One month out for the Georgia Republicans
Roy Barnes seems to have his party’s nomination sewn up for Governor of Georgia, but the Republicans have seven names on the ballot, with three over double figures. SurveyUSA took a look. Barnes is well over 50 for the Democrats, but a runoff appears certain for the Republicans. The only question is which two will make it?
A surprise turn in Wisconsin
Good afternoon, wherever you may be. My apologies for getting today’s poll goodness out late, especially since it’s one I wanted to post yesterday anyway. But it turns out that, per Rasmussen, the Wisconsin Senate may yet be a race after all, despite the fact that many of us probably tuned it out once Tommy Thompson declined to run.
Election eve in Utah
With the election tomorrow, I thought I’d take a look at two recent polls of the Utah Senate primary between Tim Bridgewater and Mike Lee, the top two vote getters in the GOP convention. Sometimes polls can differ, but this is a huge difference. I’m looking at one poll Dan Jones & Associates conducted for Deseret News and KSL-TV, and another that Wenzel Strategies did | Read More »
, Bob Bennett
, Dan Jones & Associates
, Deseret News
, Jim DeMint
, Mike Lee
, Senate Conservatives Fund
, Tim Bridgewater
, Wenzel Strategies
Boxer showing rare vulnerability for a California Democrat
I always hesitate to analyze the California Senate polling because I have strong feelings about it. I live here. I was engaged in the primary. But this is key to determining how big of a wave, if any, Republicans see in the Senate, so I must try. I’ve given enough time for both parties to settle down after the primaries, so here’s Rasmussen’s latest. Boxer | Read More »
Murray losing ground
The Elway Poll has updated us on the Washington Senate race. And while the Republicans have yet to decide who will be the standard bearer against Patty Murray, Dino Rossi is getting all the attention. That said, Elway shows Murray below 50 against all leading Republicans, who each gained 6-8 points against her.
Checking in on Texas
I know many of my readers are interested in the race for Governor in Texas, so let’s check in on Rasmussen’s latest on that race.
Could None of These win in Illinois?
Elections in Nevada give the voter the choice to vote for “None of These” candidates listed. Every poll I see of the Illinois Senate race suggests to me that if Illinois put that option on the ballot, None of These would win. The next bit of evidence for the pile: PPP’s latest poll of the race.
Progressive split on the Oregon Trail
SurveyUSA polled the Oregon race for Governor and interesting enough, has it as a three way race. Featured are Republican Chris Dudley (6’11″ center out of Yale), Democrat John Kitzhaber, and Progressive Jerry Wilson. By the name of the third party I think we all know what’s going to happen.
A tie in Maryland
The last time we looked in on Maryland, former governor and Republican Bob Ehrlich had taken his 7 point loss to incumbent Democrat Martin O’Malley, and narrowed the deficit to 6 and then to 3 in the polls. Now it’s all tied up.
Challenger crosses 50 in South Dakota House Race
South Dakota has only one House seat, so its House elections are full-fledged statewide affairs, and so we get a rare House poll to look at, from Rasmussen Reports.
Murray’s lead cut in half after the Rossi dust settles
The latest Washington Poll from the University of Washington is out, and now that the dust has settled around Dino Rossi’s entering the race, he’s still close to incumbent Patty Murray. In fact, her lead has been cut in half from last time.
I know some pollsters have rushed out to take a look at the primary states immediately after Tuesday’s elections, but we all know that those polls tend to have varying unity bounces. Rick Perry’s took a while in fact. So I’ll let those races simmer a bit and instead look at Illinois today, as Rasmussen polled the Governor and Senate races.
Haley looking to avoid runoff in today’s primary [Updated x 2]
PPP’s latest on the South Carolina Governor’s race doesn’t even cover the Democrats. The assumption must be that Vincent Sheheen has it wrapped up, I suppose. So, on to the Republican side, where Nikki Haley hopes to win an absolute majority and avoid a runoff.
Swingometer on the Rasmussen Generic Ballot
Rasmussen has a new generic ballot out, and that means it’s time to see how the Swingometer projects the election to go based on that result.
, Barack Obama
, Bill Clinton
, Franklin Roosevelt
, Generic Ballot
, Harry Truman
, Midterm Elections
, Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen updates on Sestak/Toomey
We’re in for the long haul in the Pennsylvania Senate race, because I honestly do expect this one to be in the toss-up range from now to Election Day, but that doesn’t mean we don’t get to check in on the polls obsessively the whole time looking for clues. Today: Rasmussen updates on the race.
Angle, Tarkanian overtake Lowden
I keep saying that multiway races are volatile. When voters are spread out in more directions, the sums are smaller and it’s easier for big changes to happen. Suffolk University’s latest on the Nevada Senate primary for the Washington Times seems to be another example of this effect. Sue Lowden has gone from first to last, and Sharron Angle now leads.
, Chuck DeVore
, Danny Tarkanian
, Erick Erickson
, Sharron Angle
, Sue Lowden
, Suffolk University
, Washington Times
Gallup generic ballot suggests 45 seat Republican gain
The new Gallup generic ballot is out. Republicans have jumped to a 49-43 advantage, which National Review Online says is the largest Republican lead in 60 years. Given the historical accuracy of the Gallup generic ballot in midterm elections, let’s plug this result in to the Swingometer.
Haley, Sheheen lead in South Carolina
InsiderAdvantage polled for Statehouse Report the South Carolina primaries for Governor, and while the necessity of a runoff makes the long term future uncertain, the frontrunners in each race are clear: Nikki Haley and Vincent Sheheen.
, Andre Bauer
, Gresham Barrett
, Henry McMaster
, Jim Rex
, Nikki Haley
, Robert Ford
, South Carolina
, Statehouse Report
, Vincent Sheheen
At RedState we’ve hammered for a long time the idea that your local politics matter. We also give plenty of attention to federal elections for the House, the Senate, and of course the President. But governors matter, too. The next governor of South Carolina will affect us all. As will Georgia’s, Ohio’s, and Oregon’s. It doesn’t matter where you live. These Governors, as well as | Read More »
, New Hampshire
, New Mexico
, New York
, Rhode Island
, South Carolina
Lean times for Spratt?
According to an internal poll of Mick Mulvaney’s discovered by National Journal, the South Carolina Republican has gained 11 points on 14 term Democrat John Spratt of the 5th district. If the Chairman of the Budget Committee can’t use his seniority to keep his seat safe, then I would expect to see a wave nationwide.
, Barack Obama
, John Spratt
, Mick Mulvaney
, National Journal
, Public Opinion Strategies
, South Carolina