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Three Congressional Seats of interest.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  October 7th, 2009 at 03:30 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

Just a quick survey:

  1. CA-10 (D+11): David Harmer isn’t quitting this particular special election, and he’s having a bit of fun with the… well, I don’t know what John Garamandi was trying to do here:

    …but I hope that he does it again. A lot.
  2. FL-08 (R+2): Alan Grayson opened his mouth again; apparently he’s under the impression that there are no such things as recording devices. Or that his constituents like being lied to, in a stupid fashion.

    The challenger for this seat is still up in the air (a lot of people want the shot), but the NRCC is happy to spotlight it anyway. Nominee donation fund here.
  3. VA-05 (R+5): We have a candidate to go up against Tom Perriello! Virginia state senator Robert Hurt. Perriello is – like Grayson, and oh, about sixty other or Democratic legislators – just a bit too liberal for his seat, and the GOP intends to bring that up. A lot.

So, as you can see: the machine is functional.

Moe Lane

Crossposted to Moe Lane.

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COMMENTS

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  • The_Fastest_Squirrel

    I’ll send more after payday…

  • http://tertiumquids.blogspot.com/ Norm Leahy

    Then-Del. Robert Hurt voted for Mark Warner’s tax hike in 2004 — the one that split the GOP and helped launch warner on to bigger and better things.

    In 2007, Hurt voted for HB3202, another tax hike bundled with a regional government scheme (and those wildly popular abusive driving fees) that was ultimately overturned by the state’s supreme court.

    If this is the best the GOP can put forward against Perriello, then they really haven’t learned anything at all.

  • Third Street

    Common sense tells me “none”, but after Joseph Cao, I never say “never” when it comes to special elections.

    Great ad.

  • redtillimdead

    It was a delayed general, the primary run-off was Nov. 3 due to Hurricane Gustav, but thats not important. The important thing is David Harmer’s poll showing him down by only 6pts, and leading among people who have actually heard of him. http://www.ibabuzz.com/politics/2009/10/01/harmer-says-poll-shows-him-ahead-of-garamendi/

  • Third Street

    La.’s December congressional runoffs are for all practical purposes the same thing as special elections; that’s why I cited Cao. (And a Republican winning the N.O. congressional seat was pretty damn special to me!)

    Thanks for the tip on Harmer. I don’t expect him to win but he could make it interesting.

  • redtillimdead

    We don’t have them any more, we are normal now. That was only delayed because of Hurrican Gustav. I don’t expect him to win either, unless he has AMAZING GOTV efforts. But if he does win, we are in the same boat as in Cao: very unlikely he wins again, how much support do we give you? The NRCC isn’t giving Cao its first round of the Patriot Program money, so…

  • Third Street

    …and I myself evacuated to Nashville so one would think I’d remember these things…

  • redtillimdead
  • Third Street

    And I scrammed when I saw Gustav tracking into Vermilion Bay. As it turned out, the Hub City lucked out once again, but I don’t take chances anymore.

  • redtillimdead

    After Katrina I wil never evacuate again. I was in Metairie (New Orleans) and we left…worst decision ever. We didn’t have any damage. At all. Luckily, it only took 9 hours to get to Alexandria, while we knew people that took over 15 hours to get to Baton Rouge

  • Cheryl

    I’ll be meeting Harmer tonight.

    Additionally, for anyone interested, check out Brad Goehring who’s running against McNerney in CA10:

    http://goehringforcongress.com

  • Cheryl

    not CA10

  • Cheryl

    if we have good Republican turnout and we’re going to work on that.

  • IJB

    If an R wins CA-10, it would signal that the D’s will lose 100 seats (and maybe more) next year.

    I’d like to believe that, but I don’t.

    What’s much more likely is that the D’s still win CA-10, but with a reduced margin of something like 52%D/48% R. That, in and of itself, while not a true “win”, would have to be considered something of a “moral victory”.

  • noufa

    It’s the suburbs. Arnold took 56% when running for re-election. Wouldn’t call it a swing district, but they will respond to an effective Republican campaign.

    Tauscher initially won it by running as a moderate blue-dog. She endeared herself to the electorate by campaigning against Pelosi within the Democratic caucus. Now the nutroots DESPISE Tauscher. Google “Tauscher” & “Pelosi” to see what I mean.

  • IJB

    Tauscher’s original district (pre-2002) contained some of the more “conservative” parts of Contra Costa County. Those parts are now mostly in CA-11 (McNerney’s district) – which is why the odds of taking back CA-11 are fair-to-good in comparison.

    The current CA-10 is a lot less Republican than even the old CA-10 was.

  • noufa

    Didn’t mean to lecture you about your district (I’m next door in CD7).

    I just don’t want out-of-staters to think CA is hopeless.

  • noufa

    NT

  • redtillimdead

    im in la! sorry for misunderstanding!

  • Scope

    From my readings, there are at least 5 Republicans who have stated an interest in challenging Perriello, or have filed the proper paperwork. Bradley Rees was first, and, I was so dissapointed, however, Goode had not yet made up his mind if he would challenge again in 2010. I had an immediate problem with Rees as I am not a supporter of the “Fair Tax” which was his impeteous to get into the race. Awful as it is for me to say, I can’t wrap my arms around someone who has all his knuckles tattoed. He recently was arrested for having unregistered or unauthorized guns in his vehicle. Ken Boyd declared himself a candidate on September 19, yet he has no website, you cannot find any information on his positions, and well, you just can’t find much of any info on him. As to Robert Hurt, I can’t find alot of info on him either. Moe’s link just provides a website that states only that he is running against Perriello, and, not another thing.

    Perriello is so beatable, yet, in the whole of the district, the Republicans can’t find someone who can challenge him that has any chance? Do you have anymore info on the R candidates?