I said that it did back in February, and I say it now. It happened, and while there are consequences to saying that it happened, there are consequences to not saying so, too. And the administration has apparently decided to go with the latter set of consequences.
Obama wavers on pledge to declare Armenian genocide
The Obama administration is hesitating on a promised presidential declaration that Armenians were the victims of genocide in the early 20th century, fearful of alienating Turkey when U.S. officials badly want its help.
President Obama and other top administration officials pledged during the presidential campaign to officially designate the 1915 killings of Armenians by the Ottoman Turks as genocide. Many Armenian Americans, who are descendants of the victims and survivors, have long sought such a declaration.
But the administration also has been soliciting Ankara’s help on Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran and other security issues amid Turkish warnings that an official U.S. statement would imperil Turkey’s assistance.
Administration officials are considering postponing a presidential statement, citing progress toward a thaw in relations between Turkey and neighboring Armenia. Further signs of warming — such as talk of reopening border crossings — would strengthen arguments that a U.S. statement could imperil the progress.
One of the frustrating aspects of realpolitik is that you end up having to deal with the fact that there’s often exceptionally and compellingly logical reasons to do things that are really quite awful. The problem here is that I don’t actually consider the above to be bad reasons for delaying our recognition of the Armenian Genocide. They are not in my opinion sufficient reasons, but this is one place where I can concede that other people might consider my opinion to be primarily partisan in nature. I don’t think that it is, but I could be trying to delude even myself on the topic.
That being said, I think that Obama supporters like Congressmen Adam Schiff and Brad Sherman deserve a bit more transparency than a carefully-parsed statement from somebody on the NSC. Particularly since Obama was very explicit on the campaign trail in the first place:
…to say nothing of Samantha Power:
But not this Turkish diplomat, who pretty much called this development last year:
As I said: realpolitik is frustrating.
Moe Lane
PS: Crossposted to Moe Lane.
Steve Maley
Neil Stevens
I hate how much we need Turkey. nt
Alitheia (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 12:08PM EST (link)I swear, by my life and my love of it, that I will never be forced to live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.
It happened.
red4ever (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 12:13PM EST (link)Period. Say it happened. Then say, there is no one left to prosecute and move on. If Turkey gets their knickers in a knot, we can send them a reset button too.
Honestly, if Turkey had any brains, they would realize this could be done a diplomatic way that acknowledges historical reality while not jeopardizing modern relations. After all, look what happened to Germany after being forced to acknowledge their genocide (trust me, they would have avoided admitting complicitly and blamed it all on Hitler alone if they could have), they got the Marshall plan and lots of other cool prizes for playing.
The hottest places in hell are reserved for those who, in times of great moral crisis, maintain their neutrality.
Dante
No
Alitheia (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 12:20PM EST (link)The country entire would flip its lid, and their hatred of Israel would spill over into a mass of violence. We would lose their support and intelligence.
Armenia and Kurdistan will remain intractable issues for a long time.
I swear, by my life and my love of it, that I will never be forced to live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.
I respectfully disagree
red4ever (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 1:29PM EST (link)Not everyone in Turkey is against admitting the Armenian Genocide occurred. It is the policy of the Turkish government to make it a matter of national pride to continue to deny it. Done diplomatically (which I will grant, I doubt this adminstration is capable of) so that it is not seen as a punishment, it can be presented as palatable to the Turkish people by the Turkish government.
The hottest places in hell are reserved for those who, in times of great moral crisis, maintain their neutrality.
Dante
Why would the Turkish government risk its own popularity? nt
Alitheia (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 2:19PM EST (link)I swear, by my life and my love of it, that I will never be forced to live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.
When I worked at the UN...
Marcus_Traianus (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 12:21PM EST (link)..my boss was an Armenian. Suffice to say the stories I heard first hand were real, terrible and consistent proof of deliberate genocide.
Thorugh it all, while bitter, the family was not hateful towards Turkey. The only time you could sense a real hint of anger was when they discussed the Turk’s unwillingness to be truthful about the episode.
Never in history has such deliberate, substantiated genocide been so egregiously ignored. This incident stands alone as the transcendent example of world political cowardice. There seems to be an overabundance of that quality in this administration.
“Both of our political parties, at least the honest portion of them, agree conscientiously in the same object—the public good; but they differ essentially in what they deem the means of promoting that good. One side believes it best done by one composition of the governing powers; the other, by a different one. One fears most the ignorance of the people; the other, the selfishness of rulers independent of them. Which is right, time and experience will prove.”.Thomas Jefferson
When I worked at the UN...
Marcus_Traianus (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 12:21PM EST (link)..my boss was an Armenian. Suffice to say the stories I heard first hand were real, terrible and consistent proof of deliberate genocide.
