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The January Rasmussen Trust Numbers.

These I still see the point of putting up. It’s not like the USSC is about to rule to strike down restrictions… OK, that joke is simply not going to work this early in the (snowed-in) day. Short version: nine of ten, the Democrats managed to make up some of their deficit in the economy category (hey, that joke worked!), and I conclude that Government Ethics requires more in the way of prolonged scandals on the Democratic side in order to move public perceptions off of its current default.

Jan-10 Dec-09
Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift
Health Care 37% 49% (12) 42% 44% (2) (10)
Education 36% 40% (4) 41% 39% 2 (6)
Social Security 35% 45% (10) 41% 41% - (10)
Abortion 32% 46% (14) 38% 43% (5) (9)
Economy 42% 46% (4) 36% 48% (12) 8
Taxes 34% 50% (16) 36% 47% (11) (5)
Iraq 38% 46% (8) 38% 45% (7) (1)
Nat’l Security 40% 49% (9) 37% 50% (13) 4
Gov’t Ethics 33% 30% 3 31% 34% (3) 6
Immigration 36% 43% (7) 33% 45% (12) 5

More after the fold.

There are two sets of comments, here. In the short term, it makes a lot of sense for the Democrats to shift from health care to the economy: their focus on the former did them no favors. Of course, given that it’s an open question whether that’s actually smart. Every time the Democrats focus on something, it ends up alarming the American voting public. Don’t believe me? Look at this comparison between this month and May’s (the first month that I started looking at this):

Jan-10 May-09
Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift
Health Care 37% 49% (12) 53% 35% 18 (30)
Education 36% 40% (4) 49% 36% 13 (17)
Social Security 35% 45% (10) 48% 39% 9 (19)
Abortion 32% 46% (14) 41% 41% - (14)
Economy 42% 46% (4) 44% 43% 1 (5)
Taxes 34% 50% (16) 41% 47% (6) (10)
Iraq 38% 46% (8) 41% 43% (2) (6)
Nat’l Security 40% 49% (9) 41% 48% (7) (2)
Gov’t Ethics 33% 30% 3 40% 29% 11 (8)
Immigration 36% 43% (7) 36% 37% (1) (6)

It’s admittedly not as bad for the Democrats as a comparison from 2008 would be, but I refuse to believe that the Democrats intended to drop thirty points in health care in less than a year. Particularly in defense of a policy that isn’t even going to work. In the long term, 2009 turned out to be a disaster for the Democrats from a public relations point of view; it would probably be a good idea if they swallowed hard, made a clean break with their current policies, and accept the short-term fallout with good grace and soft words.

No, I don’t expect that to happen, either.

Moe Lane

Crossposted to Moe Lane.

COMMENTS

  • eburke

    You’ve got the numbers showing that voters give the Republicans a 14 point margin on the issue of Abortion.

    That can’t be right. I mean we all *know* that being pro-life is a losing issue for the GOP which is why we simply *must* nominate pro-choice candidates in the primaries.

    ::rolling eyes::

  • http://hillbillypolitics.com Steph C

    Open and transparent? Nope
    Tax Cheats? Yes

    I could go on but …

    I suppose the good news is that it’s still a drop from +11 to +3.

    Maybe one more poll in the future…

  • eburke

    magnifying every single misstep on one side, and burying even the most egregious of scandals on the other.

    Case in point, can you even begin to imagine the 24/7 coverage if it was the *Republican* nominee for Lt. Governor who was being investigated for holding a knife to the throat of a hooker?

    Well, that and you can always tell if it’s a Dem in trouble just by whether or not the AP actually identifies the party of the perpetrator.

  • vamoose

    “I conclude that Government Ethics requires more in the way of prolonged scandals on the Democratic side in order to move public perceptions off of its current default.”

    The default here is that neither party is trusted. Government ethics is the only topic that neither party can achieve 40%.
    Dems: 33%
    Reps: 30%

  • http://hillbillypolitics.com Steph C

    Although the new media is changing that, which I suppose if the reason they want to shut us down through net neutrality.

  • Brian_Roastbeef

    I see major gains for the Republican party on the issues that have been in the spotlight the most lately, and that’s what counts to me. Health care has been a top issue, and its clear the Democrats have lost the consent of the governed on that. The Social Security issue shows that they’ve lost the elderly, and also must represent dissatisfaction with government spending. Meanwhile, abortion has been in the news lately because of Tim Tebow – if the numbers reflect that, it looks as if the Tebows are winning their battle.

    The exception, the 8 point Dem pickup on the economy, I think will swing back toward us some more by next month. It is likely reflecting optimism among Democrats surrounding the SotU address that Obama intends to make his “hard pivot” and get to work on the unemployment issue. Of course, we know that his “hard pivot” is better described as “the same old crap.” When the 2010 plan for fixing the economy proves to be the same as the 2009 plan that has shown no result other than spending our money, that issue will be back to double digits for the GOP.

    As for Government ethics: well..my belief is that the 37% who didn’t give an answer are on to something. Liabilities on both sides, but as they are the incumbents the Dems should suffer more for it.

