(Via Hot Air) The Democrats in this Politico piece about former Gov. Palin and the VA/NJ races are spouting nonsense about her long term appeal*, of course - they’re aware as I am that she’s going to be very much in demand in Congressional races where the Democratic incumbent is holding down a seat in a district that McCain or Bush won. Of which there are quite a few; but Democratic strategists can perhaps not be blamed for not wanting to say something along the lines of ‘Well, THAT WOMAN is going to go through all those Southern/Western Blue-on-Red districts like a buzz-saw, so you might as well get used to it.’ The people who need to hear that most will want to hear it least.
That being said, I don’t expect her to participate in the NJ gubernatorial election, although VA’s may yet still see a presence if the McDonnell campaign goes sour. Virginia’s at best lightly purple, even now; New Jersey’s pretty definitely blue. Christie doesn’t have a margin for taking chances right now.
Moe Lane
*As might be perhaps witnessed by interest in her book, which is currently at #3 on Amazon after spending over a week at #1. And that was individual pre-order.
Crossposted to Moe Lane.

It's news like this...
mschmitt Saturday, October 10th at 12:17AM EDT (link)… that makes me totally insane. The Republican party has had its soul and guts replaced by a pollster who votes Democrat.
Loosers, the lot of you.
Sarah's standing by on deck if necessary; Obama's hiding in the locker room.
SoFiMil Saturday, October 10th at 12:22AM EDT (link)Republicans have a solidly small lead in both governor’s races. Palin would likely help with Republican voter turnout, but when you’re ahead there’s no need to take unnecessary risks. Regardless, I do see the Republicans bringing her out a few days before the election to rally the base.
Obama isn’t going near Virginia or New Jersey either, but for much different reasons. His presence would likely hurt the Democratic candidates in the current political climate, with additional political fallout should our Dear Leader go out on the campaign trail (i.e., continue to stay out on the campaign trail) and come home empty-handed.
The Republicans have their star ready to go. The Noble Prize winner, however, for once doesn’t want to be seen.
http://www.suvstrategery.blogspot.com
Remember Colorado, 2004?
martellus Saturday, October 10th at 12:39AM EDT (link)In the contested Senate races the GOP lost only one race. That was Colorado. The Republican running that year Mr. Coors from the beer dynasty did not want Bush to campaign with him.
Bush won Colorado and Coors lost. There are so many political geniuses who get their heads handed to them every election cycle. Ed Gillespie despises Sarah Palin. He despises her because he is terrified by her.
The Hammer
I do remember CO '04...
Third Street Saturday, October 10th at 1:29AM EDT (link)And what I recall is that Colorado was about the only state in which Bush’s margin of victory was SMALLER in 2004 than in 2000. Almost halved, in fact. Meanwhile, the Democrats flipped a House seat along with the Senate seat, and took over the legislature. Even then, things were going the wrong way in CO; I’m not convinced Bush would have been a net benefit for Coors.
On the other hand, I’m willing to bet Sarah Palin would be a big net negative in VA and NJ. Her credibility beyond the GOP base is fairly well ruined at this point (thanks in large part to her drama-queen resignation), and bringing her in would serve mainly to energize the Democrats. (No, I do not like Palin.)
So...
mschmitt Saturday, October 10th at 2:13AM EDT (link)You don’t like Bush or Palin; but presumably you loved candidate John McCain (if only he could’ve gotten away with picking another liberal, he would’ve been a shoe-in!)
The fact is that Palin’s reputation was tarnished by a left-of-center, back-stabbing running mate and a far-left media (certain members of which I suspect she would have *owned* on Celebrity Jeopardy) which was — and continues to be — completely dedicated to the cause of finding a way to destroy her. I just don’t see it lasting; not when the media’s reputation is dead and buried.
Sarah Palin is a cult of personality.
Third Street Saturday, October 10th at 2:22AM EDT (link)One with very little behind it. Acknowledging this doesn’t mean I’m a moderate who wants anything to do with a slug like John McCain.
She said the right things and fought the good fight in ‘08. But when she quit, she sealed the coffin of her own credibility. Millions of people remain fascinated with her, but it’s not the kind of fascination that will translate into future political viability, either as a candidate or a stumper. Stick a fork in her and move on.
