Sabato’s Crystal Ball predicts… DOOM for Congressional Democrats.
They crunched some numbers, put together an equation or two, sacrificed three white cockerels to Moloch and came up with… the Democrats picking up three seats in the House, and losing seven in the Senate. Which will lead people all over the spectrum to write posts and articles all using a variant of the concept Yes, probably. (pause) But…
Dorwin Award*: Larry Sabato.
Watch this PJTV interview (via Instapundit), if you would. The stuff on the Senate is very interesting – established wisdom this far out is that we’re looking at an incremental shift – but even more interesting is the fact that, when the issue came up about whether or not the GOP would take back the House in 2010, Dr. Sabato did everything except actually make | Read More »
Sabato’s Handicapping the Governors’ races, Part One.
Larry Sabato has done the first half of his anaylsis of the governor’s races for 2010 (the Democratic half): the basic results are below. ARKANSAS: DEMOCRATIC HOLD. COLORADO: LEANS DEMOCRATIC. ILLINOIS: TOSS-UP. IOWA: LEANS DEMOCRATIC. KANSAS: LEANS REPUBLICAN TURNOVER. MAINE: TOSS-UP. MARYLAND: LEANS DEMOCRATIC. MASSACHUSETTS: DEMOCRATIC HOLD. MICHIGAN: TOSS-UP. NEW HAMPSHIRE: DEMOCRATIC HOLD / TOSS-UP NEW MEXICO: LEANS DEMOCRATIC HOLD NEW YORK: LEANS DEMOCRATIC / | Read More »