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The November Rasmussen Public Trust Numbers.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  December 1st, 2009 at 10:30 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

I had actually put this together on Sunday, but: well, new baby. Rasmussen’s new trust numbers are out. The short version is: eight for ten for the GOP, and the Democrats’ free-fall from last month have been mostly reset back to September’s numbers…

Nov-09 Oct-09
Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift
Health Care 42% 44% (2) 40% 46% (6) 4
Education 41% 39% 2 38% 43% (5) 7
Social Security 41% 41% – 37% 45% (8) 8
Abortion 38% 43% (5) 35% 47% (12) 7
Economy 36% 48% (12) 35% 49% (14) 2
Taxes 36% 47% (11) 35% 50% (15) 4
Iraq 38% 45% (7) 31% 50% (19) 12
Nat’l Security 37% 50% (13) 31% 54% (23) 10
Gov’t Ethics 31% 34% (3) 29% 33% (4) 1
Immigration 33% 45% (12) 33% 40% (7) (5)

…except for health care, of course. The Democrats seem to have lost that particular automatic lead. And, on reflection: there’s not much to say about this, except that it’s amazing how quickly a new equilibrium can form in politics. Last year the GOP was trying to get itself more trusted on one out of ten, let alone eight…

Moe Lane

Crossposted to Moe Lane.

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COMMENTS

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  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    I looked at the far right column first and was worried. But we can lose 8, 10, 12 points on issues and still go 8-1-1 on them?

  • Kyle-MI

    I can maybe understand a shift in numbers on national security because it has been in the news lately with the Obama decision on Afghanistan. Even the shift on Iraq might make sense because people might think things are going well with little to no reporting of any more US military deaths there (and indeed the fatality rate is way down). The shifts on education, social security, and abortion are curious though as there has been no recent legislation or news on these issues. Those shifts seem too big to be random variation.

  • scarlos

    i.e., that it doesn’t represent a tangible shift towards the Democrats so much as it is the end of the huge wave of support predating the Early November election seasons.

  • scarlos

    It represents the ebbing of the huge amount of support we were able to build up for our candidates in the run-up to the Elections earlier this month

  • IJB

    This is at least the second or third time since Moe has started posting these numbers that there has been huge month-to-month shift in the numbers in the *opposite direction* of what outlying political conditions should indicate.

    I can only chalk that up to “statistical noise”. I don’t know if Ras’ samples on these particular polling questions are too small, or if there is some other factor causing the wild fluctuations. But I no longer trust the month-to-month comparisons.

    I think Moe’s point about the trends year-over-year (or even 6 months ago. vs. now) are probably a much more meaningful way to look at these numbers. Or perhaps doing a 3-month rolling average would be a better way to look at them…