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Joe Biden: “we can pick-up at least 11 Republican-held Senate seats.”

"Joe Biden opens his mouth" doesn't seem to quite fit the medium. Suggestions?

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  September 4th, 2008 at 11:50 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

From the Perpetual Voluntary Mandatory Give Us Five Bucks Or The Universe Will Implode series of begging emails that will be spamming Democrats until, well, the universe implodes:

But our victory in November will not be complete unless the DSCC can also deliver the filibuster-proof Senate majority that can end the obstruction and help us turn things around.

This is the year we can pick-up at least 11 Republican-held Senate seats, more than enough for that overwhelming majority.

Eleven seats?

Eleven?

Name ‘em, Senator. Alphabetically by state will do.

Moe Lane

PS: Try to do it in less than four hours, Senator.

PPS: Kids, when you try to play games here, do try to remember that this isn’t your normal stomping grounds. So: recent polls, stick to GOP-held seats – just like Biden did – and, for the love of God, don’t drag Sarah Palin’s family into this. I know that this last can be hard for Obama supporters, but at least try.

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COMMENTS

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  • kingnavland

    Not to defend Biden, because he’s pretty much indefensible, but if you look at the Cook Political Report, you get 10 Republican seats that are either in the Dems column, Toss-up or Lean Republican. And I think there was a poll that showed the Oklahoma race close. That said, the idea of +11 for the Democrats is absurd. The more money they give now, the less they’ll have to give when it counts, so please feel free to waste all your money, libs.

    Dem Favored: Virginia
    Lean Dem: Alaska, New Mexico
    Tossup: Colorado, Minnesota, Mississippi (Special Election), New Hampshire, Oregon
    Lean GOP: Maine, North Carolina

    Data from Wikipedia.

  • E_Pluribus_Unum

    Wow, that is a whopper for the ages. Even dKos is not predicting 11 pickups. He must have cribbed this from a Maureen Dowd column or something.

    If Biden said this AFTER the Palin speech, it must be because he was still a bit dazed from being *posterized by America’s naughty librarian.

    *an instance where a defensive player is on the receiving end of a picturesque slam dunk by an opponent.

  • jimmuy8

    He should have said 14 or more–what with the extra 7 states in Obamaland.

  • mbauer

    That we are realistically looking at the dems having 57 seats if something doesn’t shake voters up.

  • St_Louis_Conservative

    That’s not good, but it’s not 11.

    The Alaska situation is an absolute disgrace. Both Alaska senate seats are ones that the GOP should have a permanent lock on, and it appears that one may be slipping away because of Ted Stevens. What a joke.

  • jeffweimer

    What has been going on here at RedState the past week or so? I’m getting 500 server errors all the time, and for the pasr hour, that’s all I have been getting.

  • aaronbg

    n/t

  • jeffweimer

    What has been going on here at RedState the past week or so? I’m getting 500 server errors all the time, and for the pasr hour, that’s all I have been getting.

  • paint_it_red

    The seats the Dems pick up in the Senate this year will be:

    1. Virginia – Gilmore was a very unpopular governor. Liberals hate him, he did not follow through on his key platform to eliminate the car tax, and social conservatives don’t like his equivocations about abortion. Warner is a popular ex-governor. Gilmore should never ever have been the nominee. Its a landslide loss for Gilmore.

    2. Alaska – Ted Stevens is down 21 points. Unlikely he will recover here.

    3. Colorado – leans Dem, RCP has Udall by 3 over Schaffer, and I haven’t see Schaffer ahead yet. But, still, its close, and if McCain slaughters Obama, the coattails could carry Schaffer to victory.

    4. Louisiana – the most vulnerable Dem is favored to win but is only +6. A strong McCain headwind and some Jindal intervention could swing this one our way.

    5. Minnesota – Is a toss up, and again, Presidential coattails matter. Franken finally has a 1 pt lead but my goodness he’s a terrible terrible candidate. Still, this one’s a maybe.

