Gallup: R+4 on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

    (Via AoSHQ) Shift of eight points since July, which for Gallup represents the GOP ‘edging ahead.’ The current numbers are GOP/Democrats 48/44.  And 52/30 among independents.  And this represents registered voters, not likely ones.  Gallup tried to caveat this one every way that it could, but has to conclude: Since Gallup regularly began using the generic ballot to measure registered voters’ preferences for the House | Read More »

    The DOOM that came from Gallup.

    Given in a polite, understated, terribly-sorry-to-bother-you sort of way: Parties Nearly Tied for Congress in 2010 PRINCETON, NJ — Roughly a year before the 2010 midterm elections, Gallup finds the Republican and Democratic Parties nearly tied in the congressional ballot preferences of registered voters. Forty-six percent of registered voters say they would vote for the Democrat and 44% say the Republican when asked which party’s | Read More »

    Mickey Kaus & the Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Poll.

    Mickey’s asking why it went down to R+1 (41/40) this week, after being R+5 to R+7 for the last few weeks month, more or less.  While I can easily see le affaire Joe Wilson causing a point or two for the bounce among Democrats, I’m going to speculate (read: ‘guess’) that the main reason is due to the intersection of two factors: Rasmussen’s Generic Congressional | Read More »