Sometimes a candidate is more than we expect
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 8th at 10:00 AM |
During the California Senate primary, my major criticisms of Carly Fiorina were that she had no public track record to back her on the issues, and that as a novice campaigner she was liable to make mistakes and lose a winnable race. During the race I didn’t quite give her the Tom Campbell treatment, but I gave Chuck DeVore all the support I could. During | Read More »
Tags:
2010,
Barack Obama,
Bill Brady,
California,
Carly Fiorina,
Charlie Crist,
Chuck DeVore,
Florida,
Harry Reid,
Illinois,
Kendrick Meek,
Marco Rubio,
Mark Kirk,
Nevada,
Senate,
Sharron Angle,
Tom Campbell
Final look at Florida
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 23rd at 01:00 PM |
Despite a rash of independents and party switches in Florida, tomorrow there are still two meaningful primaries at the top of the ticket. For the Democrats, tomorrow they choose between Bill Clinton-backed Kendrick Meek, and wealthy challenger Jeff Greene for a Senate candidate. Republicans have to decide on a candidate for Governor between former Impeachment star Bill McCollum and wealthy challenger Rick Scott. With one | Read More »
Tags:
2010,
Bill McCollum,
Florida,
Governor,
Jeff Greene,
Kendrick Meek,
Mason-Dixon,
Public Policy Polling,
Quinnipiac University,
Real Clear Politics,
Rick Scott,
Senate
More Quinnipiac contrarianism in Florida
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 19th at 01:30 PM |
Tired of Florida yet? Too bad! Just about every public pollster is hitting the state comprehensively, so like a hanging chad this race will stick around at least until next week. And after Quinnipiac yesterday went contrarian on the primaries, today the firm goes contrarian on the general.
Tags:
2010,
Alex Sink,
Bill McCollum,
Bud Chiles,
Charlie Crist,
Florida,
Governor,
Jeff Greene,
Kendrick Meek,
Marco Rubio,
Quinnipiac University,
Rick Scott,
Senate
Quinnipiac: Meek, McCollum lead
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 18th at 05:00 PM |
Both Bill McCollum and Kendrick Meek have struck back against their respective challengers Rick Scott and Jeff Greene. Meek has campaigned hard with Bill Clinton, while McCollum has done different things depending on whom you ask. Regardless though, Quinnipiac shows both candidates on top as the Florida primary nears.
Why I favor Rubio to win, despite it all
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 16th at 12:00 PM |
Some may have questioned why, in my new Senate projection, I had Florida at a 55% chance to win for Republican Marco Rubio, when much of the polling has shown newly minted independent Charlie Crist with tiny leads. It’s because I saw this new poll from Mason Dixon which not only covered the primary the Democrats are holding, but the consequences of that primary on | Read More »
Tags:
2010,
Charlie Crist,
Florida,
Ipsos,
Jeff Greene,
Kendrick Meek,
Likely Voters,
Marco Rubio,
Mason Dixon Polling and Research,
Secret Sauce,
Senate,
St. Petersburg Times
Daylight in the Florida Primaries
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 2nd at 01:00 PM |
From Unlikely voter: Florida is a large and aggressively contested state. It, of all states, demands the clarity of traditional horserace polling. We have been denied that opportunity yet, though, because the Republicans still need a candidate for Governor and the Democrats still need a candidate for Senate. Quinnpiac’s poll suggests we may get answers soon, as late entering political novices Rick Scott and Jeff | Read More »
Tags:
2010,
Alex Sink,
Bill McCollum,
Bud Chiles,
Charlie Crist,
Florida,
Governor,
Jeff Greene,
Kendrick Meek,
Marco Rubio,
Quinnipiac University,
Rick Scott,
Senate
Florida Senate Update
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | July 23rd at 02:00 PM |
We have a pair of polls to look at updating us on the Florida Senate race, a general election carpet bomb from Rasmussen, and a peek at the race between the Democrats in the primary from PPP. Unfortunately, what we don’t have is any clarity.