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FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

Ladies and gentlemen, we have gotten inside the Democrats’ decision loop.

I give you Exhibit A.

Maureen Dowd.

I’ve been to a lot of conventions, and there’s always something gratifyingly weird that happens.

{snip}

But this Democratic convention has a vibe so weird and jittery, so at odds with the early thrilling, fairy dust feel of the Obama revolution, that I had to consult Mike Murphy, the peppery Republican strategist and former McCain guru.

“What is that feeling in the air?” I asked him.

“Submerged hate,” he promptly replied.

I’m mostly skipping watching the convention – the important speech is tomorrow, when Obama ritually calls upon the Greek gods to favor his campaign (no, really) – on the general principle that this is why they invented YouTube, embedded video links, and pretty much the Internet in general. Anything specifically worth noting can be noted after the fact.

But general stuff is still interesting to me, and from what I’m seeing there’s a lot of interesting stuff going on. While individual speeches are getting favorable reviews, Dowd’s piece is just one of several that’s comes to the conclusion that the Democratic call for Unity… simply isn’t happening.

I think that in some ways the Clinton/Obama controversy – my thanks to the Democrats for looking like they’re going to be nominating the weaker candidate, by the way; every little bit helps – is more symptomatic of the problem than the problem itself. Conventions are ideological exercises, of course; ideology, a lot of bad stage production, and the potential for a good speech here and there. But what they can also be (and I think that the reason we still have them) are opportunities for Party workers to connect with each other, and reaffirm their affiliation with something larger than the individual. Put baldly like that, it sounds kind of weird – but people like belonging to groups, and for good reason: groups can accomplish things that individuals can’t. Assuming, of course, that the group is properly organized and competently led.

Yes, indeed. That last sentence should put a shiver down the spine of any Democrat reading it. It probably does, in fact – only like Dowd they cannot simply go “We are, well, doomed” and move on to Congress. Many of them (again, like Dowd) are probably not even really allowing themselves to think consciously of their problem. Hence the talk of “vibes” and “weird moods.” And that’s why they’ve been peculiarly reactionary in this election campaign lately: they may not like where we’re going, but at least we know where we’re going.

And if we’re going somewhere that leads to a Democratic Presidential defeat, well, they have a narrative for that already.

Moe Lane

PS: Oh, yes, this isn’t a disease exclusively reserved for Democrats: the Republican Party is full of people – including me, by the way – with a long list of Problems We Have With Our Current Candidate. And I fully expect to hear an earful about that next week. But we’re not being done unto as we’re doing, and that is a epic-level failure on behalf of the Democratic Party, which really should be winning big at this moment.

Let me repeat that. The Democratic Party should be winning big at this moment. Not drifting towards a lee shore, with the sails fouled, and the glass falling.

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COMMENTS

  • spainishirish

    I know the arguments. Yet a quick look at the RCP generic congressional poll shows it continues to tighten as well. Admittedly it is at 10.2 percent, but it flirted with 15 to 20 as recently as the Spring. If memory serves it was at 9 in August of 2004.

    Things have changed on several fronts: the Iraq War has gone very right, old enemies have reared their heads, the Democrats have gotten on the wrong side of the gasoline issue re drilling, and that party finds itself saddled with an incredibly light and incompetent presidential candidate.

    This isn’t to say Dems won’t necessarily expand their congressional margins, but what looked like a tidal wave has come to resemble something more like a minor mid-term correction (even Sunnunu, whom I had govem up for dead, has started to pull close to the Democrat).

    I agree Hillary Clinton would have been the stronger candidate, but the Democrats felt so cocky they nominated someone way outside of the American mainstream. If elections could be held in a bubble that would be defensible. As it is, elections evolve with events.

  • Moe_Lane

    The GOP brand is still suffering from the hammer blows it took in 2006, the President is not going to be credited with the war’s success until he’s safely out of office, and two years of Democratic ineptitude in Congress hadn’t seemed to make an impact (heck, large swathes of the population still think that we run Congress). This should be a blowout for them.

