On that potentially troublesome Cook County poll.
The Daily Caller reported on a poll today that gave a rather remarkable result: it showed Barack Obama ahead of Mitt Romney 49 to 37… in Cook County, Illinois: which of course includes the City of Chicago. Being under 50% in what can be considered the ultimate Democratic stronghold is not good news for the President. In 2008 Cook County went for Obama over McCain | Read More »
Crunching the July 2011 Rasmussen trust numbers.
I stopped doing this in the middle of 2010, once it became clear that the real question of 2010 was how many hits to the head with the snake the Democrats were going to take before it was all over. As the answer was “a lot,” I feel that this was a wise prioritization of my time. But it’s a new cycle, so let’s look | Read More »
Fourth of July: REPUBLICAN BREEDING GROUND!!!!!
[UPDATE: Promoted, with a link added from AoSHQ. I wish that I had written #1 on that list. - ML] I suspect that the Democratic party probably doesn’t want to ever see this sentence from a Harvard statistical survey appear in a news story: Taken together, the results indicate that Fourth of July celebrations in the United States shape the nation’s political landscape by forming | Read More »
Gallup: Obama slips with African-Americans, Hispanics…
Gallup mentions the most obvious point – the President has slipped from his historical approval rating among African-Americans (usually around 92%) all the way down to 85%* – but it kind of obscures a detail on the graph with regard to Hispanic voters. They acknowledge that the President is currently at a low with 54% of those voters, but Gallup does not point out that | Read More »
So, DSCC: which candidate will you abandon…
…to firewall Connecticut? Propelled by Connecticut likely voters who say they are “angry” with government, former wrestling executive Linda McMahon, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate, is closing in on Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, and now trails just 49 – 46 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 51 – 45 percent Blumenthal lead in a September 14 | Read More »
The poll that scares the Democrats most.
It’s this one, from the never-to-be-sufficiently-hated-by-the-Left Rasmussen: and on its face it’s innocuous enough. It’s the partisan identification poll, and it currently lists Democrats at 35%, Republicans at 33.8%, and Neither at 31.1%. Unsurprising, based on recent events, right? – Also, it’s a poll of adults, so this probably means a Republican advantage among likely voters, as that’s the usual rule of thumb for these | Read More »
The August Rasmussen Trust Numbers.
The latest Rasmussen trust numbers are out, after what was an odd formatting thing that made me decide to stop reporting them until things settled down. Short version: Rasmussen has replaced Abortion with Afghanistan in the top ten category; the GOP won all ten, including that perennial heartbreaker Government Ethics; and the numbers nonetheless show a shift away from July’s numbers, mostly because July’s numbers | Read More »
Gallup whispers DOOM in 2010.
With less than four months to go before the fall elections, the greatest growth industry in the country right now is the tea importation business: everybody who has any interest in the November results is trying his or her hand at precognition. Gallup is no exception: This year’s low approval ratings for Congress are a potentially ominous sign for President Obama and the Democratic majority | Read More »
The May Rasmussen trust numbers.
There’s no article up on them yet, but the raw numbers are available here. May 2010 April 2010 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 41% 48% (7) – Education 40% 43% (3) 43% 39% 4 (7) Social Security 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Abortion 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Economy 39% 48% (9) 39% | Read More »
Rasmussen: Support for Obamacare repeal almost 2-to-1.
I almost wish I hadn’t written this: it would have been perfect for this Rasmussen poll on Obamacare. Support for repeal of the new national health care plan has jumped to its highest level ever. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 63% of U.S. voters now favor repeal of the plan passed by congressional Democrats and signed into law by President Obama | Read More »
The April Rasmussen Trust numbers.
I’ve been trying to do this post for a few days (Rasmussen usually puts these numbers up before it does a formal article). Short version: eight out of ten for the GOP, but the Democrats made up lost territory across the board. Apr-10 Mar-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 37% 53% (16) 9 Education 43% 39% 4 | Read More »
What Gallup *didn’t* do with their enthusiasm poll.
Gallup just published a poll on voter enthusiasm, broken down by age. The main point – younger voters are showing fairly typical enthusiasm levels towards the 2010 elections (i.e., low ones) – is interesting (and entertaining), but there’s another important bit that did not get particularly addressed. And it’s an even more entertaining point.
Rasmussen succumbs to snark.
Rasmussen usually makes a good-faith effort to avoid being sardonic, but sometimes they just can’t help themselves (bolding mine): …voters are closely divided over Congress’ most important role: 49% say it’s passing good legislation, while 43% see it as preventing bad legislation from becoming law. That’s why 39% of voters say it’s a good thing in today’s political climate to be the Party of No. | Read More »
The March Rasmussen Trust Numbers.
Short version: nine out of ten, and the word ‘Pyrrhic’ seems ever-more appropriate when discussing the Democrats’ health care monstrosity. Mar-10 Feb-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 37% 53% (16) 42% 45% (3) (13) Education 40% 43% (3) 41% 38% 3 (6) Social Security 36% 48% (12) 39% 42% (3) (9) Abortion 32% 47% (15) 38% 42% (4) (11) Economy | Read More »
Unpacking the Rasmussen partisan numbers.
I had read the latest Rasmussen examination on the topic (short version: health care debate increased both the GOP and Democrats’ partisan identification) when I noticed that they had provided a handy table of their polling results over time. I personally feel that this material is more accessible in graph form; so I pulled the results, averaged them by quarter, and graphed the whole thing | Read More »
Brent Budowsky and the poll-watcher’s delusion.
I don’t normally fisk, but let’s unpack this passage, shall we? This article – called, amusingly enough, “Matt Drudge and the Republican delusion” – was dated March 25th, 2010 (today is March 30th, 2010): Recently a Gallup poll, of course highlighted on Drudge, found that Obama’s numbers had (then) turned more unfavorable than favorable. Presumably this one: 46/48 favorable/unfavorable. This has (now) dramatically changed, unreported | Read More »
The February Rasmussen Trust Numbers.
I missed this when it came out last week, not that anybody was waiting for this with bated breath. Short version: eight for ten, and the Democrats made up a good bit of lost ground more or less across the board. Feb-10 Jan-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 42% 45% (3) 37% 49% (12) 9 Education 41% 38% 3 36% | Read More »
‘When Democrats Turn.’
Well, everybody’s turning – Congress is at 18/78 approval/disapproval, which makes you wonder about the four percent who can’t make up their minds – but the Democrats have gone from 45% to 30% in a month, which … well, is this not a pretty graph? Particularly that 15 point drop among Democrats, which is not so much a drop as a ‘dive.’ Unfortunately, the nature | Read More »
The January Rasmussen Trust Numbers.
These I still see the point of putting up. It’s not like the USSC is about to rule to strike down restrictions… OK, that joke is simply not going to work this early in the (snowed-in) day. Short version: nine of ten, the Democrats managed to make up some of their deficit in the economy category (hey, that joke worked!), and I conclude that Government | Read More »
Reviewing the December Fundraising Numbers.
It’s that time again. Short version: RNC above DNC, DNC took a big cash on hand hit, NRSC over DSCC in the biggest shocker, NRCC/DCCC more or less the same, DCCC has a big CoH advantage, and blessed if I know how much any of this means, post-Citizens’ United and post-Brown. Raised CoH Debts RNC 6.84 8.42 0.00 DNC 4.54 8.67 4.69 NRSC 4.10 8.30 | Read More »