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Illinois/FL-19 primary results.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  February 2nd, 2010 at 07:38 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

[10:42 PM] So, at 83% in… Kirk gets the nod for the GOP SEN nomination, it looks like the Democrats didn’t manage to shut down Giannoulias, Gov Quinn is barely holding on, and Bill Brady is ahead in what looks a lot like a virtual three-way tie.

[8:46 PM]: OK, with 11% in it looks good for Kirk, Quinn and Giannoulias both appear to be edging this out (excellent news, from a Republican standpoint.  Particularly the latter), and it’s going to be a while before we know who gets the GOP nod for governor.

[UPDATE] To all major online cable news outlets: there is a primary in Illinois tonight.  The results are going to be of significant interest to both Republicans and Democrats. So please start covering the primary.

Thank you.

The former has polls close at 8 PM, the latter has already closed.  Looking for links now.

Florida’s official site here.

Chicago Sun-Times’ results here.

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COMMENTS

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  • http://www.oboillinois.com/ gabehartwig

    Basically the story here today is the extremely low voter turnout which would seem to favor the conservative candidates that have the passionate supporters behind them. I guess we’ll see in a few hours if that holds true.

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon

    http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_state/FL_Page_0202.html?SITE=FLLAUELN&SECTION=POLITICS

    Cheers !

  • AceInTX

    Ive been busy and distracted…someone needs to tell me these things!

  • AceInTX

    Feeling like an idiot about now…

  • Richard Mullins

    It was clear that it was a US House seat up for the primary and not for the US Senate.

  • AceInTX

    I’m still confused?

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens
  • Brian_Roastbeef

    The Rubio – Crist showdown isn’t until late August, IIRC

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon
  • tngal

    Thanks Neil for making me giggle tonight. Read your post fast and missed the word “use”. Went straight from Ho to is. So it read, well never mind, but suffice it to say I couldn’t figure out who the woman was in question.

  • AceInTX
  • Richard Mullins

    I hope they help you as much they help me.

  • DONTREADONME

    but the R primary turnout compared to D is pathetic in IL

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon
  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    http://www.sec.state.ma.us/ele/elespeif/senatorincongressmaprires.htm

  • theoneandonlyfinn

    our chances in the general.
    YES, I KNOW HE SUPPORTED CAP AND TRADE.

    DEATH TO KIRK RIGHT?

    He wins, and knocks at G’s horrible bank dealings,

    as liberal as he is in a CHICAGO CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT..
    He stands a very, very good shot at winning this seat.

    Primaries are a great way for conservatives, moderates, etc to duke it out.
    In states where the conservative wins the primary, so be it. In states where the moderate wins the primary, so be it.
    Thankfully this isnt like the nightmare of NY23 where Dede got handpicked, and the conservatives were totally shut out of the GOP selection process.

    Kirk looks like he will win, if its the case, solidify around him, begrudgingly, and lets up our pickups from 7 to 8 this year.
    Every additional competitive Senate race edges us closer and closer to 51 seats in the Senate.

  • DONTREADONME
  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    And IL is not MA.

  • 1stRichard

    A little birdie here told the unenrolled here to vote for the worse D

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon
  • AceInTX
  • kowalski

    I am like stupid, I’m still kind of stuck on why they wouldn’t want to cover the primary….

    HELP!

    ;)

  • AceInTX

    I’m totally blind sided and ignorant about FL 19

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon

    Ed Lynch – 44%
    Joe Budd – 37%
    Curt Price – 19%

    Sorry for not using “Reply to this”, but I’m on my Crackberry and the tab doesn’t work (I keep trying).

  • ktsub

    On cap and trade, gave a good answer on Fox News, said his district supported it and he voted in favor. Its not good legislation for IL, and will be against it, believes in true representative democracy.

    Mark Kirk fits the blue state and will be far and above better that the Dems running, if not just a vote to organize the Senate. Its not like this is SC or UT, this is freaking IL and we got a good chance at Obama’s Senate seat.

  • redneck_hippie

    Kirk is well positioned to pull liberal votes in a clear-cut R year. He can be the Scott Brown of Illinois if we work hard.

    I will survive voting Kirk in November. I’ve had lots of practice holding my nose in this state.

  • Baltimore_Lawman

    61%of Cook County, a/k/a Chicago is in. Only 35% of the state is in. The numbers will even out, or should.

