The media’s wishful thinking about the demise of the Tea Party continues to drive coverage during the run-up to the election despite plenty of contrary facts. Last week, Politico’s James Hohmann declared boldly that, “the Republican Party establishment has withstood the tea-party revolution.” Hohmann’s analysis rests on the fact that he didn’t see many of the “Gadsden flag-waving insurgents” at the RNC’s recent spring meeting at some swanky resort in Scottsdale, Arizona. For all those in the press looking, waiting, praying and inventing reasons to believe that the Tea Party is waning, I have news for you. They don’t care about the RNC – at least not right now.
Tea Partiers are certainly not going to fly themselves out to a posh hotel and sit in a room full of suits who spend most of their time engrossed in their mutual admiration society and precious little doing something to build a stronger, more principled national force for reform.
For the Tea Party, the present Republican Party establishment is becoming little more than a legal method for obtaining a place on the ballot. Tea Partiers understand that nationwide, the Republican Party is becoming less relevant as aging committees at the local and state level lack the energy, tactical knowledge and money to mount effective campaigns.
The California Party has drifted into irrelevancy. In Minnesota, the State Party just received an eviction notice from their headquarters while the state GOP in Illinois is buckling under debt. Other state parties, particularly in large, populous states are a mere shell of what they were only a decade ago.
The decline of the GOP will be evident in the 2012 cycle in the rise of the PACs and Super PACs who will likely spend more money and deploy more people than the GOP on a national basis in support of Republican candidates. Those entities will look to the Tea Party to staff their ground operations and GOTV pushes this fall. The so-called GOP establishment will play second fiddle to the national PACs and the dozens of conservative grassroots organizations who are more aggressive, more passionate, better prepared, better financed and more effective.
There is also a very real philosophical battle going on that the folks drinking scotch in Scottsdale should be concerned about. Tea Party leaders see the GOP as too accommodating to the progressive left, and quite frankly, the statists in the Republican Party. They may still be learning the game, but they understand that playing by their opponents’ rules won’t be a winning strategy. In the end, the Tea Party is seeking not to take over the GOP but reform it from the bottom up.
The movement is learning how to win even more effectively than it did in 2010. For anyone who thinks the Tea Party lacks influence in the party or national political scene, tell that to Orrin Hatch and Dick Lugar. If Governor Scott Walker survives a recall election against millions pumped in from unions and progressive groups, the Republican Party should not get the credit. It will be the Tea Party groups and other conservative organizations across Wisconsin and the Midwest who will stave off the full assault of the public employees and liberal interest groups who want to roll back Walker’s reforms.
An important sign of the Tea Party’s influence and evolution can be seen in the Lugar challenge for instance. The Tea Party alternative in that race is a credible candidate with a real shot at winning both the primary and the general elections tossing out a Republican incumbent who after years in Washington is out of touch with the needs of his constituents and America was more a Ruling Class statist than a defender of limited government.
Of course the folks at the RNC would like to treat the Tea Party as just another coalition. This should be no surprise. It’s a defense mechanism and one that blinds them to the reality that unlike any other group within the GOP today, the Tea Party’s aim is to hold the Republican Party accountable for talking tough with little action. Honestly, as one who is a social conservative, the social conservative coalition isn’t. The Tea Partiers will.
The Tea Partiers goal isn’t to run the cautious and plodding Grand Old Party establishment. They want to reform conservativism in America and bring the values of limited, constitutional government, lower taxes and more freedom back into the mainstream. If taking over the RNC is a necessary evil to accomplish that goal, the Tea Party is already laying the groundwork at the local level to do it from the bottom up.
Perhaps when they do, the RNC won’t have meetings in posh hotels and spend millions to entertain its members. Maybe, the RNC would focus more on winning than just trying not to lose.
Erick Erickson
Jeff Emanuel
Steve Maley
Caleb Howe
555 "If taking over the RNC is a necessary evil to accomplish that goal,
ColdWarrior (Diary) Monday, April 30th at 1:02PM EDT (link)the Tea Party is already laying the groundwork at the local level to do it from the bottom up.”
In some places the grass roots conservatives certainly are “taking over the RNC” at the local committee level by becoming “voting members” of the Party — precinct committeemen. I was fortunate to be an invited guest at those Scottsdale meetings and wrote about it here. Some of the other attendees were precinct committeemen who were relatively new members of the Party. For example, the Pinal County chairman was there, too. After Obama got elected, this now-county chairman had formed a 9.12 group in Pinal County. I met him at a Republican Club meeting in 2010 before the primary election where candidates were present to answer questions. I spoke briefly about the need for conservatives to become precinct committeemen and about the fact that over half of the Republican PC slots in AZ were vacant. I had flyers with me that explained how to become a PC and offered them to anyone in the audience who wanted to learn more. He approached me after the meeting and said, “So, tell me more about the precinct committeeman thing.” Now, two years later, he’s a county committee chairman and getting invited by our national committeewoman to attend RNC meetings and get introduced to Mitt Romney.
Our current AZ GOP chairman considers himself to be a “tea partier” if only because the tea party principles are embodied in our Party platform. He was able to get elected state chairman because conservative PCs across the state had recruited thousands of grass roots conservatives to join them inside the Party as PCs where they were able to create a solid conservative majority.
In some states, as Ned notes, the Republican Party is in very bad shape. But my guess is that that may be because of a lack of participation inside the local Party committees by sufficient numbers of conservative Republicans. For example, when I came into my local committee in 2007, only about 65 of the 267 PC slots were filled and the five elected officers were moderates. By the election in 2010 we had grown to about 113 PCs and four of the five officers elected were conservatives. We’re now at about 145 PCs and continue to recruit to fill up the vacancies. The way it works here in AZ, each legislative district committee gets to elect one state committeeman for every three PCs. Those state committeemen then attend the annual meeting at which the state officers are elected. The greater number of conservative PCs in a district, the greater number of conservative state committeemen that will be sent to the annual meeting. Every state has its own system.
It’s been estimated that the Republican Party has about 400,000 total “voting member” slots within it spread out across all the precincts in the country and that about 200,000 of those slots are currently vacant and that about one third of the precincts in the country have not even one Republican PC. If we could convince just 200,000 grass roots conservatives to “pivot” and add one more meeting a month to their political activities — their local Republican Party local committee meeting — we conservatives would not have to complain about “the Republican Party” because we’d BE it.
Plus, it’s fun!
American Majority Action has done great work promoting the idea of conservatives getting involved inside the party of their choice at the local level and they’ve compiled a lot of state-specific information at precinctproject.us.
And watch out, if conservatives do not unite and organize locally within their Party committees, some other group might. Witness what the Ron Paul supporters have been accomplishing in those states where open caucuses elect the state convention delegates. Such as in Missouri. Minnesota. Louisiana. Alaska.
I hope this helps.
Thank you.
ColdWarrior
In 2012, will YOU become a “voting member” of the Republican Party in your precinct?
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