« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

MEMBER DIARY

Fear Thy Primary

Sen. Saxby Chambliss has decided to part company with Grover Norquist.  In doing so, he invited a primary challenge.  Reps. Paul Broun, Tom Price, and former secretary of state Karen Handel all have been maneuvering to oust Chambliss in 2014.  Joshua Miller at CQ Roll Call reported on November 19 that conservatives just aren’t happy with Chambliss, with some, like Debbie Dooley, national coordinator of Tea Party Patriots, who said that:

“Sen. Chambliss is not very popular among a lot of the conservative grass roots.” Conservatives “don’t feel he’s as conservative as the base is,” said Virginia Galloway, the state director for Americans for Prosperity Georgia. “Sometimes when he sees himself being a statesman, conservatives see him as being a sellout.”

The crux of the base’s concern is Chambliss’ history of reaching across the aisle to work on solutions to issues such as immigration and federal debt. Another thing that rankled some of the base: his involvement in the bipartisan effort to come up with a solution to the debt ceiling crisis as part of the “gang of six.”

Chambliss will almost certainly have a primary challenger from the right. But over the next months, the decisive factor in determining his true vulnerability is whether a GOP congress member will run or whether Chambliss will face off with a less-formidable challenger.

Heck, even conservative blogger Erick Erickson considered challenging Chambliss, but decided to take a pass on this one last week. Aaron Blake at The Washington Post listed four reasons why Chambliss is a vulnerable incumbent on November 30.

1. While it’s not clear who might have the wherewithal to challenge Graham, there are plenty of candidates ready to challenge Chambliss. Price and Broun both have very conservative records, and Handel, of course, has a statewide resume.

2. Chambliss had a weak showing in 2008. Despite being an incumbent, he ran a few points behind Sen. John McCarin (R-Ariz.) at the top of the ticket and actually needed to go to a runoff to keep his seat against Democrat Jim Martin, who wasn’t seen as a top-tier opponent. (Chambliss did beat Martin by double-digits in the runoff, for what it’s worth.)

3. He’s from South Georgia. Chambliss is from Moultrie, which is very far from Atlanta and from most of the state’s population centers. Thus, it seems logical that a candidate from the Atlanta area could beat him by regionalizing the race.

4. He’s got a tone problem. While Chambliss has got a largely conservative record, he’s hardly a conservative favorite. In fact, when it comes to the National Journal vote ratings, Chambliss has scored more conservative than Sen. Johnny Isakson (R-Ga.) the last two years, and he was tied for the most conservative senator in 2010.

While I’m not so up in arms about him filing a petition for divorce from Grover Norquist, the fact that he’s unpalatable to the conservative grassroots is a problem.  The power of the incumbent is omnipresent in elections, but if he, or she, finds that their relationship with the grassroots is shaky – then they should either update their resumes or quickly get cozy with them.  Money is a powerful asset, but former Senator Dick Lugar (R-IN) outspent his Republican challenger, Richard Mourdock, by a 3-to-1 margin and still lost the primary.  In fact, Lugar was shellacked.  This is what happens to representatives that anger or become disconnected with the grassroots organizations.

Mr. Chambliss isn’t a conservative favorite. But to say that his conservatism poses a liability, as stated by Blake, is wrong.  Republicans should primary each other based on that notion.  However, if they have a history of selling out, or working too closely with the other side, then by all means initiate the purge.  We have an American party and a European one.  Bipartisanship is very overrated in these circumstances.

Get Alerts

COMMENTS

  • Wubbies

    One thought did cross my mind but I think it falls into the category of “nit picking”.

    I do not consider “working with Democrats” as selling out. However, when “working with Democrats” means caving in and giving in to what the Democrats want, then that is selling out.

    In the big scheme of things in a divided government both sides have to give a little. What I am tired of, as I am sure everyone else is as well, is Republicans totally caving in and coming back with “we’ll get them next time!” Yea right, seen that too many times. That is what I have serious trouble with seeing Republicans do.

    Caving in is what the Republicans in Congress are in the middle of doing right now, with John Boehner leading the charge. Saxby Chambliss is complicit as well on the Senate side.

    I am really sick of it!

  • electconstitutionalists

    He may be moderately a conservative, but he is certainly not a Constitutionalist. That is why if Paul Broun runs, I will work for his campaign.

  • http://gardenslegal.com morstar150

    I am sorry but what I am really sick of is the Democrats controlling the Senate. It seems to be so easy to shoot ourselves in the foot when it comes to casting stones against those who are not Republican enough. I don’t know enough about Chambliss to make that statement but what is it you are looking for? A primary victory and an election loss. You talk about the great Lugar defeat as a victory but right now there is a Democrat replacing Lugar because the so called Tea Party Candidate was an idiot!

    I am not against the Tea Party movement, I consider myself part of the small government, fiscally responsible spending, and constitutional base that spawned the birth of the Tea Party movement. What I have found is that most Tea Party organizations eagerly support people who say the right things but are not vetted properly before they self-destruct. The movement is based on principles, we need to find candidates who are proven leaders and proven conservatives who believe in those principles.

    Another thing that we have to do is stop killing off those Republicans who come from Blue States. We have to fight the Democrats everywhere. As an example, Olympia Snowe resigned this year because she was threatened with Tea Party Backlash. The conservatives in Maine are not strong enough to defeat a moderate. Again, the result is an Independent caucusing with the Democrats. In 2014, Susan Collins will be running for her seat in Maine. Prior to this latest Obama debacle I would have been ready to dump her. I am not so sure that the devil I know isn’t much better than the devil I don’t.

    I believe that the 2014 this election could actually be the election to SAVE OUR NATION! Take this anyway you want but we must do anything we can to take over the Senate, including electing moderates in Blue states. Otherwise, we can kiss it all goodbye.

  • Jim_Riggs

    Anyone, republican or democrat, who is worried about a primary challenge, doesn’t deserve to hold office. Imho.

  • merrie7137

    Well, as one of Senator Chambliss’ constituents, I can say he’s not really well liked. Most of us would love a primary challenger. I wish Herman Cain had chosen that instead of his presidential campaign. Chambliss has always had some strong RINO tendencies. He was booed loudly at a Republican event a few years back during the immigration reform debacle.
    I know Republicans need to weigh electibility in deciding candidates, but Georgia’s pretty safe. I’m sure we could get a much more conservative candidate elected here.