  • proudgop

    I had this gut feeling Hoffman would win and I think he may which would not be good for us

    A lot of Southern Illinois has not been counted yet

  • merryj1

    … In a General election, Cook holds back results until they know how many votes they have to steal. :)

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon

    Lynch – 43 %
    Budd – 38 %
    Price – 19 %

  • redtillimdead

    He is the least corruptible candidate.
    Alexi and Chereyle Jackson have clear ties to Blago. Alexi has the whole bank/mob thing. Jackson has no money, no name rec, no experience. She was Blago’s press secretary. Ouch if she gets in a general election. But, since she won’t, we just need to hope Hoffman loses.

  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    Personally, I can’t wait to see the President refuse to endorse somebody linked to all those hated, hated banks…

  • Third Street

    …with over 60% in, unless downstate is a tidal wave for Hoffman (which admittedly can’t be ruled out) it looks like Giannoulias holds on. Good.

  • Return to Revolution

    The real-time results are actual vote counts, so you need to know how many voters there are to know turnout. I’d expect IL to have more registered democrats than republicans so there should be more democrat votes (MA is 3:1 D:R).

    Democrat votes outnumber Repub by about 2.5 : 1 (so far) so it seems probable that R turnout is at least as high as D turnout, if not higher. (I can’t find voter registration data for IL, ACORN must have crashed the site so I can only guess)

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon

    Lynch – 41%……. 2,954
    Budd – 40%…….. 2,907
    Price – 19%…….. 1,383

  • Repair_Man_Jack

    Had Scazzafava taken Hoffman in a primary, straight-up and fair, I would not have been rooting 3rd party in NY23.

    By ducking Hoffman and getting backdoor deals done instead of a fair boxing match, she made me her enemy despite wearing the Team R jersey.

    If the RINO goes toe-to-toe with the Reagannaut and wins fair dinkum, I’m more willing to swallow a less than exemplary candidate and vote for the party.

  • proudgop

    Hoffman voters are very much likely to not vote for Alexi

    I hope he hangs on

    IL 14 very close

    Hastert is losing right now

    IL 10 Dold wins GOP nod to replace Kirk, Dems way too close

    IL 8 Joe Walsh appears to be GOP nominee to take on Bean

    IL 11 Adam Zinzingers wins to take on Debbie Halvorson

  • acat

    As an Illinoisan, I am used to holding my nose in the voting booth.

    Mew

  • zbigreddogz

    Hell, I half wonder if we shouldn’t have tried to get Hoffman to switch parties. I mean, he clerked for Rhenquist and then worked for David Boren, a conservative Democrat.

    I think Mark Kirk should go after his voters like crazy because Hoffman really isn’t that much different from Kirk.

  • acat

    Around 9:15pm local time.

    Watching his speech now – looks and sounds good, fiscally solid, recognized vets in the crowd.

    Mew

  • zbigreddogz

    And Brown is probably more conservative on foreign policy issues.

    But yes, I agree that he’d be a huge step up from anybody the Dems are going to nominate and I’d vote for him if for no other reason then to but an R in Obama’s seat, which would REALLY be humiliating, even more humiliating then taking Kennedy’s seat in a way.

    That said, the more I learn about David Hoffman, the more I wonder if we should have tried to get him to switch parties.

    Maybe he will now that the D’s have proven a non-corrupt moderate isn’t welcome in their party.

  • clement

    If one or the other weren’t in the race IL might have a sliver of a hope, but they split the vote and neither will win. :(

  • redneck_hippie
  • sharonmcp

    With 82% precincts reporting there’s only a 4,517 difference between the first and third positions.

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon

    Lynch – 3,139
    Budd – 3,097
    Price – 1,478

    ————

    I’m seriously glad this isn’t my CD (I’m in FL-23).

  • acat

    So Brady (who’s the downstate candidate) is doing much better than expected….

    Mew

  • clement

    Adam Andrzejewski and Dan Proft were the better of the group and Adam being the better of those two. None of the top three look appealing to me anyways.

  • Laura

    You are very right…we had a couple of governor candidates and even a couple of candidates for Obama’s senate seat that had similar pedigrees and positions. And as they are knocking each other out, the most “progressive” candidates are taking the nominations.

    (Brady, Dillard, and McKenna are tied at 20% each at 9:45 tonight…I’m not sure of the % reporting. And as noted above, Kirk took it, with Patrick Hughes garnering half as many votes as Kirk received…38% to 19% or so.)

