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FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

PPP: maybe DON’T GOTV for Corzine?

At least, that’s the impression that I’m getting from this PPP blog entry:

The voters under 30 in New Jersey in our latest poll reported voting for Obama 56-36 last year. But they support Corzine just 42-40 over Chris Christie this fall with 13% going to Chris Daggett.

In fact, in general I’m getting the impression that PPP is quietly operating from the expectation that Corzine will lose under current circumstances, and is trying to find some way of writing that without starting a self-fulfilling prophecy panic.  Meanwhile, Q-Pac is saying Corzine +5; reconciling that number with them having Christie win independents 45/30 is left as an exercise for the interested student.  And, as usual, the uncertainty about the percentage of the vote going to Daggett is driving all the pollsters mad.

Moe Lane

PS: Chris Christie for Governor.

COMMENTS

  • RealQuiet

    Per NRO, the weights are ridiculous. Dem +22. In the 2008 presidential election, it was D +16 with Obama on the ticket. Do you honestly think that Corzine will draw more than Obama did? Heck, even draw as much? Another thing, Christie is up 15 points among independents and this poll was taken over a six day spread. Yeah, just a few problems with this poll. Sounds like a desperate left leaning pollster who was either freaked out by the RAS and PPP(D) polls yesterday or just wanted to give Corzine’s campaign a goose in the pants.