU into a community of Socialists countries. All of South America has been socialists of communist for a number of decades. Canada is socialists as are the other countries which once served under the British crown. All of Indonesia and Asia are Socialist or Communist states. The only two countries which have not been completely subverted are the State of Israel and the United States, however those last two are well on their way to grouping the whole together. As we observe the Middle East in the throws of the state of Socialists crisis, brought on by Soviet ideological subversion.
We need to ask ourselves is this what the Lord God of Israel intended? For the entire world to fall under socialism and communism and found itself upon one belief (Stoic philos-sophos doctrine)? The middle east will fall into the trap of global socialism/communism over the coming months. Finally taking its place among the prizes of Russian subversion. That activity aligns with the prophecy of Daniel (8 & 11). However the United States being wholly seduced by socialism and communism is not provided for in that prophecy. Something happens to turn these United Sates away from becoming one of Russia’s prize possessions. The prophecy is quite clear concerning the West and its final destruction of both Persia (Iran) and Media (Iraq/Turkey) armies.
Americans need to wake up to the fact that Socialism, Communism, and Progressivism are simply sects of the same religious doctrine. They are all based upon Greek philos-sophos doctrine, especially that doctrine professed by the Stoics. The Apostle Paul warned of these events in Colossians chapter 2. He actually engaged the Greek Philos-Sophos believers while in Athens. The account is documented in the 17th chapter of the book of acts. In Colossians chapter 2 he rebukes philos-sophos doctrine as being a vial doctrine of men. He discusses the subversion which this doctrine will undertake in order to deceive Christians and it has turned out exactly as Paul professed.
This Stoic philos-sophos doctrine is the base doctrine used by believers such as George Hegel and all of his students which include Feuerbach, Bauer (brothers), Sterner, Marx & Engels. Its the same doctrine used by Darwin and George B Shaw and Hitler and Stalin and Lenin and Mau and Che.
Stoic philos-sophos doctrine is the base doctrine of the US education system. The scientific method is based squarely upon Stoic philos-sophos doctrine.
All of the laws enacted based upon “Social Justice” find their basis for being in Stoic philos-sophos doctrine.
Many of the old Christian religious systems now worship a new doctrine called Liberation theology, which is based upon Stoic philos-sophos doctrine.
The school children and college graduates have been subverted over the past 4 decades, bombarded in every quarter by teachings based upon Stoic philos-sophos doctrine and its dialectic process. We must now make the choice to continue down this pathway which leaves eventually to self destruction as it did for the Greeks and Romans or derail this pathway by properly identifying Stoic philos-sophos doctrine as a religious belief, a doctrine as is its rightful place and rejecting all laws and activities which provide it sanction as the official US government doctrine.