Comparing two Pennsylvania polls
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 8th at 12:44 PM |
Yesterday we looked at a poll from Public Policy Polling, but today we have a new poll from Quinnipiac University. Amusingly enough, while we’ve seen Quinnipiac overcount Democrats in Ohio, their results for Specter and Sestak come in just under PPP’s findings.
Democrats plot two-pronged attack on Internet freedom
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 8th at 02:42 AM |
The Hill yesterday ran two stories that show the Democrats are planning a two-pronged attack on Internet Freedom, to empower the FCC to control the Internet and everything on it, just as they do television and radio. Yes, I’m talking about our good friend, neo-Marxist Net Neutrality. The first story discusses the honest approach, which is to go to Congress and pass a law expanding | Read More »
Science in action: The Veronique de Rugy story
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 8th at 02:12 AM |
So Veronique de Rugy put out a paper entitled Stimulus Facts. In it, she ran a regression of the money spent by Obama’s “stimulus” package recently, to see if it was actually being spent where unemployment is highest. It turns out it’s not, and most important factor she found in determining where money was spent, was whether the area was represented by a Republican or | Read More »
Discrepancies in the Wisconsin Senate Polling
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 7th at 02:06 AM |
If we look at a series of five polls of the Wisconsin Senate matchup between Senator Russ Feingold, Democrat, and former Governor Tommy Thompson, Republican, we find a broad range of results. On no news can we really expect the race to move 16 points in one week? Some of these have to be wrong, but will we ever know which?
Tags:
2010,
Daily Kos,
Public Policy Polling,
Rasmussen Reports,
Research 2000,
Russ Feingold,
Senate,
St. Norbert College,
Tommy Thompson,
Wisconsin,
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute,
Wisconsin Public Radio
FCC loses Internet regulation lawsuit
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 6th at 11:50 AM |
The DC Circuit Court of Appeals slapped the FCC today by ruling in Comcast v. FCC that the regulatory body overstepped its legal bounds when it tried to regulate Internet management practices. This precludes Net Neutrality regulation, which is at heart regulation of how ISPs manage their networks. Judge David Tatel, Clinton appointed successor of now-Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, wrote for the court that since | Read More »
Tech Roundup
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 6th at 02:28 AM |
Two quick hits following up with ongoing stories. First off, Google and/or Andrew McLaughlin (Deputy White House CTO formerly of Google) seem to have responded to the FOIA request for McLaughlin’s email by deleting his Buzz account. It’s not the crime, it’s the cover up, as they say. Big Government is doing such great work on this story. Next we turn from the behind-the-scenes discussions | Read More »
Harry Reid’s challengers crossing 50%
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 5th at 08:25 PM |
Rasmussen Reports has a new Nevada Senate poll out, and the results are looking terrible for Harry Reid. The Democrat is looking likely to be the second consecutive incumbent floor leader for his party to be voted out of office. Conventional wisdom says incumbents below 50 are vulnerable. Well, two of the three Republicans running to replace him are now above 50, and the third | Read More »
USC/LA Times poll of California races
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 5th at 02:19 PM |
USC and the LA Times polled some of the major California statewide races. The results, provided by pollsters Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and American Viewpoint, seem generally in line with what we’ve seen so far: Campbell and Fiorina are in a close primary race, lagged by DeVore. Boxer can’t reach 50. Whitman cruises in the primary. The big news to my eye is that Jerry Brown | Read More »
Tags:
2010,
American Viewpoint,
Barbara Boxer,
California,
Carly Fiorina,
Chuck DeVore,
Governor,
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner,
Jerry Brown,
Los Angeles Times,
Meg Whitman,
Real Clear Politics,
Senate,
Steve Poizner,
Tom Campbell,
USC
Arkansas Senate: A Huge Mess
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 3rd at 12:02 AM |
It’s late; I spent a lot of time preparing my nationwide modeling software, but here’s a quick look at the Arkansas Senate race, per Rasmussen. It’s a mess.
Tags:
2010,
Arkansas,
Bill Halter,
Blanche Lincoln,
Curtis Coleman,
Gilbert Baker,
Jim Holt,
John Boozman,
Kim Hendren,
Rasmussen Reports,
Senate
For the Record: John Campbell on his own Amendment
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 1st at 09:28 PM |
Here is the amendment that Tom Campbell asked John Campbell to withdraw, an amendment that would have withdrawn funding for a number of NSF grants. These aren’t earmarks, but is this wise spending?
