I don’t normally fisk, but let’s unpack this passage, shall we? This article – called, amusingly enough, “Matt Drudge and the Republican delusion” – was dated March 25th, 2010 (today is March 30th, 2010):
Recently a Gallup poll, of course highlighted on Drudge, found that Obama’s numbers had (then) turned more unfavorable than favorable.
Presumably this one: 46/48 favorable/unfavorable.
This has (now) dramatically changed, unreported by Drudge, with Obama’s favorables now well above his unfavorables.
Presumably this one: 51% favorable. March 25th, 2010.
But not this one: 47/50 favorable/unfavorable March 29th, 2010. That’s USA/Gallup: the current regular Gallup three-day has him at 48/46 favorable/unfavorable; check back again at 1 PM EST, but I don’t expect aa massive jump.
The generic Democratic vote is leading the generic Republican vote in the last Gallup congressional election survey.
He means this survey: 47/44 Dem/Rep. March 16th, 2010.
Not the latest one: 44/47 Dem/Rep. March 30, 2010 (no story yet).
The healthcare bill has passed and the president’s polls have moved up. Democratic numbers have crept up.
And, as you can see, they have crept right back down again. Let’s add two more from Gallup, since we’re here: when they polled on reactions to the bill on the 23rd, the poll numbers were 49/40 in favor… and when they polled it again on the 29th, the numbers were 47/50.
The rest of the article wasn’t all that interesting – the usual “Four legs good! Two legs bad! Four legs good! Two legs bad!,” plus Matt Drudge standing in for Emmanuel Goldstein* – but the part that I highlighted was worth looking at, and snickering. Goodness knows that I use polls all the time, in a lazy fashion that must drive folks like that fine feathered friend at Unlikely Voter crazy… but even I know to wait a week or so on national issues to see if there’s a trend. Apparently, Brent Budowsky doesn’t. Or else he really needed to see what’s starting to look like strictly temporary good news on the Democrats’ front- which is my two-day reading on the situation. I merely suspect that I will be less affronted if you don’t pay attention to me for it…
Moe Lane
PS: The polls will shift back and forth between now and Election Day. Heck, the Gallup will probably go up today. Still. Usually posts like Budowsky’s aren’t supposed to wilt and grow mold within five days…
*Yes, I’m aware that those were two separate books. That being said, the Muppet Show version of 1984
Crossposted to Moe Lane.
Moe Lane
Dan Spencer
Dan McLaughlin
Jeff Emanuel
Show me a Democrat who isn't praying for a sustained jump
phxg (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 12:22PM EDT (link)And I’ll show you a Pro-Life Democrat true to that belief.
It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it. –Aristotle
snapshots or trends
wilfranc Tuesday, March 30th at 12:25PM EDT (link)Sometimes I get the feeling the polls also lead opinion, because we were told on all the news channels to expect a bump up after this passed, etc.
If I were to guess, the bump was from lefties who thought this bill was toast. I cannot imagine being strongly disapproving and the next day deciding it was just ducky.
I’m even more strongly against it, if there is a poll to reflect that mood.
There was something of a bump
Bill S (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 12:41PM EDT (link)But that “bump” was almost exclusively from Democrats who no longer “strongly disapprove” of Obama’s performance. They were pissed about him sitting on his tookus, not doing anything. Now they’re all giddy that he finally accomplished something (anything). That IS a first for him.
Meanwhile, the portion of the electorate that really matters – independents/unaffiliateds – still can’t stand either healthcare rationing OR Obama.
As Erick pointed out yesterday, the dead cat is still dead. He bounced and is now coming back down.
“It’s such a fine line between stupid, and clever.” – David St. Hubbins
Well since it's the Dems that answer the phone more than us
Richard Mullins (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 12:47PM EDT (link)It’s never really surprising that there was a bump. It’s to be expected. I don’t answer unavailable’s and Private callers. That why my opinion isn’t in a poll.
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Joe Biden is like a Decrepit Park owner with a Meth lab that happens to not only be a dealer but a user.
Let’s Bankrupt the Democratic paty. Make spend all the money to defend thier candidates.
That makes sense !
Racist (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 3:51PM EDT (link)Maybe that’s why I never get polled on my opinion. I only get poled for my opinion! (by congress)
That makes sense !
Racist (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 3:51PM EDT (link)Maybe that’s why I never get polled on my opinion. I only get poled for my opinion! (by congress)
I hope that is the case
earlgrey (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 3:53PM EDT (link)I still don’t understand the poll numbers. Further, I don’t get how any pollster’s models can be that accurate this year because there has been so much upheaval that people who ordinarily sit out on politics are participating.
The giddy feeling
zuckey6 (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 8:58PM EDT (link)A person who showe great wisdom in political matters once said thatthe only poll that really counts is the one on election day.
I love it when a leftie gives the right advice.
NeoKong (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 12:50PM EDT (link)You just know that they want what’s best for us.
Thanks Brent but we’ll take it from here.
Also…
Has he ever even listened to the lyrics of that song….?
It ain’t exactly the Star Spangled Banner.
Follow me on Twitter.
The SuperBall went thud
lukematthews (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 1:40PM EDT (link)The amazing bounce that was to catapult the president and Congress to new heights defying gravity, physics, and social science, didn’t happen. Instead there was a big nothing. Movements were barely measurable by pollsters and certainly the American mood has not lightened.
Could Clinton have been wrong? Naw, we must just be too stupid to understand.
Another leftist hack "journalist"
Adjoran (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 2:55PM EDT (link)Look at the list of his recent entries – it could be descriptions of DNC talking points memos.
He gets PAID to do this? No wonder The Hill has some financial “concerns” . . .
The joke is on Budowsky and The Hill
The_Rebel (Diary) Tuesday, March 30th at 5:15PM EDT (link)From 3/26 through 3/29 only 42 comments appeared on this article, of which probably 20% were from Budowsky. Once the link was posted to Drudge this morning, 3/30/2010, the comments took on a life of their own, with more than 1,150 now posted. And Budowsky has been in hiding ever since.
To quote a fellow blogger, the electoral tsunami that is coming in November will make 1994 look like a ripple in a small pond.
Ohio shows us that the Soros backed effort will attempt to steal the elections in November.
archer52 Tuesday, March 30th at 8:47PM EDT (link)http://truthandcommonsense.com/2010/03/29/stealing-the-election-democrats-in-ohio-tune-up-for-november/
I caught this article and said, “Uh oh.” Why? Well, I knew that there was an effort to elect democrats to key state positions after the 2000 lesson the left learned. It has cost us one senate seat and one governorship on the big stage so far. Here is what is going on at a smaller level and the Dems in Ohio “disqualify” a tea party candidate by losing his petition. Now it turns out the is no recourse. They win.
This creates several issues. 1. Unless you vote in huge margins in November, certain races will be stolen, and openly since the left controls the AGs in a number of states, the federal DOJ, the FEC etc. Again, we are far closer to a one party rule nation that you realize. Tipping point, tipping point. Which brings me to #2. What will happen when the people realize they voted and it didn’t count?
I’ll bet a month of lunches the left will try something just to see how far we’ll bend over backwards in an attempt to remain civil.