  • eburke

    a female hillbilly and all that…I’m stunned.

    How’d you ever figure it out in between picking the cow pies out from between your toes?

  • http://hillbillypolitics.com Steph C

    ;-)

  • eburke
  • http://hillbillypolitics.com Steph C
  • http://hillbillypolitics.com Steph C

    you don’t use a dishrag to warsh winders. They leave streaks.

  • AceInTX

    Jefferson just went to prison…Frank, Dodd and Rangel are under investigative clouds…

    I mean…come on!

  • angelopc

    Are you kidding me? Something is definitely askew, here.

  • http://www.nighttwister.com NightTwister

    Conservatives and independents care about eithics. Liberals and progressives don’t. No matter what happens to their candidates in the way of ethics, so long as they get the votes they want they don’t care.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    This is a poll of public opinion, not a measurement of fact.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens
  • Richard Mullins

    Quite often opinions go along with feelings in the meaningless category. It should be noted that it seems that many don’t remember the old line on opinions(I’m not going to repeat it due to foul language that follows).

  • romeg

    that even having squandered so much credibility on the Health Care debate and with the unraveling of the Global Warmism Ferago, the economy going deeper into the tank as measured by stock prices, the scandalous behavior of Dems in the securing their 60 votes for the Health Care bill in the Senate and the Christmas Day terrorist attack in Detroit that the Dems are able to still show gains in support for their views on the Economy, National Security and Government ethics.

    November is a very long way off and at this rate and with the help of their accomplices in the state run media, they may well be able to regain their footing and retain substantial majorities in both houses as well as various governor’s mansions around the country.

    Can the electorate in this country really be this uh uninformed?

  • eburke

    to do womens’ work

    (Ow!!! I *hate* when Mrs. Burke’s looking over my shoulder when I blog. Those frying pans freaking hurt!!)

  • mbecker908

    “ethics” is right up their with global warming. It does not matter. Why? Well, mostly because “ethics” are defined by the folks who are being measured, thus you act in ways that either are or should be against the law and still find that behavior “ethical”.

    Never let lawyers define anything.

  • renny

    mouthing “Culture of Corruption” several million times, each one picked up by AP, Reuters (what a sterling organization–the WH complained of an article and it was pulled from Drudge), and the NYSiimes, and magnified with every retelling.

    Just imagine what the Rasmussen numbers would be if the MSM weren’t all tingly all over from Obamanation emanations.

  • romeg

    Obama et al, has been a top issue and was THE issue for Scott Brown but come November, as it was November ’08, it is not even on the radar. Of course, if Joseph Stalin had been running against John McCain, he probably would have won so that election, as a point on a regression analysis, is an outlier. But, still, given the absolute failure of this administration to address THE NUMBER ONE ISSUE: JOBS, and their wretched excesses in virtually every category, for them to show ANY gains over Republicans shows an appalling willingness of those polled to bury their heads in the sand and return the same foxes to stand guard over the chicken coop.

  • renny

    1) NO expanding opportunities for small business medical insurance plans (motion to invoke cloture, May 11, 2006),
    2) NO allowing the use of private HSA funds for insurance purchases (HR 2, January 25, 2007),
    3) NO allowing the purchase of medical insurance across state lines (HR 976, April 2, 2007),
    4) NO requiring immigrants on Z Visas maintain minimum health coverage for themselves (to avoid “charity cases”) (S 1348, June 6, 2007),
    5) NO preventing the erosion of coverage (amendment, HR 976, August 2, 2007),
    6) NO preserving employer-sponsored coverage (amendment, HR 976, August 2, 2007),

    (2007 was a banner year for NO votes of health care reform)

    7) NO allowing deductions of health care costs (amendment, March 3, 2008).

    And who is the Party of NO?

  • gumbyandpokey

    Personally, I think the “question time” backfired badly, and that helped Obama’s overall numbers and the numbers on the economy.

  • mbecker908
  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens
  • SteveLA

    “Dead Cat” bounce that is.

  • mbecker908

    My rationale for my statement is this. Democrats have had an absolute lock on public policy for the last year. Everything that’s been done has been done not just without Republican help, but by excluding Republicans. Thus, for good or evil, the rain falls only on Democrats.

    Republicans not only have been excluded from the debate, they’ve also – with the exception of National Security – been more or less silent. That is illustrated very well by Republicans economic plan. Or their health care plan. Bottom line, with the exception of National Security issues the Rs are simply standing by watching.

    So, since most people prefer to make a choice when they are polled, the pick “R” not “D” when the Ds are really screwed up.

  • JoeG

    When the whole Gov. Sanford thing popped I mentioned that his career was over. He didn’t believe me.

    I just asked him to list the Republicans that came to mind with sex scandals. Then list how many stayed in office.

    Now do the same for Dems.

    He opted to change the subject…

  • yoyo

    Deeshrag to warsh winders…with wadder from da crick down da holler. Dat dair keepsum from streakin.

    Just saying.

    LOL