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An FCC Net Neutrality sunset is a no-win scenario

In my Tech at Night series at RedState we’ve been waiting on the FCC to tell us what they intend to do in December about Net Neutrality. Rumors say that the FCC may come to a compromise on the issue. Instead of declaring war on industry and attempting to take over the Internet under Title II, Chairman Julius Genachowski may try to pass a set of regulations similar to the draft bill Henry Waxman put out that I supported.

One of the provisions of that bill was a sunset clause, forcing us all to reevaluate the industry as it develops, instead of passing a set of regulations that immediately become obsolete and possibly even harmful. Verizon is now pushing for that same sunset to apply to the FCC compromise.

Despite the fact that I wish the FCC would take a lighter touch with wireless ISPs going forward, I think the sunset would be a bad idea for the FCC compromise. It gives Republicans no benefit, but it gives Free Press and the radicals possibly a second bite at the apple that we can’t afford to give them.

A Title I-based FCC compromise would be a relative win for everyone. It would represent a victory of the mainstream over the fringe. So the last thing we want to do is to risk another Title II-type catastrophe, and that’s precisely what a sunset provision for Net Neutrality will do.

Consider that in a few years we should be well into the deployment of the next generation of wireless Internet access. WiMax and LTE could be broadly available a few years, and combined with services like MiFi, we could see a great many people depending on wireless access for all of their Internet use. In short, the stakes will be much higher in a few years when it comes to regulating wireless Internet access.

So while protecting an open market of free competition for wireless Internet access will be more important later than it is now, kicking the can down the road gives no benefit to us, the supporters of competition and innovation. Under what scenario are we better off? Should a Republican win the 2012 Presidential election and a free market FCC take over, nothing the FCC does now will bind that future FCC. We could improve the rules right away without a sunset clause. However should Barack Obama win re-election, and possibly keep at least one house of the Congress on his coattails, a Net Neutrality sunset clause will be a fresh “crisis” inspiring broad, aggressive action by the progressive fringe.

A sunset clause under a second term Obama Presidency could result in a brand new Title II fight, only the President would not have to worry about looking moderate in order to get re-elected. He would be free to let the Michael Copps faction of his party do what it wanted, and impose broad, unprecedented regulation of the Internet, including price and content controls. For the children.

Elections have consequences. And while the 2010 election will have fresh consequences, the 2008 election still counts as well. Barack Obama is the President, and he controls the executive branch. As long as that is the case, at times we are going to have to compromise with him in order to prevent him from being seduced by the far left fringe. This is a time when we all benefit from him triangulating, and passing a compromise that may not be ideal, but will leave the far left a lot less happy than the rest of us are.

So I support a Waxman-style compromise from the FCC without a sunset provision. No new crises. Put the issue to bed while protecting the Internet from stifling regulation as well as we possibly can.

COMMENTS

  • fpete13527

    IMO, there is no one other than Neil and Seton Motley who understand the depth and scope of each Internet initiative that the administration is proposing….as it relates to future implications and possible restrictions as discussed on RS

    I trust Neil’s recommendation on this. I back his recommendation here.

  • http://www.flaliberty.org scorpio0679

    I apologize for seeming ignorant, but I’ve only followed Redstate for the past eight months or so and I read your Tech at Night piece regularly — but I totally do not follow this post.

    I am familiar with the concept of net neutrality, the idea that a private service provider cannot discriminate against any particular type of bandwidth usage. Based on prior tech at night posts, I am vaguely familiar with the fact that “title II” reclassification is an effort to turn the Internet into essentially a public utility.

    I think the whole discussion about what the FCC can do under Title I versus Title II, and the Waxman bill, and what exactly is trying to be done to mobile broadband versus wired broadband, etc. and what is Title I / II anyway is still a little over my head.

    Any chance you could either link to a few locations for a detailed overview of all of these issues, or maybe provide some basic background in a fresh overview post so those of us who are newer to the issues can get up to speed?

    Mucho gracias.

  • Lina Inverse

    The net neutrality conflict stated when in late 2005 the fantastically obtuse AT&T CEO Ed Whitacre (most recently the CEO of Government Motors) said:

    How do you think they?re going to get to customers? Through a broadband pipe. Cable companies have them. We have them. Now what they would like to do is use my pipes free, but I ain?t going to let them do that because we have spent this capital and we have to have a return on it. So there?s going to have to be some mechanism for these people who use these pipes to pay for the portion they?re using. Why should they be allowed to use my pipes?

    The Internet can?t be free in that sense, because we and the cable companies have made an investment and for a Google or Yahoo! (YHOO ) or Vonage or anybody to expect to use these pipes [for] free is nuts!

    This of course ignores that companies like Google pay big bucks for their Internet access and we pay quite a bit of money to AT&T et. al. to use “his pipes”.

    Anyway, the big, very real concern we’ve had is that with all the last mile pipe providers other than Qwest and the small fry (Frontier and other rural area phone providers) delivering some form of cable TV, they’d discriminate against competing Internet video providers.

    And now the first warshot has been fired: Netflix has started offering a streaming only option, is switching/has switched their Content Delivery Network (CDN) to L3 and lo and behold we see Comcast demandingand for now getting more money from L3 for video traffic.

