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2010

    Quick Hit: Oregon Governor

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 26th at 09:26 PM  | 

    Good evening. Yes this is a late post and I apologize, but Here’s the latest Rasmussen on the Oregon Governor’s race.

    Tags: 2010, Census, Chris Dudley, Governor, John Kitzhaber, Oregon, Rasmussen Reports

    Palin shapes two races

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 25th at 05:04 PM  | 

    Having attended a speech of Nikki Haley’s in Atlanta last year, her run for Governor of South Carolina is one I’ve followed. Living here, I’ve also watched the California Senate race. Both situations seemed to be stable: Haley was stuck in fourth, while in California Tom Campbell was staying ahead of second place Carly Fiorina. Then Sarah Palin intervened, and both Haley and Fiorina shot | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, Andre Bauer, California, Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Governor, Gresham Barrett, Henry McMaster, Nikki Haley, Public Policy Polling, Senate, South Carolina, SurveyUSA, Tom Campbell

    Rossi gets in

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 25th at 04:00 PM  | 

    Yesterday the word came down that Dino Rossi is in fact entering the Senate race against Patty Murray in Washington. Additionally, we have a University of Washington poll for May on the race that also came out the same day. Let’s see how he’s starting out.

    Tags: 2010, Dino Rossi, Patty Murray, Senate, University of Washington, Washington

    Two minute warning in the California Senate Primary

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 25th at 02:03 AM  | 

    Two polls on the California Senate Republican primary caught my attention today. I’ve been holding off posting on this race with my poll analysis hat on, because I wasn’t sure I could trust myself to be even handed enough. But these two polls, coming as they are 15 days before election day, are interesting enough that I have to try. They could hardly be more | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, California, Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Jim DeMint, Meg Whitman, National Research, Nikki Haley, Sarah Palin, Senate, SurveyUSA, Tom Campbell

    The Rasmussen Secret Sauce: Pennsylvania Governor Edition

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 24th at 01:13 PM  | 

    Are we tired of Pennsylvania yet? Of course not! Specifically we now check in on the Governor’s race. Rasmussen has released the first poll since the primary, but I will compare that with the last pre-primary Quinnipiac poll anyway. Tom Corbett and Dan Onorato were obvious likely nominees. I believe we have as much to learn about Rasmussen’s distinctive modeling as we do about the | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, Dan Onorato, Governor, Likely Voters, Nate Silver, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University, Rasmussen Reports, Secret Sauce, TEA party, Tom Corbett

    Perry Rebounds

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 18th at 03:30 PM  | 

    Previously, the story of the race for Governor in Texas that was that Rick Perry was stagnant in the polls and Democrat Bill White was rising. But now, Rasmussen has shown a change. Perry has gone over 50 for the first time, and White has gone back under 40.

    Tags: 2010, Bill White, Debra Medina, Governor, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Rasmussen Reports, Rick Perry, Texas

    Swingometer now suggests 33 seat Republican gain

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 18th at 12:30 PM  | 

    The new Gallup generic ballot is out. Last time, it was even: 46-46. The two times before that it was at 45-45. Now it’s at R 46-D 45. Democrats have not led since March. Gallup’s generic ballot is accurate in off year elections, so let’s see how that moves the Swingometer.

    Tags: 2010, Gallup, Generic Ballot, House, Swingometer

    Primary Eve in Pennsylvania

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 17th at 01:10 PM  | 

    One more day until the big primary election in Pennsylvania, and two big races to watch. Who replaces Jack Murtha? Who faces Pat Toomey in November? Let’s dig in.

    Tags: 2010, Arlen Specter, Jack Murtha, Joe Sestak, Mark Critz, Morning Call, Muhlenberg College, PA-12, Pat Toomey, Pennsylvania, Public Policy Polling, Quinnipiac University, Senate, Special Election, Susquehanna Polling and Research, Tim Burns

    Pennsylvania update

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 12th at 03:37 PM  | 

    We’re less than a week away from primary election day in Pennsylvania, so let’s take a look at the latest polling news from the House Special election to replace Jack Murtha, the Senate primary for Arlen Specter’s seat, and a surprisingly interesting House race.