Personally,
mschmitt Saturday, October 10th at 3:02AM EDT (link)I’d vote for a hamster if it ran on a platform of individual freedom and liberty; so bring on the candidates.
I think you’re wrong about Palin, though. I signed the petition to support having her veep’d without knowing much at all about her personality — or ever hearing her speak — because I liked her politics…
To be perfectly fair, she didn’t really have control of her own image from day one (the slug did — along with his slime trail, which I think he calls “Steve Schmidt”)… Furthermore, staying in Alaska would have guaranteed that the only print she got would include the number of ethics investigations she was under in the byline — not good.
Only time will tell whether she’s got the substance you doubt; but the fact that the media continues to be obsessed with her is a fairly good indication (to me, at least) that they still believe that she is a threat to their agenda.
The media is obsessed with Madonna too..
illinoisconservative Saturday, October 10th at 8:34AM EDT (link)Does that mean anyone wants her endorsements for Governor or any other political office?
Palin smacked a grand slam at the convention.. but it was all down hill from there. She’s a political lightweight. Yes, she has great principles.. but principles need to be backed up with knowledge and experience, which she is sorely lacking.
She’s a personality.. not a serious political force.
Wait. She's been in politics since the early '90's
Section9 Saturday, October 10th at 8:54AM EDT (link)I mean, I know you’re a conservative. But basic research is usually require before you regurgitate talking points.
Palin got more done in Alaska than most governors get done in their full four year terms before she left. I’ll give her that, even if you won’t. And, quite unlike other Republicans in the Beltway, she was fighting this Administration when others were ready to roll over and play dead.
The people in the GOP who are slamming her are the same guys who drove the Party into the ground. The less we hear of them, the better. Palin has her problems, but one of them is not garnering the respect of the deeply incompetent crowd in D.C. that has lost two elections in a row to the D’s.
“History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it”-Winston Churchill
I should have said "National Experience"
illinoisconservative Saturday, October 10th at 9:30AM EDT (link)I had high hopes for Palin. I really did.
And I won’t diminish the difficulty of running a state.. especially one as unique as is Alaska.
But that experience did not translate well onto the national stage. And, her lack of understanding of international issues was uncomfortably demonstrated in her debate with Biden. She reads from a script quite well, but she has no depth.. no understanding.. or, if she does, does not have the ability to express it.
I’m sorry. If Palin is the best we can do, we’re screwed.
So.. just to be clear. I am not slamming her. I don’t hate her. I just don’t think she is ready as a leader of a national party.. not even close. Our party needs new faces.. but first off, it needs new leadership.
Got more done ...?
Achance Saturday, October 10th at 10:32AM EDT (link)What was it she got done during her brief visit to the Governor’s office? Frank Murkowski had a deal with the producers and leaseholders to develop a natural gas line. Palin was almost singlehandedly responsible for killing it so there could be an in-state line and a spur to Railbelt Alaska. That’s what got her the support of a lot of Republicans, notably Walter Hickel and those who follow him. Immediately upon taking office, she hired a bunch of malcontents and holdover Democrats with ties to TransCanada who’d left the Murkowski Administration over FM’s gas line deal. She shucked the in-state line, made a sweetheart deal with TransCanada that gave them a half-billion dollars of Alaska’s money with which they have produced NOTHING. Palin’s vaunted gas line is vaporware and will never be built at foreseeable gas prices.
Likewise her vaunted clean-up consisted of firing most of Murkowski’s REPUBLICAN appointees, the only experienced Republican public managers in the State. Only two of Murkowski’s appointees have ever been charged with Ethics violations, one by Palin herself, and one by the FBI. FM demanded Randy Ruedrich’s resignation though Palin story is definitively NOT what happened. Jim Clark pleaded guilty to a campaign finance charge, but frankly he was just collateral damage in the FBI’s now discredited investigations in Alaska and hadn’t done anything that practically everyone in politics hadn’t done; he accepted the results of a poll done by someone else and didn’t report it as a contribution. The Ethics Act “reforms” she like to talk about were largely done by the Legislature in response to the FBI investigation. She just happened to be there at the right time.
And lastly, her ACES revenue scheme has completely alienated the oil industry who must have an expectation of a stable taxation scheme in order to justify further development of Alaska’s very expensive to develop oil. Alaska is one of the few states in the black these days, but she just happened to be Governor when World oil prices peaked. Her last budget was based on totally unrealistic revenue so she could avoid saying no to anyone, force the Legislature to make the cuts, and then she had the audacity to grandstand with line item cuts in the districts of Legislators who didn’t love her enough.