Thorugh it all, while bitter, the family was not hateful towards Turkey. The only time you could sense a real hint of anger was when they discussed the Turk’s unwillingness to be truthful about the episode.
Never in history has such deliberate, substantiated genocide been so egregiously ignored. This incident stands alone as the transcendent example of world political cowardice. There seems to be an overabundance of that quality in this administration.
“Both of our political parties, at least the honest portion of them, agree conscientiously in the same object—the public good; but they differ essentially in what they deem the means of promoting that good. One side believes it best done by one composition of the governing powers; the other, by a different one. One fears most the ignorance of the people; the other, the selfishness of rulers independent of them. Which is right, time and experience will prove.”.Thomas Jefferson
Moe, did you see this one
djemi (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 12:49PM EST (link)Barack Obama heads to Britain and Europe in two weeks’ time as the leader of the first U.S. Administration to wholeheartedly back the creation of a federal Europe. In contrast to earlier U.S. administrations, including those of George W. Bush and Bill Clinton, the Obama administration is avowedly Euro-federalist in outlook, and is keen to help build a European Union defense identity as well as support the foundations of a European superstate in Brussels.
This dangerous shift in U.S. policy is a betrayal of both U.S. and British interests that will threaten the long-term future of the Anglo-American Special Relationship, weaken the NATO alliance, and undermine the defence of British sovereignty in Europe. It will also undercut opposition across the EU to the Treaty of Lisbon, including in countries such as Ireland, Poland and the Czech Republic, and may set the scene for a major confrontation between the Obama White House and a future Conservative administration in London.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/5005351/Barack-Obama-will-back-a-federal-Europe.html
“If I can’t shoot rabbits,then I can’t shoot fascist”
“With age, comes Wisdom, but only if you are paying Attention, son” my ‘Old Man’
RS Help files (h/t JLenardDetroit) Grassroots in Michigan
Moes Strategy
No wonder his State Dept. stooges didn't recognize
janis (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 12:55PM EST (link)Great Britain and America’s “special relationship.” He doesn’t intend to continue it if the trends emerging bear fruit.
It is not clear there was an Armenian genocide
icbm (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 2:13PM EST (link)I realize that reasonable persons can disagree, and also that majority opinion is against me on this issue.
But my understanding is that, while hundreds of thousands of Armenians were killed by Turks, there is not sufficient evidence to conclude that it was a concerted policy by the government to eliminate the Armenians.
On the other hand, if “genocide” means nothing more than “mass slaughter of civilians,” then yes, there was a genocide. I believe that genocide is something more than mass slaughter, though.
I recommend looking at this letter in Commentary Magazine by the author of an article on the subject, responding to critics of his article. (I believe the article itself is available only for a fee.)
https://www.commentarymagazine.com/viewarticle.cfm/genocide–11140?page=3
Furthermore, from our point of view, does it matter
icbm (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 2:19PM EST (link)whether Turkey acknowledges the Armenian slaughter?
Japan has been less than candid, shall we say, in acknowledging its past crimes during World War II against the Chinese, Philipinos, and many other peoples.
Until 1997, when Chirac apologized, France had never expressed official regret (nor much unofficial regret) over its complicity in sending scores of thousands of Jewish refugees and Jewish citizens (!) to the German murder factories.
While personally I oppose this reticence of the Japanese and the French, how does it affect American interests currently?
It Matters
GreyCloak (Diary) Thursday, March 19th at 7:07AM EST (link)I wrote about this a long time ago … and those posts have long since been lost by RedState. But here’s what I remember:
Slaughter happened … whether it was “genocide” or not is semantics, but “genocide” carries an awful potent meaning.
Whatever happened, it was done by the Ottoman Turks around the end (1915-1918) of the 1st World War, Almost 100 years ago!
The Ottomans were overthrown by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk in 1923, from whom the modern nation takes its name. (Please read the reference; it is a tribute from an enemy he defeated.)
Today’s Turkish government has not been Ottoman for over eighty years. They HAVE been a member of NATO for over fifty years, and are an American ally. They still provide the US with an airbase, and did many things for us during the Cold War.
Turkey was the first Islamic nation to recognize Israel … in 1949!
I suppose Obama might wish to cater to his vast Armenian constituency (I know some of them, and respect their passion), but a claim of “genocide” at this late date is not a good idea; nor is it fair.
Turkey is one of the oldest democracies in the Middle East ( much as their Army has had to step in a few times, and pretty quickly held elections).
As Turkey has been trying to join the EU (and they have made a significant case for it), but has been thwarted by some frankly racist opposition, this is no time to “add fuel to the fire.”
Neither the President nor the Congress seem to be able to deal with current “slaughters” in Darfur, Rwanda, or the Congo. I’m not opposed to Obama back-stepping on his Armenian position … no declaration would be far better than any declaration at all.