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Rasmussen: modest gain in support for health care rationing.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  September 11th, 2009 at 11:00 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

The first of what will be a daily series of Rasmussen polls charting post-speech opinions on the health care rationing bill is in: as expected, the numbers have shifted in the Democrats’ favor (from 44/53 for/against to 46/51). If that the increase in support is sustained today, we’ll see those numbers increase to a statistical tie (which is what Rasmussen reported the numbers being right after the speech itself). So, good news for the President, right?

Depends on what his actual goal was. If he wanted to shore up his base? Yes. If he wanted to change the conditions of the fight? …No, not really:

But the bounce is partisan in nature, with the increase in support coming entirely from those in the president’s own party.

[snip]

Eighty percent (80%) of Democrats now support the health care plan, up from 72% in the previous survey results. Support among Republicans declined two points while support among those not affiliated with either major party rose by a single percentage point.

Rasmussen’s conclusion on this and on the President’s favorable rating is ‘modest bounce.’ Mine is ‘Red Queen’s Race.’ I expected more of a boost among independents, frankly: and I wonder if the White House did, too.

Moe Lane

Crossposted to Moe Lane.

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COMMENTS

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  • izoneguy

    The issue is not “Health Care”.
    The issue is control. Read HR 3200.
    It puts more control into the hands of the IRS,
    The Social Security administration, CPS. It allows government officials to take money directly out of your bank account. This law is intended to grow and enact new federal agencies. We don’t need it, it’s bad law and Obama must be resisted on all fronts. Why the republicans even talk with Obama is a mystery? The republicans must obstruct and not let anything go forward from this point.

  • clowngirl

    I don’t think Obama really cared about picking up independents – maybe he hoped to convince some of the left leaning ones but to me it played very much like a speech to the base. All the lip service about bipartisanship was so transparent that only his own party’s moderates could possibly by it.

    The more strongly Democrats support it. the harder it will be for blue dogs to vote against it (knowing they’ll face a primary challenge) and I’d think it would be much easily on the Democrats to pass a bill that almost half the country supports than one a solid majority oppose.

    But Obama has often gotten a bounce after one of his speeches, press conferences or infomercials only to drop even lower in the poles later. The newly pro-Obamacare Dems will have time to learn that the President was simply lying about most all his promises and assurances. Then they’ll change their minds.

    Hopefully.

  • clowngirl
  • Richard Mullins

    I guess it’s time to ditch IE in favor of FF.

  • bk

    But in this case the “bounce” for seems to be less than the “bounce” against that came about during August, so he is still behind where he was before the recess isn’t he?

  • izoneguy

    I could not stand to see so many libs that were “blown away” by Obama’s speech.

    Mythbuster: Health Insurance One of Least Profitable Industries

    http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2009/09/10/mythbuster-health-insurance-one-least-profitable-industries

    The US govt can print money. The insurance companies cannot.

  • bk

    Blown away that he would tell so many blatant and obvious lies.

  • azaeroprof

    I would expect better from Rasmussen. A change in one day from 44/53 to 46/51 is simply within the noise of the polling data (just look at the graph of Obama approval daily tracking poll). In fact, an ideal result for Obama would have been an almost instantaneous 10-15-point jump, followed by a slow decline over about a week or two, settling back to a 5-10 point increase. The fact that the increase 2 days post is not only well within the poll’s MoE, but within the polling noise itself indicates that his speech was a dismal failure at moving popular opinion at all.
    Rasmussen’s headline SHOULD have read “Obama’s Speech Has No Discernable Effect on Health Care Reform Support”.

  • Flagstaff

    into your Facebook world.

    So far, I have somehow p***ed off the only two libs on my page, and I didn’t even know I was doing it. They cut me off. How about that? (Thanks, Mel. Ready for the WS up there?)

  • Flagstaff

    After the speech, I didn’t think anything would change. The One made no concessions, no modifications, and no clarifications. He basically just repeated, “I won! You didn’t!”

    That isn’t very convincing to anybody who isn’t wiping Goofy Grape off his lips.