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The July Rasmussen Public Trust numbers.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  July 9th, 2009 at 03:36 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

[UPDATE] Rasmussen finally put up an article.

Short version: the public trusts the GOP over the Democrats 8-for-10 at this point, and we flipped the Abortion and Social Security categories.  That being said, the numbers readjusted themselves in the Democrats’ favor 5-for-10 as compared to last month‘s.

July 2009 June 2009
Issue Dem GOP Diff Issue Democrats GOP Diff Shift
Health Care 46% 42% 4 Health Care 47% 37% 10 (6)
Education 41% 38% 3 Education 44% 37% 7 (4)
Social Security 37% 42% (5) Social Security 43% 37% 6 (11)
Abortion 39% 46% (7) Abortion 41% 41% - (7)
Economy 41% 46% (5) Economy 39% 45% (6) 1
Taxes 36% 52% (16) Taxes 39% 44% (5) (11)
Iraq 41% 45% (4) Iraq 37% 45% (8) 4
Nat’l Security 40% 49% (9) Nat’l Security 36% 51% (15) 6
Gov’t Ethics 33% 34% (1) Gov’t Ethics 29% 35% (6) 5
Immigration 34% 40% (6) Immigration 29% 43% (14) 8

Rasmussen has only put these numbers out here so far, unless I’ve missed it.  The shift down for the Democrats may be a trend; it may also be an inevitable result of the Republicans improving their position in eight out of ten categories from May to June.  Either way, I don’t think that it’s an accident that most of the GOP increases are in areas that have been in the news for the last month; particularly taxes, and particularly health care. The Democrats may want to consider adopting a strategy of visibly doing nothing at all, on anything…

Moe Lane

PS: Also, the upcoming monthly financial reports for the various committees are going to be very interesting.

Crossposted to Moe Lane.

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  • IJB

    …But I’m starting to think there’s too much statistical ‘noise’ to put much stock in the month-to-month comparisons. (e.g. I don’t believe for a minute that Dems are more “trusted” this month than they were last month on NatSec.)

    It may be more useful to start looking at the 6-month or 1-year *trends* on these numbers, though…

  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    Back in October the GOP was mistrusted across the board.

  • eburke

    the TOTUS continuing to head south in his overall approval ratings. His “Strongly” approve/disapprove number is now at a -8% (30% vs 38%) which is a deterioration of about 10 points in the last week or so; His overall approve/disapprove number has shrunk to 3%, 51% to 48%, it’s lowest ever.

    Since Ras is about the only pollster doing anything resembling an accurate sampling of people who actually bother to tear themselves away from Michael Jackson all day/every day (the ABC poll released the other day was not only of “Adults” – apparently they couldn’t find enough registered or likely voters – and it had Dems with a 13% registration advantage over the GOP as only *22%* of the sample was R) this can’t be good news for Bambi.

  • Dan Perrin

    post on health care

  • scarlos

    Each of the 5 categories the Dems had a net gain in from June to July, they had a larger net loss in more from May to June.

    If you do May to July, the Reps improve their standing in all 10 issues, and go from only winning 4 (and tieing one) to winning 8 and losing the other 2 by rather small margins.

  • scarlos

    nt

  • JHancock

    Sweep them clean in 2010 then put an R in the Whitehouse for 2012, 16, 20, 24, …..till 3000