    Tags: 2010, Arlen Specter, Cook Political Report, Daily Kos, Dave Argall, Frank Ryan, House, Jack Murtha, Joe Sestak, Morning Call, Muhlenberg College, PA-12, PA-17, Pennsylvania, Real Clear Politics, Research 2000, Senate, Special Election, Susquehanna Polling and Research, Tim Holden

    How does Sestak match up against Toomey?

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 11th at 02:30 PM  | 

    Thanks to Arlen Specter’s collapse, it’s now more than academic to see how Joe Sestak matches up against Pat Toomey in the Pennsylvania Senate rate. So, on to Rasmussen’s poll from the 6th.

    Tags: 2010, Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey, Pennsylvania, Rasmussen Reports, Senate

    Hayworth, Brewer running weak in the General?

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 7th at 03:01 PM  | 

    Daily Kos and Research 2000 looked back to Arizona. It’s a reasonably comprehensive poll, carpetbombing the general elections for Governor and Senate, as well as looking at the Republican primary for Senate. Let’s unpack it.

    Tags: 2010, Arizona, Buzz Mills, Daily Kos, Dean Martin, Jan Brewer, JD Hayworth, John McCain, John Munger, Research 2000, Rodney Glassman, Senate, Terry Goddard

    Carly Fiorina rakes in the pro-life endorsements

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 4th at 02:00 PM  | 

    First Susan B. Anthony’s list endorsed Carly Fiorina in the Republican Senate primary here in California, and now via Flash Report we find that the California Pro-Life Council, the California affiliate of National Right to Life, has joined in endorsing Fiorina. This comes after she snagged Tom Coburn’s support. Clearly, behind closed doors she’s convincing people. At this point I’d love to be able to | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, Abortion, California, California Pro-Life Council, Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Life, National Right to Life, Party of Death, Senate, Susan B. Anthony's list, Tom Campbell, Tom Coburn

    Tim Burns consolidates his lead

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  May 3rd at 11:28 PM  | 

    It’s late in the day but I know this race is drawing plenty of interest, so here goes. Daily Kos and Research 2000 hit the PA-12 Special Election. This makes two consecutive polls from sources that lean toward the Democrats. But do Republicans have reason to complain?

    Tags: 2010, Daily Kos, Jack Murtha, Mark Critz, PA-12, Pennsylvania, Research 2000, Special Election, Tim Burns

    Obama and Biden to be succeeded by Republicans?

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  April 30th at 06:42 PM  | 

    Rasmussen released two new polls today. The Illinois and Delaware Senate races would seem to have little in common, but they do share a common element: they are being held for the seats vacated by Barack Obama and Joe Biden after their victory in November 2008. Are voters inclined to send more Democrats to the Senate to work with them?

    Tags: 2006, 2010, Alexi Giannoulias, Barack Obama, Chris Coons, Delaware, Illinois, Joe Biden, Mark Kirk, Mike Castle, Rasmussen Reports, Senate

    Republicans joust in Indiana

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  April 29th at 08:30 PM  | 

    Five men are seeking to be the Republican nominee in the Indiana Senate race to replace Evan Bayh. Three have a likely chance to win. From where is each getting his support?

    Tags: 2010, Brad Ellsworth, Dan Coats, Don Bates, Indiana, John Hostettler, Marlin Stutzman, Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics, Richard Behney, Senate, SurveyUSA, TEA party

    Reversal of fortunes in New Hampshire?

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  April 28th at 02:59 PM  | 

    We’ve already seen that Republicans are in fair shape in the New Hampshire Senate race, but it appears that the state could also return to its historical norm of sending Republicans to the House, according to the latest from PPP.

    Tags: 2006, 2008, 2010, Carol Shea-Porter, Charlie Bass, Frank Guinta, Jeanne Shaheen, John Sununu, Katrina Swett, Kelly Ayotte, New Hampshire, Paul Hodes, PPACA, Public Policy Polling

    More excitement in the North Dakota House race

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  April 27th at 01:30 PM  | 

    First the Texas and Maryland Governor’s races are closing, and now so is the North Dakota at-large House race, per Rasmussen. Even in a wave year, not every race moves the same way. Ultimately, candidates matter because ours is not a party list system.