The day that woman left office was one of the happier days in Alaska’s history. Sean Parnell is stuck with her administration composed of holdover Democrats and Wasilla high school buddies and can’t repudiate her programs. This late in an administration your only choice is whether you have them inside the tent peeing out or outside the tent peeing in, so if he makes changes, they just go out and start working for his opposition. Lots of Republicans are starting to apologize outloud to Frank Murkowski for listening to her siren song and maybe we’ll once again have a Republican governor of Alaska who acts like a Republican rather than a pandering populist.
In Vino Veritas
Don't you just love how outsiders...
NightTwister Saturday, October 10th at 10:50AM EDT (link)…tell you how things are in your own State/District?
Get Connected in Colorado.
Ever since last August I have hardly recognized
Achance Saturday, October 10th at 11:17AM EDT (link)my State. It has been completely reinvented by people who have never seen Alaska and haven’t a clue about its people or politics except what they’ve heard from Sarah Palin and her sycophants. At least things are settling down here though I worry about Republican fratricide in ‘10. Sean Parnell has little natural following and a lot of people want to be Governor so the primary could be both bloody and unpredictable. Speaker Harris has already thrown his hat in the ring though he’s not well known outside Valdez and is one of those Republicans that foolishly thinks that because he once ha-d a Teamster’s card he’ll get Labor support. John Binkley is hovering out there and certainly has the money to run independently. His campaign never got any traction in ‘06, but everyone was overwhelmed by the Palin myth. Former Rep. Ralph Samuels is also hovering and has a lot of support from Party insiders but is being coy. He is on the right side of the backlash that is forming against Palin’s taxation scheme and vaporware gasline, so there is some natural traction there. I think a lot of former Murkowski supporters would go to Samuels. Murkowski tank so badly in his re-election campaign that people forget he was elected in a landslide. Even people who supported him were appalled by his appointment of Lisa and he never recovered. He took a relentless pounding from the media and then from Palin. People forget or never knew that she was the ADN and every Democrat’s favorite Republcan - the Un-Murkowski. They thought she’d be a pushover for Tony Knowles or another Democrat but people weren’t willing to buy Democrat lies about development when you could hang greenies around their necks so Palin won. Palin actually governed with more Democrat support in the Legislature than Republican and they liked her just fine until she became the VP nominee. It was the Republicans who couldn’t stand her. Yet in the minds of some she is the Joan of Arc of the National Republican Party.
In Vino Veritas
Even Bush couldn't have helped Coors.
NightTwister Saturday, October 10th at 8:37AM EDT (link)What a shame too, because Bob Schaffer, who ran against Coors in the primary would’ve won the General election. Coors was the favorite of the beltway crowd. Ever heard that before?
Get Connected in Colorado.
uber brainy
whodare Saturday, October 10th at 12:56AM EDT (link)Moe you must be really smart because I read your posts I don’t know what you are talking about. Has to be me… right?
Life will only give us what we have the audacity to ask of it
1 Question for ya whodare...
DONTREADONME Saturday, October 10th at 1:45AM EDT (link)are you being facetious or would you really term yourself as a not-to-bright right winger from NC, and graduated at the top of your sophmore class and you are an Emu farmer? A little too humble for me to believe. I am just sayin’
Anyway, Moe tends to not use prose; however, it was all too clear what he was driving at.
“The UN is right? you can’t be any more “un”; Than you are right now, the UN is undone, Another mushroom cloud, another smoking gun, The threat is real, the Locust King has come, Don’t tell me the truth; I don’t like what they’ve done, Just give me ammo for the United Abominations”-Megadeth
Ping. [nt]
Moe Lane Saturday, October 10th at 8:18AM EDT (link)nt
Check out my new blog at http://moelane.com/.
http://twitter.com/moelane
My (blogging-related) wish list.