    Sigh.

    More work to do in my home state!

  • theoneandonlyfinn

    NOW.

    Lets make the GOP likely pickups jump from 6 to 7.
    8 with that Bayh-slayer in Indiana.

    9 if Pataki would just jump into the New York race already.

    10 (and control of the Senate) if Campbell/Fiorina use their cash to destroy a vulnerable Boxer.
    By my account that means we end up with 2 Scott Brown moderates and 2 Snowe moderates, but still…control of the Senate)

  • AngryMatt

    On his website. All the boxes are checked; whether that really means anything is another story, but I don’t think he’s another McKenna.

  • AngryMatt

    In both gubernatorial primaries. I really want Quinn to win this one on the Dem side because he is far more vulnerable than Hynes. Andrzejewski just couldn’t catch enough of a late wave I guess, but Brady seems to be the least objectionable of the three leaders. McKenna is slipping to third now, so that’s good.

  • proudgop

    It appears Denny Hastert’s son lost GOP Primary to State Senator Hultgren to face Foster

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon

    334 of 351 Precincts Reporting – 89%

    Lynch – 3,264
    Budd – 3,222

  • zbigreddogz

    Wisconsin or Washington either, although admittedly only if certain candidates get in.

    And Thompson would be a solid-if-uninspiring Republican. Rossi would be a GREAT Senator, and Reichert, McKenna or Dunn would likely be Scott Brown types (although Reichert is pro-life).

  • zbigreddogz

    Didn’t steal votes away from McKenna and Brady and hand the election to Dillard.

    If Dillard wins, that’ll probably be why.

  • IJB

    IMO, it’s a disaster if Dillard wins. He’s the worst of the available choices.

  • IJB

    I’m not a fan of “political dynasties”, and I think more and more voters (on both sides) are turning against the idea.

    Hultgren’s not perfect, but he’ll be solid, and he should be able to win IL-14.

  • zbigreddogz

    I don’t have a problem with Ethan Hastert, but I thought his dad was a disasterous Speaker for more then one reason, and it was so clearly a legacy pick that I’m glad to see him go down. I think he would have been less electable because of that as well.

    I don’t want to judge him based only on his Dad, but I don’t want to give him an up for no reason. From what I can tell the guy is a decent lawyer who’s been involved loosely with politics largely because of his dad. Nothing wrong with that, but not enough for me to root for him, especially when another candidate seems more electable.

  • pilgrim

    http://www.redstate.com/users/teridavisnewman/

  • Laura

    As of 10:04 CST, in the gubernatorial R race: Dillard 20.2%-Brady 19.9%-McKenna 19.7% with 92% in.

    Hynes is closing in on Quinn (Dem candidates)…Quinn is up by only 5000 votes with 93% in.

  • proudgop

    A lot Conservative in Illinois aren’t happy about Kirk but if Dillard is other stand bearer many may stay home which will be a disaster

  • Laura

    Thanks for pointing it out, pilgrim! I haven’t heard anything about her race yet. She’ll have her work cut out for her to unseat Costello…we gotta pull for her!

  • Illinicon

    He was a complete diaster as Party Chair, we never won an election statewide in his tenure (heck I dont even think a GOPer got even 45% of the vote) and he used party funds without the consent of the State Central community to conduct a poll to test the viability of his run for Governor. Dilliard might have RINO tendacies, but I dont have to worry about him committing a Felony in the governors office, which for Illinois makes you an excellent Governor.

  • sharonmcp

    n/t

  • Laura

    He’s on WGN live right now and is counting on a strong showing in downstate districts still reporting.

    (And, on another note, we all just had to listed to Obama’s bball buddy Alexi Giannoulias give his best impersonation of his idol as he accepted his nomination. We all need to pull behind Kirk…no matter who we voted for or why earlier today! We canNOT have a Senator Giannoulias!)

  • Illinicon

    election lawyers as it looks like both Governor’s races will be going to an auto re-count.

  • gekster

    From the web site: http://votesmart.org/index.htm

    His state Senate voting record:

    http://votesmart.org/voting_category.php?can_id=18199

    disclaimer,
    I am not not afilliated in any way with this website.
    they just got the correct info.

  • theoneandonlyfinn

    just went up a tick tonight.

    Kirk V Gag-a-lot-us, point to the moderate Republican.

    Coats V Bayh now looks like a real possibility, in a GOOD year for Coats, with Bayh’s fiscal conservative armor off and GOP excitement way up.

