I stopped doing this in the middle of 2010, once it became clear that the real question of 2010 was how many hits to the head with the snake the Democrats were going to take before it was all over. As the answer was “a lot,” I feel that this was a wise prioritization of my time. But it’s a new cycle, so let’s look | Read More »
The latest Rasmussen trust numbers are out, after what was an odd formatting thing that made me decide to stop reporting them until things settled down. Short version: Rasmussen has replaced Abortion with Afghanistan in the top ten category; the GOP won all ten, including that perennial heartbreaker Government Ethics; and the numbers nonetheless show a shift away from July’s numbers, mostly because July’s numbers | Read More »
That’s with leaners (51/43): without leaners Meg Whitman’s ‘only’ up 48/40 over Moonbeam Brown. Which is itself a switch from an earlier 43/41 Brown lead from a Rasmussen poll from a couple of weeks ago. Whitman is benefiting from strong Republican support, weak Democratic support of Brown, and winning independents… not to mention not being Moonbeam Brown. In other news, Moonbeam is still trying to | Read More »
…if the Democrats want to keep the R from the seat. If Meek gets the nomination, Marco Rubio wins; if Greene gets it, Crist picks up enough votes to make the race competitive. And, of course, if Crist wins he’ll then finish the project of becoming a Democrat. That was Arlen Specter’s mistake, you see: openly turning your coat will strike too many people as | Read More »
I’m frankly impressed that Rasmussen was able to poll them anyway on tax policy. I’ve known for a while that pollsters would dearly love to be able to bypass the brain’s censor circuits and find out what the American voter really thinks; I’m just mildly surprised that research along those lines has paid off so early. Then again, if you’re in a coma you probably | Read More »
People are paying a lot of attention to the House right now, but there’s something interesting going on in the Senate. And in some ways it should worry the Democrats more. Let’s start by taking a look at Rasmussen’s state of the Senate races right now: U.S. Senate Snapshot: Held/Solid Democratic 48 Leans Democratic 1 Toss-Up 9 Leans Republican 3 Held/Solid Republican 39
There’s no article up on them yet, but the raw numbers are available here. May 2010 April 2010 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 41% 48% (7) – Education 40% 43% (3) 43% 39% 4 (7) Social Security 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Abortion 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Economy 39% 48% (9) 39% | Read More »
Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics – an underrated blogger, possibly because RCP is such a good site generally that its bloggers get overshadowed – still holds his opinion from April that the House is going to flip big in November: The bottom line is that Democrats are on pace for an ugly November. They’re increasingly running out of time to change the dynamic, and | Read More »
I almost wish I hadn’t written this: it would have been perfect for this Rasmussen poll on Obamacare. Support for repeal of the new national health care plan has jumped to its highest level ever. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 63% of U.S. voters now favor repeal of the plan passed by congressional Democrats and signed into law by President Obama | Read More »
I’ve been trying to do this post for a few days (Rasmussen usually puts these numbers up before it does a formal article). Short version: eight out of ten for the GOP, but the Democrats made up lost territory across the board. Apr-10 Mar-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 37% 53% (16) 9 Education 43% 39% 4 | Read More »
The very short version: all four GOP candidates for Governor beat the likely Democratic nominee. The hidden message: Arizona voters don’t like the Democrats’ health care debacle. Over the past month, despite even higher opposition to the new national health care plan in Arizona than is found nationally, [state AG General Terry] Goddard has refused to join other state attorneys general in suing to stop | Read More »
Rasmussen usually makes a good-faith effort to avoid being sardonic, but sometimes they just can’t help themselves (bolding mine): …voters are closely divided over Congress’ most important role: 49% say it’s passing good legislation, while 43% see it as preventing bad legislation from becoming law. That’s why 39% of voters say it’s a good thing in today’s political climate to be the Party of No. | Read More »
Short version: nine out of ten, and the word ‘Pyrrhic’ seems ever-more appropriate when discussing the Democrats’ health care monstrosity. Mar-10 Feb-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 37% 53% (16) 42% 45% (3) (13) Education 40% 43% (3) 41% 38% 3 (6) Social Security 36% 48% (12) 39% 42% (3) (9) Abortion 32% 47% (15) 38% 42% (4) (11) Economy | Read More »
I had read the latest Rasmussen examination on the topic (short version: health care debate increased both the GOP and Democrats’ partisan identification) when I noticed that they had provided a handy table of their polling results over time. I personally feel that this material is more accessible in graph form; so I pulled the results, averaged them by quarter, and graphed the whole thing | Read More »
Because when they finally pass that thing, it’s supposed to have this massive and immediate effect on public opinion (ten points to the President was former President Clinton’s guess, I believe)… What? It passed last week? Well, what was the result? One week after the House of Representatives passed the health care plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats, 54% of the nation’s likely | Read More »
I missed this when it came out last week, not that anybody was waiting for this with bated breath. Short version: eight for ten, and the Democrats made up a good bit of lost ground more or less across the board. Feb-10 Jan-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 42% 45% (3) 37% 49% (12) 9 Education 41% 38% 3 36% | Read More »
These I still see the point of putting up. It’s not like the USSC is about to rule to strike down restrictions… OK, that joke is simply not going to work this early in the (snowed-in) day. Short version: nine of ten, the Democrats managed to make up some of their deficit in the economy category (hey, that joke worked!), and I conclude that Government | Read More »
But no doubt the administration just needs to explain the situation better to the American people. No doubt. While influential 20th Century economist John Maynard Keynes would say it’s best to increase deficit spending in tough economic times, only 11% of American adults agree and think the nation needs to increase its deficit spending at this time. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds | Read More »
The full report isn’t up yet, but these are the reported Rasmussen trust numbers for December. Short version: seven out of ten for the GOP, two ties, and the Democrats get to be more trusted on education. Dec-09 Nov-09 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 43% 46% (3) 42% 44% (2) (1) Education 45% 39% 6 41% 39% 2 4 Social | Read More »
This is not the most important passage from the article, though: A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 30% of voters nationwide believe the $787-billion economic stimulus plan has helped the economy. However, 38% believe that the stimulus plan has hurt the economy. This is the first time since the legislation passed that a plurality has held a negative view of its impact. | Read More »
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