Gallup: (nervously looking around) …DOOM?
Gallup did a voter enthusiasm poll, and the results are either gorgeous or hideous, depending on how you look at them. Essentially, it goes like this: In 2004, Democratic voter enthusiasm was at 68% and Republican voter enthusiasm was at 51%. The GOP happened to win that election, sort-of kind of in a squeaker; then again, this poll is of adults, so you can expect | Read More »
Gallup: Obama slips with African-Americans, Hispanics…
Gallup mentions the most obvious point – the President has slipped from his historical approval rating among African-Americans (usually around 92%) all the way down to 85%* – but it kind of obscures a detail on the graph with regard to Hispanic voters. They acknowledge that the President is currently at a low with 54% of those voters, but Gallup does not point out that | Read More »
Gallup: Big Media’s underwater trust numbers.
Add me to the list (Ed Morrissey and Andrew Malcolm) of people unsurprised at the Gallup report that trust in the media is at its lowest in… forever. 57/43 distrust/trust, for those keeping track: and it’s only been in the last few years that the media’s been underwater. It’s interesting to compare the two reactions to it represented in the above links. Ed, who is | Read More »
Gallup whispers DOOM in 2010.
With less than four months to go before the fall elections, the greatest growth industry in the country right now is the tea importation business: everybody who has any interest in the November results is trying his or her hand at precognition. Gallup is no exception: This year’s low approval ratings for Congress are a potentially ominous sign for President Obama and the Democratic majority | Read More »
RCP: November continues to loom for Democrats.
Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics – an underrated blogger, possibly because RCP is such a good site generally that its bloggers get overshadowed – still holds his opinion from April that the House is going to flip big in November: The bottom line is that Democrats are on pace for an ugly November. They’re increasingly running out of time to change the dynamic, and | Read More »
What Gallup *didn’t* do with their enthusiasm poll.
Gallup just published a poll on voter enthusiasm, broken down by age. The main point – younger voters are showing fairly typical enthusiasm levels towards the 2010 elections (i.e., low ones) – is interesting (and entertaining), but there’s another important bit that did not get particularly addressed. And it’s an even more entertaining point.
Brent Budowsky and the poll-watcher’s delusion.
I don’t normally fisk, but let’s unpack this passage, shall we? This article – called, amusingly enough, “Matt Drudge and the Republican delusion” – was dated March 25th, 2010 (today is March 30th, 2010): Recently a Gallup poll, of course highlighted on Drudge, found that Obama’s numbers had (then) turned more unfavorable than favorable. Presumably this one: 46/48 favorable/unfavorable. This has (now) dramatically changed, unreported | Read More »
Gallup: SHUT UP ABOUT HEALTHCARE, DEMOCRATS.
I paraphrase. Unemployment now stands alone as the top issue in Gallup’s latest update on the most important problem facing the country. Thirty-one percent of Americans mention jobs or unemployment, significantly more than say the economy in general (24%), healthcare (20%), or dissatisfaction with government (10%). Via Hot Air. If you’re wondering why the current ruling party is so determined to immolate its reputation, popular | Read More »
‘When Democrats Turn.’
Well, everybody’s turning – Congress is at 18/78 approval/disapproval, which makes you wonder about the four percent who can’t make up their minds – but the Democrats have gone from 45% to 30% in a month, which … well, is this not a pretty graph? Particularly that 15 point drop among Democrats, which is not so much a drop as a ‘dive.’ Unfortunately, the nature | Read More »
Independents more unhappy with Congress than Republicans.
Far too soon for DOOMWATCH, but one year in you don’t want to see this kind of reaction if you’re a Democrat: Short version: both Democratic and Republican voters are happier with Congress these days, and Independents are not. The uptick for the first two is easy enough to explain: both side’s partisans are happy that their respective sides are slugging it out. The question | Read More »
Gallup: R+4 on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
(Via AoSHQ) Shift of eight points since July, which for Gallup represents the GOP ‘edging ahead.’ The current numbers are GOP/Democrats 48/44. And 52/30 among independents. And this represents registered voters, not likely ones. Gallup tried to caveat this one every way that it could, but has to conclude: Since Gallup regularly began using the generic ballot to measure registered voters’ preferences for the House | Read More »
61% of Americans un-American?
At least, that’s the impression you’d be left with if you were the sort to take seriously everybody who upset that not everybody was signed off on the POTUS Peace Nobel thing. Luckily, taking them seriously is still a minority opinion in this country: Most Americans do not believe President Obama should have won the Nobel Peace Prize, and are divided on whether the award | Read More »
The DOOM that came from Gallup.
Given in a polite, understated, terribly-sorry-to-bother-you sort of way: Parties Nearly Tied for Congress in 2010 PRINCETON, NJ — Roughly a year before the 2010 midterm elections, Gallup finds the Republican and Democratic Parties nearly tied in the congressional ballot preferences of registered voters. Forty-six percent of registered voters say they would vote for the Democrat and 44% say the Republican when asked which party’s | Read More »
Gallup mutters about relationship between Dow, approval ratings.
Clearly in reference to Jim Cramer’s I’ve-been-saving-this-for-months revenge clip* of a few days ago, the Gallup organization would like you to know that there’s no historical relationship between a President’s approval rating and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. None at all. Absolutely zero. Mind you, that wasn’t the argument that got made – Cramer was arguing that this specific President’s disapproval ratings (via Gallup!) were | Read More »
Obama’s budget media blitz ineffective?
Well, that may be unfair: as Andrew Malcolm notes, if Obama hadn’t spent the last month trying to convince people that his 3.6 trillion dollar budget was a good idea it might have slipped even further than the recent Gallup poll shows that it has. Which means that he’s saved or created – what? Five, six points on the polls? Looking at the poll itself, | Read More »
Gallup: Americans rank economy over environment…
…for the first time since Gallup started asking the question.
Decent Gallup bounce for Obama.
48 – 42 (+6 Obama) on the Gallup Poll; Rasmussen’s currently tied at 47/47, but the explanatory text suggests that tomorrow’s numbers are going to be more Obama-friendly (they float the concept of a possible ‘modest lead,’ which means… I have no idea). While this technically represents Monday through Wednesday, today’s numbers probably are not taking into account the Wednesday lineup of speakers, which means | Read More »