  • spainishirish

    I still have more confidence than back in May, though, that this won’t be a blow out.

  • birdmojo

    Is that while “Generic Democrat” beat “Generic Republican” in the polls, Clinton vs. McCain (in the RCP polls, anyway) was pretty much also a tie.

    So Obama vs. McCain was a tie… Clinton vs. McCain was a tie…

    But Generic Democrat did very well.

    Is it one of those things where people still think Harry S Truman when they think “Generic Democrat” and then, when they actually see the choice between Clinton and Obama say “yeah, not one of those newfangled ones”?

  • skey

    It’s also that we’re about to nominate someone, who, in any other generation, would have been a conservative/moderate Democrat. So it’s not particularly surprising that he picks up a fair chunk of the ‘generic Democrat’ votes, since the generic Democrat voter hasn’t moved nearly as far to the left as the Democratic Party elites have.

    And true, with the numbers the way they are, and the Republican Party not understanding yet that they need to be the party of non-corruption and fiscal frugalness, that’s very likely the only way someone gets elected who has a nominal (R) after his name.

  • Alberta

    For reals. I mean how much money do you think that guy (and to be realistic, its probably more like his parents, liberals hate work) plunked down to get a degree from a school to teach him to write that low tripe.

    I wish they would put, under the authors name, what school he went to so I know where the idiot factory is.

    If Barry doesnt win, it wont be because America rejects his socialist policies of the past (which the author, displaying his inner moron for all to see, calls ‘new policies’) but because white people hate blacks. Lets not mention that it isnt only ‘old white guys’ who have a problem with Barry. Polls find Hispanics, Jews, and generally people from family oriented cultures do not like Barry either. In fact, you could make the case that Barrys biggest base are white people.

    The left is so bankrupt right now its sad. Its in such denial over the rejection of its policies prescriptions that they have become a party of, not the donkey, but the ostrich.

  • streetwise

    But far be it from me to oppose Hollywood and all that.

  • CK_MacLeod

    …has been one of the worst political intellectuals in the country for going on 20 years, but that SLATE article is a classic – it’s almost the perfect liberal op-ed of this election cycle.

  • aceintx

    PS: Oh, yes, this isn’t a disease exclusively reserved for Democrats: the Republican Party is full of people – including me, by the way – with a long list of Problems We Have With Our Current Candidate. And I fully expect to hear an earful about that next week.

    You may not hear as much as you think next week depending on what we hear on Friday. As the Village “Idio…er…Malcontent” I’ve actually become comfortable with the idea of a President McCain…and I suspect we will come out next week with far less contention than I ever would have believed possible in March. Let’s just pray the “Maverick” doesn’t ruin it with an outragious VP pick…if he plays this right…I predict a 10 to 12 % bounce after our convention.

  • aceintx

    I look for the generic Congressional numbers to tighten as well…I wish I had saved it…but I read…or heard somewhere that for the first time in history, not only is the approval for Congress itself at record lows…the numbers for a particular voter’s own representative is in the 40s. in years of significant opposition party gains in the past…the polls have always showed the voters disapproved of the Party in power…but liked their representative. This year is the first time voters indicate significant disapproval for their incumbent representative. If this is true, this points to the biggest “throw the bums” out wave in history…and guess what…the Democrats have more bums to throw out!

    Let us pray!

  • Tim_Schieferecke

    I think we can bury them with the energy issue. It’s going to take a full frontal attack and McCain has to become an even stronger field general for it to work with extreme prejudice. I’m doing my part to help turn Kansas 2nd District back to red with letters to the editor on her vote to adjourn. The Topeka Capital Journal just called me back to confirm authorship on my second letter, so hopefully they’ll get it in soon.

  • Strelnikov

    I live in Ohio in what seems to be a very Republican area: I have some 7th Grade students who listened to Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh during the summer and can quote them! And my colleagues (lefty types, who shudder at the following thought) have said Republicans are very dominant here.

    What is interesting is that there are hardly any McCain signs in front yeards.

    There is a very good number of Obama signs: however, they display the trickle-down arrogance of the candidate.

    They read: “Another UA Citizen for Obama” and are quite appropriately colored blue and white.

    So where are the McCain signs? My theory: the large Republican majority knows they will be voting for McCain, some holding their noses, some not admitting it, but the result is, they see no need to put out a sign or use a bumper sticker.

    If not, then perhaps Obama has made inroads here in Reagan Land.

  • aceintx

    It can still be done with or without McCain…but we need to be writing to every Republican leader in the House and Senate to stop playing to the CW that a Presidents last year in office is an automatic loss for his party in the Congress…I’m convince they can win if they just stop whining and get off their dead asses and fight…FIGHT…FIGHT!

  • jarrod21

    Honestly, I just don’t want some whacked out Obama supporter to key my car or steal my sign.

  • aceintx

    I’m convinced that there is a vast majority of Republicans that will vote for McCain as an anti Obama vote but won’t openly support him because of his many anti conservative positions.

    I don’t think this translates to the Congressional level though…Republicans need to get on the “Throw the bums out” bandwagon and fight…I’m convinced they could win if they would just emphasize the fact that this Congress that has a whopping 91% disapproval rating is a Democrat Congress…and beat it to death…They shouldn’t mention Congress without saying Democrat Congress at every turn! Someone said above that most Americans don’t even know this is a Democrat Congress and think Republicans are still in control. It’s anecdotal…but I’ve seen evidence that proves that statement!

  • Pentagon16

    do you live in Upper Arlington? I graduated from UAHS in 1989.. I would bet that the vast majority of citizens are voting McCain and just don’t want to deal with some freak bashing their car over the sticker.

    I know that is why I don’t put a sticker on my car. And the McCain campaign really has not begun to even distribute lawn signs heavily yet..

  • Strelnikov

    Yes indeed!

    Agreed, that Democrat vandalism is always a fear: and the closer one drives to the OSU campus, the closer one drives to San Francisco!

    Wanting to avoid campaign fatigue by not putting signs out until next week or afterward could be a factor.

  • zsmvf6

    The meek little supporters natives are supposed to submit to the whim of the ‘powers that be’.

  • kyle8

    The Democrats have a mounting problem that comes from their identity politics. The dirty little secret is that anti-black bigotry is sky high in Hispanic and Asian communities. Blacks don’t like either group. Jews are being denigrated by most of the other special interest groups, and the Hispanics really don’t like the gays.

    You will never get any of them to admit this, but it is a big problem.

  • JKH1232

    In Grandview a lot- though, Grandview’s a lot grittier than UA ever will be!

    And I don’t have one because I know I’ll get vandalized. I live in the Short North, after all. Frickin’ hippies.

    (Side note, should we have C-Bus Red State get-together or something?)

  • Moe_Lane

    NT

  • ConservaGeek

    As long as McCain picks someone reasonably conservative for veep (i.e. no Lieberman), I’ll hold my nose and vote for the ticket (I won’t be voting for him, personally).

    If he does pick Lieberman or a liberal Republican for veep, tho, I’ll just stay home and pray that Obama does for the GOP what Carter did for Reagan.

  • wolfgang

    Submerged hate is what the Marines felt for the Japanese 1941-1945.

    4,000 dead defenders at Tarawa, 24,000 dead defenders at Saipan, 17,000 dead defenders at Guam, 11,000 dead defenders at Pelieliu, 600,000 dead defenders in the Phillipines, 21,000 dead defenders on Iwo Jima, 100,000 dead defenders on Okinawa.

    Sheila Jackson Lee wants the United States to apologize for what we did against the Japanese in order to win WWII. Maybe a John the Baptist moment should be what is in order for Representative Sheila Jackson Lee.

    Are the Republicans ready for to do what we need to do to save this country?

    Freedom is not Free!