CA-10 Open Thread.


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CA-10 appears too close to call-nt

DONTREADONME Tuesday, November 3rd at 11:17PM EST (link)

smile you clicked on the link now keep on watching it and let me know in the morning.

“The UN is right? you can’t be any more “un”; Than you are right now, the UN is undone, Another mushroom cloud, another smoking gun, The threat is real, the Locust King has come, Don’t tell me the truth; I don’t like what they’ve done, Just give me ammo for the UNITED AbomiNATIONS”-Megadeth

And there I wuz...thought ya had newz....

snowshooze Tuesday, November 3rd at 11:24PM EST (link)

Dirtbag!
You old guys all go to bed at 8…
lol!
Mark

 

I have a forecast for you...

JLenardDetroit Tuesday, November 3rd at 11:26PM EST (link)

in the morning… it will be light out :P … Mr. Smarty-pants ;-) lol

(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (Reco) (Quotes) (removeRINOs.com) (Merry RSmas)
+ 0bama Lies & your Bank acct will Die! (4/15 Truthers)
+ Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
+ I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” - a Rush caller (other Quotes)

ah, my puckish side is showing giving the my new delegate is now a Conservative...

DONTREADONME Tuesday, November 3rd at 11:48PM EST (link)

but by only 200 votes, I wonder how hotly contested this will be in the courts and I wonder about those mysterious ballots that will show up tomorrow.

“The UN is right? you can’t be any more “un”; Than you are right now, the UN is undone, Another mushroom cloud, another smoking gun, The threat is real, the Locust King has come, Don’t tell me the truth; I don’t like what they’ve done, Just give me ammo for the UNITED AbomiNATIONS”-Megadeth

was kinda like this...

JLenardDetroit Wednesday, November 4th at 12:08AM EST (link)

more long drawn out wrestling than any real knock-out….

(hope the right code came over from HockeyFights.com - figured NJ was right)

(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (Reco) (Quotes) (removeRINOs.com) (Merry RSmas)
+ 0bama Lies & your Bank acct will Die! (4/15 Truthers)
+ Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
+ I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” - a Rush caller (other Quotes)

 
 
 
 

thoughts on the CA-10 race

california_red Tuesday, November 3rd at 11:25PM EST (link)

When examining the CA-10 results keep in mind that this is a district that went for Obama 34+ in 2008. The registration is +18D. The district has been D since 1994. And the D candidate is the Lt. Governor of the freaking state, in statewide office or in the Federal government for over 20 years. The Democrats had to put a prize fighter up to take on a relative unknown. I think the D’s will carry it narrowly, but if you look closely you will see great weakness in the Democratic ability to hold thier seats. There is no way the seat should even be competitive, except that the Democrats have been acting like crackheads since last November.

About right

SteveLA Tuesday, November 3rd at 11:33PM EST (link)

california_red

Like your analysis, sounds about right for the mood of the electorate out in CA and I tend to think you’re calling it pretty well.

I’m still wondering what will happen with the Governors race with Moonbeam vers who knows. If the economy stays in the tank will the Republican use that fact as a club over the head of the Donks, it’s anyone’s guess.

______________________________________

Competency over ideological purity

Can they really use the economy as a club against the Dems

Leopard1996 Wednesday, November 4th at 4:42AM EST (link)

When it was Arnold, who was playing governor with an effing R after his name.

Moderation and “bi-partisanship” has served us so well.

“The accumluated filth of all their sex and murder will foam up about their waists and all the whores and politicians will look up and shout, “Save Us!”….and I’ll look down and whisper, “No”…The Watchmen

 
 
 

I BELIEVE.

Third Street Tuesday, November 3rd at 11:27PM EST (link)

We can win this thing.

Yes we can.

 

CA-10 Final Tally

JLenardDetroit Wednesday, November 4th at 3:34AM EST (link)

Congressional District 10

100.00% (264 of 264) precincts partially or fully reporting as of Nov 4, 2009, 12:13 a.m.

Candidate Votes Percent
John Garamendi (Dem) 66,311 52.98%
David Harmer (Rep) 53,441 42.69%
Jeremy Cloward (Grn) 2,314 1.85%
Jerome “Jerry” Denham (AI) 1,435 1.15%
Mary C. McIlroy (P&F) 1,672 1.34%

(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (Reco) (Quotes) (removeRINOs.com) (Merry RSmas)
+ 0bama Lies & your Bank acct will Die! (4/15 Truthers)
+ Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
+ I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” - a Rush caller (other Quotes)

Wow

Mayhem Wednesday, November 4th at 8:52AM EST (link)

It was a 10 point race after all. 53-43. I’d say that is an excellent finish.

“I reject your reality and substitute my own.”

For a D+11 District, Yeah, It's a Pretty Good Result...

IJB Wednesday, November 4th at 1:07PM EST (link)

Not a Earth-shattering as some of us hoped. Still, not bad.

But, by my back of the envelop calc, a “generic” Congressional vote in this D+11 district in 2008 would have been something like 64-33. (The national percentage House vote in 2008 was 53-44, so D+11 gets you 64-33.)

So that means the pro-GOP swing here in 2009 was 11 *back* (i.e. away from the Dems!).

So, if someone wants to have some fun, they should figure out what the House numbers would look like if the GOP did 11% better than their 2008 totals in every House district in the country - I imagine that would swing at least 50 House seats to the GOP! ;)

 
 
 

Last year: Tauscher - 65, Republican - 31

californiasam Wednesday, November 4th at 2:17PM EST (link)

This year: Garamendi - 53, Harmer - 43.
In a district that is so gerrymandered and so heavily democratic - this is fantastic.

 

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