    I say the odds of GOP control of the Senate just went up to 25%.

    and perhaps the Coats jump-in and the SOLID Kirk primary win will signal to the Rossis and Thompsons and Patakis that it is worth jumping in.

  • proudgop

    LT Gov for Republicans too and Democrat Comptroller race too

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon

    350 of 351 Precincts Reporting – 99%

    Lynch – 3,319
    Budd – 3,282

    ————-

    Trust me on one thing……. These guys genuinely don’t like each other, they’ve split the party here and some serious garbage will be aired on a local radio show here tomorrow at noon.

    The worst part for me is the turnout ratio……..

    The Dem primary had over 28,000 cast ballots.

    Our side: Might not get to 10,000.

  • IL_Glock21

    It’s all fine and good to argue against him in the primaries, but from here on out, you can blame split-votes or dern voters, or whatever else helps you sleep at night.

    But actively attacking him a la topinka or McCain and ensuring conservatives stay home so the unquestionably worse dem gets in is just self-destructive, pointless, and a gift to the democrats. It’s really hard to justify helping the democrats and claim you’re “standing on principles” and still be taken seriously, imo.

    After all the excuses made for Romney alliances with die hard liberals and moderate governing while actually in office, as opposed to his born again conservatism come GOP primary time… I think y’all can back Dillard to prevent Blago’s old running mate from retaining the reigns.

  • Laura

    As of 10:28, Dillard’s lead down to 700 votes, with still about 10 rural counties (strong for Brady) that have some precincts out.

    Maybe, just maybe, we might have a reasonable conservative pull off a statewide win tonight?

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon
  • ripperg

    but just saw this punk kid spew the typical chicago thug politician venom… We need to put our diffrences behind us and unite and win this seat.

  • zbigreddogz

    How hard is it to say to Pataki, “Coats is getting in, why shouldn’t you?”

    Same for Thompson and maybe even Rossi.

  • theoneandonlyfinn

    nt

  • gekster
  • ripperg

    But especially the guy that is winning the Govenors Primary

  • zbigreddogz

    Is the worst.

    I’d vote for Arlen Specter if I had to in order to keep him out of the Senate. Hell, I might even vote for Lincoln Chafee.

    Hell, I might even vote for HILLARY CLINTON.

  • ripperg

    I am so pissed at myself, i was a big Brady supporter who got sucked into the A squared hype and cost Brady about 50 votes in DuPage County Du eto my last bit of pushing the Andrew.

  • Illinicon

    The Dems had competive primaries for both Gov, Sen and Cook County Pres, I imagine most indies upset with Quinn, Giannoulous, and Stroger likely grabbed D ballots to vote for Hynes, Hoffman and one of Stroger’s challangers.

  • proudgop

    are in very Democrat areas in Chicago

    i.e only 86% of Bobby Rush is in
    93% danny Davis

  • ripperg

    I am on my sixth drink as I keep refreshing the Gov results.

  • Laura

    Ripperg, you are so right! I’m going to have to get a Mark Kirk for Senate sign!

    We can only hope that the upcoming Blagojevitch trials besmirch Giannoulias and tarnish that rising star. Bleccch.

  • http://www.dcworksforus.com Kenny Solomon

    ……and maybe nothing gets settled until there’s a duel……. literally.

    I’m going to bed. Gotta be at the jobsite at 7am.

  • Illinicon

    Champaign (U of I campus, so dem) and a few other down state counties. As I type this Brady takes about a 1 K lead.

  • proudgop

    95% vote in

    Dillard ahead by about 1,000?

    u using another site?

  • Brian_Roastbeef

    For me its showing Brady up by about 2500 with 97%.

    Maybe its just the difference since you posted, but it seems that Brady has been up every time I checked for at least 15 minutes now…

  • acat

    Mew

  • Laura

    Sun times now has 97% reporting (10906 of 11215 Precincts), and lists:

    Brady , Bill GOP 152,802 21%
    Dillard , Kirk GOP 150,472 20%
    McKenna , Andy GOP 140,632 19%

    There are a bunch of Cook county (read heavily Democratic), and some downstate precincts still out there.

    So it might be reasonable to assume Brady is going to hold on.

    Unless dead Chicagoans are voting right now in huge numbers.

    (On WGN, they are chirping about how Dillard’s endorsement of Obama “was not the kiss of death after all, huh?”)

