Reviewing the December Fundraising Numbers.
It’s that time again. Short version: RNC above DNC, DNC took a big cash on hand hit, NRSC over DSCC in the biggest shocker, NRCC/DCCC more or less the same, DCCC has a big CoH advantage, and blessed if I know how much any of this means, post-Citizens’ United and post-Brown. Raised CoH Debts RNC 6.84 8.42 0.00 DNC 4.54 8.67 4.69 NRSC 4.10 8.30 | Read More »
Fortunately, they will ignore Tom Jensen utterly.
He’s been making the tactical error of not telling Democrats what they want to hear lately*, so any excuse to discount this cold water on GOP party disunity is a good enough one, right? In the wake of NY-23 last fall a lot of Democrats hoped that the ideological war within the Republican Party would impede GOP progress in 2010. I just don’t see it | Read More »
The December Rasmussen Public Trust Numbers.
The full report isn’t up yet, but these are the reported Rasmussen trust numbers for December. Short version: seven out of ten for the GOP, two ties, and the Democrats get to be more trusted on education. Dec-09 Nov-09 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 43% 46% (3) 42% 44% (2) (1) Education 45% 39% 6 41% 39% 2 4 Social | Read More »
The November Rasmussen Public Trust Numbers.
I had actually put this together on Sunday, but: well, new baby. Rasmussen’s new trust numbers are out. The short version is: eight for ten for the GOP, and the Democrats’ free-fall from last month have been mostly reset back to September’s numbers… Nov-09 Oct-09 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 42% 44% (2) 40% 46% (6) 4 Education 41% 39% | Read More »
Looking at the Cook Competitive Race Chart.
Looking at the Cook Political Report’s latest competitive race chart is in itself informative – the short version is that of the top 108 competitive races, the following ratios apply: Dem GOP Likely D 45 0 Leans D 23 1 Toss-up D 12 0 Toss-up R 0 3 Leans R 1 8 Likely R 0 15 Total 81 27 …but there’s some interesting things that | Read More »
Rasmussen: 54/42 against Pelosi’s health care rationing bill.
Give House Democrats credit: their latest version of the health care rationing bill actually moved the numbers a little. Just not in the way that they hoped. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi introduced the House version of health care reform legislation last week, but most voters are still opposed to the effort. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 42% now favor the health | Read More »
NJ-GOV: New PPP, Rasmussen polls out.
And if you thought that yesterday’s semi-cryptic blog post from the former was just some prepare-the-Democrats-for-some-bad-news, and not an attempt to raise Republican hopes… well, you were right. Chris Christie now leads Jon Corzine 42-38 in the race to be New Jersey’s next Governor, a slight increase from our poll two weeks that showed his advantage at 40-39. In other words, the partisan Democratic polling | Read More »
The October Rasmussen Trust numbers. (Ten for ten)
Rasmussen hasn’t written the article yet – but they put the new numbers on their BY THE NUMBERS page. And it’s not pretty for Democrats: October 2009 September 2009 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 40% 46% (6) 44% 44% – (6) Education 38% 43% (5) 45% 40% 5 (10) Social Security 37% 45% (8) 43% 41% 2 (10) Abortion 35% | Read More »
Rasmussen: 54/42 against health care rationing.
It would seem that finally putting out all the various versions, alternates, and fevered mutterings of what the Democrats are trying to call ‘health care reform’ has helped to clarify matters for voters some more. It’s just not clarifying matters in a fashion that will make the current ruling party happy. Rasmussen’s latest snapshot: Now that the Senate Finance Committee has passed its version of | Read More »
Symbolic gesture towards repealing DoMA made.
Let’s keep this one simple (H/T: AoSHQ Headlines): Q. Why is it that a bill to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act – one with more than 90 Congressional supporters – will apparently not even make it to the House floor? A. Because Rep. Barney Franks – who is not one of the supporters – was blunt about why he wasn’t a supporter: the Democrats | Read More »
The September Rasmussen Public Trust Numbers.
The Democrats may simply have to accept the fact that they no longer can automatically count on the trust of the American people on any topic. September 2009 August 2009 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 44% 44% – 41% 44% (3) 3 Education 45% 40% 5 38% 41% (3) 8 Social Security 43% 41% 2 39% 43% (4) 6 Abortion | Read More »
Gallup mutters about relationship between Dow, approval ratings.
Clearly in reference to Jim Cramer’s I’ve-been-saving-this-for-months revenge clip* of a few days ago, the Gallup organization would like you to know that there’s no historical relationship between a President’s approval rating and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. None at all. Absolutely zero. Mind you, that wasn’t the argument that got made – Cramer was arguing that this specific President’s disapproval ratings (via Gallup!) were | Read More »
The August Rasmussen Public Trust Numbers.
I think that this is going to sting the Democrats a little. August 2009 July 2009 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 44% (3) 46% 42% 4 (7) Education 38% 41% (3) 41% 38% 3 (6) Social Security 39% 43% (4) 37% 42% (5) 1 Abortion 36% 46% (10) 39% 46% (7) (3) Economy 40% 46% (6) 41% 46% (5) | Read More »
The CNN ‘Second 100 days’ report card.
Found here, in all its unscientific and meaningless glory. Oh, yes: its findings are completely invalid, from the C+ given to Secretary State Clinton to the D given to Congress (or that the D given to Republican leadership is nonetheless a higher D than the one given to Congress as a whole). There’s nothing random about the process by which they got 300K folks to | Read More »
The July Rasmussen Public Trust numbers.
[UPDATE] Rasmussen finally put up an article. Short version: the public trusts the GOP over the Democrats 8-for-10 at this point, and we flipped the Abortion and Social Security categories. That being said, the numbers readjusted themselves in the Democrats’ favor 5-for-10 as compared to last month‘s. July 2009 June 2009 Issue Dem GOP Diff Issue Democrats GOP Diff Shift Health Care 46% 42% 4 | Read More »
June’s Rasmussen trust numbers versus May’s.
So, last month I posted Rasmussen’s report that the Republicans were back to being trusted more than Democrats on four critical topics, and trusted more and/or tied on five. It got a surprising amount of play, given that I hadn’t really thought all that much about it when I wrote it. Besides, it was one month, compared to a very, very, very bad month for | Read More »
Rasmussen and the quietly rusting Democratic advantage.
Examining Rasmussen’s trust-on-issues numbers from month to month is interesting enough, but I was interested in the long term trends. So I put together this chart comparing this month’s numbers with those of last October’s*: October 2008 May 2009 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Cum Shift Economy 51% 38% 13 44% 43% 1 (12) Govt Ethics 40% 30% 10 40% 29% 11 1 | Read More »