    Tags: 2010, Earl Pomeroy, House, ND-AL, North Dakota, Rasmussen Reports, Rick Berg

    The race tightens in Maryland

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  April 26th at 02:31 PM  | 

    There is more to life than the US Senate. In many states, control of the Governor’s office will have a critical role in the process of redistricting after the 2010 Census and reapportionment of US House seats. So today we look at the Maryland Governor’s race as polled by Rasmussen.

    Tags: 2006, 2010, Governor, Martin O'Malley, Maryland, Rasmussen Reports, Robert Ehrlich

    Thompson declines and so do Wisconsin Republican hopes

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  April 23rd at 03:09 PM  | 

    Tommy Thompson was going to give Russ Feingold a tough race, but he decided not to run. How are Republicans doing now to challenge the three term incumbent? Rasmussen has a look.

    Tags: 2010, Dave Westlake, methodology, Rasmussen Reports, Richard Leinenkugel, Ron Paul, Russ Feingold, Senate, Terrence Wall, Tommy Thompson, Wisconsin

    Pennsylvania Special: Replacing Jack Murtha

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  April 21st at 03:40 PM  | 

    [UPDATE, Moe Lane: With Neil's permission I'm annotating this with a link to Tim Burns' moneybomb. Tim's less than four grand away from hitting his original goal of $50K; you can watch his RS CPAC interview here.] Public Policy Polling looked into the special election in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District, the seat vacated by the late Jack Murtha.

    Tags: 2010, Arlen Specter, Barack Obama, Ed Rendell, Jack Murtha, Mark Critz, PA-12, Pennsylvania, PPACA, Public Policy Polling, Special, Special Election, Tim Burns

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  • moelane: #rsrh Hastily-retiring Max Baucus suggests more IRS revelations.: http://t.co/ElYCPYsZ4k
  • moelane: #rsrh Oh, just this *once*: 44[*].: http://t.co/QWpy8SXGkt
  • moelane: #rsrh Let me just be honest here about 'Watergate.': http://t.co/WLu6UrRQ0F
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  • moelane: #rsrh I hope that we will all be mature about this Lisa Jackson painting.: http://t.co/7vHT3gBauL
  • moelane: #rsrh Barack Obama has 'complete confidence' in Eric Holder.: http://t.co/IwQvILTUCX
  • moelane: #rsrh Attention, shadowy VRWC groups: start primarying John "Hi, I'm an idiot" Tierney.: http://t.co/8gcJlF9fpz
  • moelane: #rsrh How cute: the NYT still thinks Obama won the tax cut fight.: http://t.co/L4pvg81CXQ
  • moelane: #rsrh So, basically, Barack Obama is now TROLING the press over the IRS thing.: http://t.co/sbusr1n3rw
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  • moelane: #rsrh QotD, The Huffington Post (!) Takes Media Matters To The Woodshed edition.: http://t.co/kzFKdSoMM8
  • moelane: #rsrh Use Buycott on *your* sweatshop smartphone to identify corporate malefactors!: http://t.co/jNBupHYB7b
  • moelane: #rsrh IRS accused of stealing 60 million medical records.: http://t.co/XArqhlkeca
  • VladimirRS: In the words of Harry S Truman, "The Buck Stops with Some Low-Level Employees." #rsrh
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  • moelane: #rsrh The Obama administration IS TRYING TO KILL THE CALIFORNIA CONDOR.: http://t.co/CKzAzoTYns
  • RSBooBooKitty: In other words, REALITY is what keeps this reform (Obamacare) advocate up at night. http://t.co/rjsboI1lC7 #rsrh
  • RMConservative: 26.1% of California is foreign born http://t.co/BlTtEVsJsu Again, immigration can be a tremendous asset, but how much? how quickly? #rsrh
  • RSBooBooKitty: Using recent MSM standards, shouldn't this be Romney's worst week ever? #rsrh
  • VladimirRS: Sonic's new milkshake flavor -- Peanut Butter & Bacon. #rsrh http://t.co/4jliwSbFqj
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