    (And unfortunately for the cable companies, they do have architectural reasons that *can* make higher broadband use more expensive if they’ve lagged in building out their neighborhood networks (will go into details if anyone desires)).

    This area, where real bandwidth is not seriously constrained like it is in wireless networks, is where I expect the real net neutrality action to be. And it doesn’t neatly break down into a Left/Right conflict (which is not to say that those asking for Federal regulation won’t almost inevitably regret the results).

  • http://www.flaliberty.org scorpio0679

    I don’t see the reason why Qwest or whoever shouldn’t be allowed to charge a content provider for a disproportionately high usage of bandwidth.

    It just seems to me that if customers really want a particular service (say, some website that streams live video) and they can’t get it through their provider, that they will switch providers.

    I mean ultimately, private enterprise right? Let them make their own deals and decisions. I personally don’t want it to take 5 minutes to open an email because someone else is watching an HD movie.

  • Lina Inverse

    One of the problems here is that due to prior government interference almost everyone in the nation has a duopoly “choice” of providers, either their incumbent local exchange carrier (ILEC) that got a Federal government granted monopoly in phone service (AT&T, Quest, Verizon and small fry) or their cable company, which in almost all localities has been granted a monopoly by the local government. Many people have only one or none of these choices.

    We actually have law and regulations covering this sort of thing, e.g. your phone service is under a different set of rules of a common carrier sort and one of the FCC’s net neutrality ideas has been to shift Internet services to this regime … or partly so, which would be problematical.

    Some other counties that have followed different telephone and TV evolutionary paths solve this general problem by regulating the “last mile” and providing equal access to all companies that want to provide services on top of that. We started to try something of that sort, look up e.g. CLEC on Wikipedia and look at the end of that article for how it came to an ugly end (and it wasn’t pretty in the middle).

    Getting to your original point, who’s paying whom for what? Should a company like Level 3 (L3) charge the local broadband companies like Comcast for the demand their customers are making on it? Comcast’s value to its customers like you and me is selling “Internet service”. Backbone providers like L3 sell companies like Netflix access to customer networks like Comcast’s.

    L3 isn’t a content provider (although it does provide special services to content providers that lower the costs to everyone, that’s what a Content Delivery Network (CDN) is about). If it decided to tell Comcast to take a flying leap, would Comcast’s customers, who think they are paying for this thing called “Internet service”, be happy? (In times past, that’s what happened and customer outrage caused things to be sorted out.)

    Now there is one truly significant issue here, the growth of Internet video services like Netflix and the peak demand they place on networks (only peak demand matters, the “pipes” are the same size 24×7 but of course people watch the most video in the evening). Expanding the Internet at all levels to handle this demand has cost money (although Moore’s law helps a lot in keeping that down), but video is becoming so ubiquitous that it’s hard to say it’s not part of generic “Internet service” or that it’s “disproportionate” any more.

    And anyway, Comcast caps its users at a fairly modest 250GB/month, if they exceed that twice they get disconnected for a year, so it’s handling this “disproportionate” demand at the customer level anyway. It’s also raising its customer’s prices by around $5/month for Internet service ($2 if you are also getting cable from them but of course the cable prices are going up as well).

    This is a long predicted event and how it plays out is going to shape the US Internet for a long time. And to bring it back to my original point, it’s hard to avoid noticing that Comcast is selling competing TV service and therefore has a conflict of interest, not to mention that many people are “cutting the cord” and dropping their cable service, 275,000 of Comcast’s customers in the last quarter. Heck, my father, who can’t get cable, is looking into trading one or more of his satellite TV packages that are getting subpar for Netflix streaming through AT&T DSL. Which will require paying AT&T $5 to more likely $10 or even $15 dollars more per month for a fast enough pipe.

  • http://www.flaliberty.org scorpio0679

    Why wouldn’t you simply deregulate the monopolies as a solution to the problem and induce competition? I know for a fact that Verizon is trying to expand its FiOS network in Florida and it is being held up due to licensing. Verizon delivers fiber optic directly to your front door. Boy would I love to subscribe to their Internet service, it consistently gets the highest ranked reviews.

    So if you allowed Verizon to compete with Comcast, Brighthouse Networks, and all the other cable companies, you wouldn’t have to force ‘net neutrality’ on anyone because customers would have a valid choice.

    Solve the actual problem don’t create new ones on top of existing ones.

    If it decided to tell Comcast to take a flying leap, would Comcast?s customers, who think they are paying for this thing called ?Internet service?, be happy? (In times past, that?s what happened and customer outrage caused things to be sorted out.)

    See? The free market works itself out, by your own admission.

    PS. Anyone who uses 250GB in a month of bandwidth has some serious issues . . . . that is not a casual user that’s more like a gnutella server running 24/7.

  • fpete13527
  • fpete13527

    Give a listen to this piece of work. FCC Commissioner Michael Copps (see video) http://bit.ly/glrEgy

    It doesnt get any more Socialist than this guy.

    Copps demends that the FAIRNESS DOCTRINE be forced through Executive Order even though the Supreme Court has declared it illegal.

    Information must only be reported if it meets HIS standards of pure Socialism. HE will decide what should be heard or not heard.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens