Assessing the effect of Mediscare on the 2012 election cycle.

    One of the more… interesting… beliefs that seems to have spread along the Online Left lately is that their forthcoming campaigning against Paul Ryan’s budget reforms (henceforth to be sneeringly dismissed as ‘Mediscare’) is a clear winner for them. And if you ask them why, the members of the Online Left who are smart enough to avoid saying “Because we think that the population of | Read More »

    Looking at the recent House special election record.

    Now that we’ve had some time to digest last week’s special election results – or, in the Democrats’ case, have the equivalent of a gallstone attack over them – I think that it’s a time that we look at some of the House’s special election results over the last two election cycles generally. Partially because we’re starting to get enough samples to do a laughingly | Read More »

    Meet Bob Turner (R-CAND, NY-09).

    Bob is running in the special election called to replace Rep. Weiner after, well, delicacy prohibits me from finishing that sentence in the way that it deserves. Anyway, the election in question is next month, and is already surprisingly close, this early out.  Turner’s Democratic opponent David Weprin is only leading 48/42 in the latest Siena poll, which frankly demonstrates a startlingly weak lead in | Read More »

    All even in the House special election net tally.

    I’d like to put the history of special elections in the 111th Congress to date in context of well, the 111th Congress.  Which is to say that, after all the drama and excitement that we’ve seen thus far, the end result is that… we’re right back to where we started. Race Old New Switch? Net NY-20 Dem Dem No 0 IL-05 Dem Dem No 0 | Read More »

    Why is Gov. Paterson (D, NY) flirting with impeachment?

    Article I, Section 2, US Constitution : When vacancies happen in the Representation from any State, the Executive Authority thereof shall issue Writs of Election to fill such Vacancies. WHAM.com : Henrietta, NY — Multiple Democratic sources now confirm that party chairs decided Monday night that Matthew Zeller is their candidate should a special election to replace Rep. Eric Massa take place. As Jim Geraghty | Read More »

    The 2009/2010 special elections, to date.

    I’d like to unpack this paragraph from the Hotline, mostly because the assumptions behind it are in in large part why the Democrats all of a sudden have found themselves in trouble this election cycle. But the elections present a problem for the NRCC, too. The 2 specials so far during Pres. Obama’s term have both been in GOP-heavy seats. Dems have won both. The | Read More »

    Pushback on some pushback rhetoric…

    …I hesitate to call it a ‘meme.’ At any rate: somebody – presumably somebody from the other side of the spectrum – attempted to derail Mark Steyn’s observation that Adam Nagourney is sounding a little bereft-of-information these days by rhetorically asking: You do realize that Democrats have won every single federal-level election since Obama’s election, right? Five. Err… wrong, actually.  Eight.  And the attempt to | Read More »