Heard an Obama ad pitching Corzine on radio
katesmith Saturday, October 10th at 3:59AM EDT (link)On Yankee radio tonight heard a big voiced resounding ad with Obama praising Corzine. If I remember correctly it was one of the most well placed spots in the game, first break after the game which the Yankees won. The most heavily populated parts of New Jersey are Yankee fans (if they care about baseball). I was shocked to hear it and it almost ruined the game. On Governor Palin, I just saw the IBD editorial describing the soul of republicans being fought for by McCain and Palin. IBD suggested McCain get off the stage. Let New Jersey book Ari Fleischer to gin up voter excitement–I understand he’s on the trail these days and a noted anti Palin dude along with his other has-been buddies.
KS, thanks for telling us about this ad,
SoFiMil Saturday, October 10th at 7:39AM EDT (link)to include its placement and timing. It helps add to my understanding of the NJ governor’s race and the surrounding political climate.
http://www.suvstrategery.blogspot.com
Onus on the Palins
tedpomeroy Saturday, October 10th at 6:47AM EDT (link)One can only hope that her book is a coherent philosphy that is well thought out .
The people need to hear that we are poorer today due to the subjugation of the people of Alaska and their land rights by the Eastern States.
It will be a challenge I ripped into some snooty RINO’s on Facebook last week when they were puttting her down. We declared a truce due to the Gov race.
If you don't like Palin you are a RINO?
illinoisconservative Saturday, October 10th at 8:37AM EDT (link)Is that what you are suggesting? Or, am I reading too much into your comment?
He wasn't
itsallverbatim Saturday, October 10th at 9:17AM EDT (link)But I am.
The only viable candidate in 2012 is Sarah. That is not debatable.
What IS debatable is who we want as the VP, Chief of Staff, NSA, and other vital positions that will augment her admitted lack of experience.
Before you respond, remember how much of a political lightweight Nixon and Reagan were. Remember how strong his supporting staff was and then look around, but those same people playing a supporting role are still here, 30-40 years later.
If you still don’t understand, purchase the Reagan Diaries and then research the dynamics of the 1981-1988 Reagan White House. HW Bush led, and Weinberger, Casey, Buchanan, et al lent their respective experience. Surround her with strong and vibrant Oval Office staff/SECDEF/SECSTATE and we’ll be fine.
American citizen. Veteran with multiple tours in East Africa, the Caucus and Asia. Neoconservative Republican. BlackBerry affinicado. Milblogger: http://takenforaction.blogspot.com/
Sorry.
illinoisconservative Saturday, October 10th at 9:46AM EDT (link)She does not have the depth to be President of the United States.
Nixon? Good lord..
A practicing lawyer that graduated third in his class from Duke, he then went on to serve in WW II as a Lieutenant Commander in the Navy.
He served 2 terms in the House and then was elected to the Senate.
All of that before serving 2 terms as vice president.
Nixon had more experience and education in his little finger than Palin has and you call him a lightweight?
For someone as ignorant of history as you are to claim “The only viable candidate in 2012 is Sarah” leaves me shaking my head and wondering where this party is headed.
You're right "illinoisconservative" where are we headed?
penguin2 Saturday, October 10th at 10:13AM EDT (link)“verbatim” up there is echoing things that make no sense. As you noted the credentials of Nixon, of which I was not completely aware; Ronald Reagan certainly had been on the political stage for awhile. Regardless of who Reagan surrounded himself by, he had a set of core principles and beliefs that were strong and unwavering in his belief in America.
No one should be narrowing their thinking in who our potential candidates are for 2012. Being shortsighted or ill-informed will certainly not help us get out of the hole we’re in.
Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God.
Benjamin Franklin
That is complete hogwash
tcgeol Saturday, October 10th at 2:02PM EDT (link)For one thing, its far too early to even be considering 2012 yet. Focus your attention on the House and Senate next year, and we’ll all be better off.
Secondly, its too early to be considering candidates for 2012 yet (see a pattern?). There will be candidates in a couple years that aren’t even on the radar yet, and quite likely several of them might be a better choice than Sarah Palin.
Just your typical bitter gun- and God-clinger
NJ RINO's
tedpomeroy Saturday, October 10th at 11:28AM EDT (link)No I was talking about the well-to-do country club martini stoned drones I have to deal with here in NJ. Saying things like we need to protect a woman’s right to an abortion when in reality what they really want is fewer people.
Want to know where Smoot-Hawley came from?
The NJ fox hunting crowd like Finn Casperson who blew his brains out because they were coming after all the cash his family had stashed for centuries in Switzerland.