Former Chairman Michael Powell on Deem and Pass
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 1st at 09:20 PM |
Michael Powell is a former Chairman of the Federal Communications Commission who is not in favor of the whole Net Neutrality takeover of the Internet. So he’s warning us about what I’m calling deem and pass, in which the FCC will respond to a lost lawsuit by deeming ISPs to be something different, and using that to justify passing rules to regulate the Internet like | Read More »
And one more on Strickland v Kasich
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 1st at 08:57 PM |
Rasmussen Reports has a new one on the Ohio Governor’s race. Kasich 46, Strickland 45, MoE 4.5. 54% chance Kasich is ahead according to my model, down from the 80s a couple of weeks ago. This is more consistent with the previous trend and seems to confirm the RealClearPolitics theory that Quinnipiac has a few points of bias toward the Democrats in Ohio polling.
Democrat worries showing up in their work
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 1st at 08:23 PM |
This is Dana Rohrabacher, California Republican representing the 46th Congressional District. This is the title of a press release put out by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, per the LA Times: Not an April Fools’ Day Joke: Representative Dana Rohrabacher Caught Trying to Take Credit for Jobs She Voted Against It’s clear that the Democrats have done so little research on their targeted Republicans that | Read More »
FOIA request filed for Andrew McLaughlin’s email
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 1st at 07:02 PM |
Remember Andrew McLaughlin, Deputy CTO of the White House? The one with lots of Google contacts exposed by the Google Buzz security hole? A group called Consumer Watchdog is filing a FOIA request for his emails, both GMail-based and WhiteHouse.gov-based. This is beautiful. Either we get to watch White House officials backtrack on transparency as fast as their legs will carry them, or we get | Read More »
Tom Campbell lobbied for earmarks [not. Updated]
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 1st at 04:30 PM |
Updated: I’ve been sent a passage from the Congressional record illustrating that the specific spending Tom Campbell defended was not an earmark, but rather an NSF grant. So, while it makes sense that John Campbell’s amendment would target such a thing as wasteful spending, this specific amendment that Tom Campbell opposed addressed “peer reviewed” grants, not requests by members of Congress. Different process. John Campbell | Read More »
On Quinnipiac and Ohio
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 1st at 12:04 PM |
In looking at recent polling, I said I needed more data before I could write off Quinnipiac’s results as meaningless. Real Clear Politics has much more data to look at than I have, thanks to having been doing this for much longer, and they see a trend in Quinnipiac’s Ohio polling that leans toward the Democrats in every race in that state. Food for thought, | Read More »
A sharp turn in the Strickland v Kasich polling?
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | March 31st at 10:37 PM |
Quinnipiac University released a new poll on the Ohio Governor’s race that has caused a stir. It shows Governor Ted Strickland, Democrat, ahead of former Congressman John Kasich, Republican, while previous polling showed the reverse. The swing is large at first glance. Should Ohio Democrats be excited? Should Ohio Republicans panic? Let’s unpack this.
Exposing the corporatism of the White House
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | March 31st at 02:30 PM |
Remember when Google CEO Eric Schmidt laughed at you for questioning Google’s commitment to your privacy? Remember when he asked you if you’d rather the government do what he does, as though there were an imperative that somebody gather and cross-reference everything they can about you? It turns out that line between Google and government is pretty sketchy. Very sketchy, in fact. Big Government amusingly | Read More »
The tools of the new activism
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | March 28th at 10:47 PM |
In the course of our recent fundraiser I was asked about what tools we use to do what we do around here. There are a lot of little bits and pieces, but I’ll do my best to list what I use, what I’d recommend, and what I picked up for Moe this weekend. Hardware Computer It will come as no surprise that when it comes | Read More »
Tags:
Activism,
audio editing,
blogging,
camera,
Hardware,
headset,
photo editing,
recording,
Skype,
software,
still photos,
video camera,
video editing,
website
Top 5 reasons Earth Hour is a joke
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | March 27th at 09:16 PM |
Number 5: Light brings safety. There are safer ways to make a statement and raise awareness than to create a controlled time when thieves and rapists know they will be harder to spot. Number 4: Everyone buys LCD monitors now, and LCD monitors work by placing the LCD sheet between an always-on backlight and your eye, so black screen backgrounds burn more energy, not less, | Read More »