    6. Mississippi – Wicker has a 1 pt lead over Musgrove and has been trailing him in the past. This is another toss-up, and again Presidential coattails matter. With Palin on ticket, I think this stays on our side.

    7. New Hampshire – Sununu trails Shaheen by 11. He’s not dead in the water, but this is a likely Democrat pick up.

    8. New Jersey – Lautenberg is vulnerable and RCP has him 1 point down. With a strong McCain/Palin headwind, this could go our way too.

    9. New Mexico – Pearce v. Udall (related to CO Udall) – toss up

    10. NC – Dole is in a toss up – but I think she will ultimately pull this one out. Again, Presidential headwinds matter.

    11. OR – Smith is vulnerable but this is a toss up, leaning to Smith

    All in all, 2 vulnerable Dems, 9 vulnerable GOP Senators. 2 seats are definitely lost. I predict the Dems net 1-9 seats, with 5 or 6 being the most likely number.

  • IJB

    In a scenario where McCain wins the Presidency, the Dems’ gains in the Senate are severely curtailed.

    In that case, I think the Dems are likely to only pick off VA & NM. CO would be a toss-up that would end up going to Shaffer if McCain wins the state. If Stevens is not convicted, AK voters will let him skate, especially so as not to make Palin look bad. NH swings to Sununu with a solid McCain win. In a really solid McCain environment, Landrieu goes down in LA.

    The true range is GOP+2 (the absolute best case scenario – GOP holds everything, even VA, and takes LA & NJ – extreme long-shot!) to Dems+11 (Dems win everything you list, plus knock off McConnell in KY and Inhofe in OK – there’s almost no way this happens either).

    In the end, I think the Dems, maybe, get to 53 (including Sanders of VT), and end up being very disappointed. (And in big trouble when 2012 rolls around…)

    Oh, and Lieberman will start caucusing with the GOP after Reid boots him – got to love it!!

  • walter_hanson

    Two people made a serious effort to do the list. The first person had ten. The second person had eleven on their list, but forgot that seats controlled by the Democrats don’t count.

    Still to seriously look at the list here:

    Virginia we’re in trouble. Too bad Warner didn’t run. Still if Mccain works his butt off to win the state he’ll drag the Republican upwards.

    New Mexico – lots of trouble. Obama has a big lead. We’re coming off a big primary fight.

    Colorado – hey we’re improving and the margin has come down. Not to mention Udal the candidate for the Democrats has been caught not being present to vote on the one vote margin to recess instead of discussing an oil drilling bill after promising to vote.

    Alaska – we lost our chance to defend this seat honorably when we didn’t defeat Stevens in the primary. Still it’s a win win. Pallin might get enough Republicans out to drag Stevens to victory. On the other hand if Stevens loses it might send the message loud and clear to Republicans through out the country the price of lets really constrain earmarks and reduce spending.

    New Hampshire – John S. is losing by a margin just because Democrats from Massachusetts have fled to New Hampshire and made it a blue state. Still John is using the oil issue well.

    That makes five at worse.

    The rest of list of paint in the red has to be questioned. Louisiana and New Jersey are Democrat seats. At best those are holds not gains.

    Minnesota Coleman has led basically in all polls. The one poll being quoted was done by a group that thinks the state is 50% Democrat 40% Republican and 10 % Independent. In that make up Franken has just a one point lead. That is a sure sign of his loss coming. The question is will it be the primary where there is a serious candidate running in the DFL primary.

    Mississippi once again you’re using old data. Wicker has been leading by 5% or plus.

    Oregon will be close especially with the money, but Smith has the lead and seems not to be in danger of losing.

    North Carolina is a danger, but at this point in 2004 the Democrat had a big lead and wound up losing with Edwards not being a help. That indicates Dole.

    One thing that I don’t think is being taken into account. Even though lots of Democrats are preceived to be safe and heading to easy victory I think somebody is going to be caught up in an unexpected loss.

    Bottum line. The logic loss should start at five. I’ve been thinking have it limited to just two. Now I’m beginning to think just one loss or even zero is possible.

    Walter Hanson
    Minneapolis, MN