  • Illinicon

    reporting outstanding from cook county precints and down state areas. As of 11:25 CT, Brady up about 2.25K at 98% in.

  • jb13

    He is the reason conservatives had to eke this out. He had polled consistently in the single digits, even into the final days before the election. Yet he stubbornly held on, instead of recognizing the truth, stepping out with dignity and class and endorsing either Brady or Adam A. Now, thanks to his ego, we are left with a razor thin vote. Ridiculous. Utterly ridiculous. Why do Illinois conservatives DO THIS to each other? It’s hard enough for us to win in this banana republic. Can we please take some knowledge from this one, and not repeat the same mistakes again and again? Can we not let ego get in the way of ideology and victory for our side, which Proft claims he cares about?

  • jb13

    Blame Proft. Consider how much better Brady would have done if Proft had had the dignity to drop out and allowed his nearly 60,000 votes to go to the other conservatives in the race.

  • Brian_Roastbeef

    This is going down to the wire.

    10977 of 11215 – 98% Brady up by 1800.

    On a side note, I really like the fact that there is a cat discussing politics on Redstate.

  • jb13

    in a number of Illinois races, including GOP gubernatorial primary. McKenna should do the classy thing and step aside and let Brady duke it out with Dillard. We all need to unite behind Brady now.

  • jb13

    Just heard Cook County Clerk David Orr on WGN TV here in Chicago say that any candidate within 5 percent can request the right of discovery. That means they and their lawyers can go in, pull some results in select precincts and determine if they have a case or not to request a recount. Then, they can go to a judge and make their case, if they wish. Orr said it could take months, maybe as many as 6 months, before everything is sorted out. Yucky. Let’s hope it doesn’t come down to that.

  • zbigreddogz

    that Adam’s late surge took votes away from McKenna/Brady.

  • redneck_hippie

    should not be watched.

    Night all…

    PS some tweets up from politico

    After watching Quinn “victory” speech and visuals, I’d bet there are a lot of excited GOPers thinking he could be a real drag on ticket.
    Josh Kraushaar on 02/03/10 1:31 AM

    ::)

    @Kman23b I think the CW is that yes, a Brady win prob boosts Dems a tad because Dillard is perceived as more moderate, i.e. electable in IL.
    davecatanese on 02/03/10 1:45 AM

    BZZZZZZTTTTT wrong!

  • eldstenorge

    Actually, Mark Kirk may be to the left of Dede Scozzafava. He is certainly to the left of Scott Brown, and has nowhere near the charisma of Brown. Illinois tonight showed it is to the left of even Massachusetts, left in this case meaning corrupt in both parties. Why bother? And, if Dillard pulls it off, why would a Republican even want to bother to vote in Illinois this year? Of course, that is what the Democrats want. Illinois is a disgrace. I went there on a vacation and will not ever go back. Why waste money in that cesspool?

  • streiff

    because that is not the philosophy of this site

  • http://slcliberty.blogivists.com randy streu

    Does it help? At all?

  • acat

    Trying to make it a better place.

    Look how well your strategy of sitting out the election worked in 2008.

    Mew

  • acat

    … and also had a bit of snow on election day.

    For some reason, most of the downstate farmers vote Dem. Never have figured that out, other than they’ve been Dems all their lives and haven’t had their Zell Miller moment yet…

    Mew

  • acat

    .. more like “It’s not Tony Soprano’s seat”.

    Illinois had a trend of electing one senator from each party. That way, regardless of who had the majority, Illinois had someone at the table who could deal. Would not surprise me a bit if Illinois reverts to this pattern.

    Mew

  • jfindl2

    Kirk is in no way to the left of Dede except on gun issues, which is understandable given his densely populated Chicagoland district. He also won a primary and can raise tons of money. Why bother to show up in November? If Quinn wins the governor’s office the Dems can redistrict most of the Republican districts in Illinois out of existence. So yeah kind of a big deal. Seriously if you are going to be defeatist post somewhere else.

  • redneck_hippie

    Next – Durbin.

    Take your Kirkophobia elsewhere.

  • Martin Knight
  • http://www.voteforteri2010.com teridavisnewman

    I’m in this to win and I’m going to! Ole Jerry will never stand up to the kind of scrutiny I’m putting him under! Please keep in touch!
    TeriDavisNewman@aol.com

  • http://www.voteforteri2010.com teridavisnewman

    If you win by 5% or more, no recount.