Quinnipiac in OH and PA: Romney leads, Perry leads, Santorum flops
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 28th at 12:00 PM |
Quinnipiac put out a pair of new polls, focusing on the Republican primary race in Pennsylvania and in Ohio. They have some problems that limit their utility, but I believe they will get much attention today because of their top line results, so it’s time to take a look anyway. Why the attention? Romney bucks the national trend again to lead in both states.
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2012,
Michele Bachmann,
Mitt Romney,
Ohio,
Pennsylvania,
President,
Quinnipiac University,
Republicans,
Rick Perry,
Rick Santorum,
Sarah Palin
Tech at Night: Regrouping after patent, Net Neutrality, and competition losses
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 17th at 02:30 AM |
We’ve lost some battles lately. That’s what happens when we let a radical Democrat become President. We let Patrick Leahy’s America Invents Act pass, imposing on America a Euro-style patent system that rewards lawyering, not being the first to invent something. We let the FCC pass an illegal Net Neutrality power grab, and that will have to go to court soon. We’re even seeing some | Read More »
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4G,
America Invents Act,
Apple,
AT&T,
Barack Obama,
Competition,
Eric Holder,
Ethiopia,
FCC,
George Soros,
Google,
IBM,
LightSquared,
Media Reform,
Motorola,
Net Neutrality,
Ohio,
Patents,
Patrick Leahy,
Pennsylvania,
RIM,
Samsung,
Sprint,
Sprint Nextel,
T-Mobile,
Tech at Night,
Wikileaks,
Wireless
Pennsylvania considering Electoral College split
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 13th at 04:30 PM |
Governor Tom Corbett and Pennsylvania Republicans are considering legislation to change the allocation of Pennsylvania’s Presidential electors. Instead of awarding all 20 on a winner take all basis, the plan by Senate leader Dominic Pileggi would switch to the Congressional district model currently in use by Nebraska and Maine. In Nebraska and Maine, the statewide popular vote for President only determines two Presidential electors, the | Read More »
An outlier, or a tight Pennsylvania?
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | October 19th at 06:00 PM |
Republican Pat Toomey has been rather comfortable in the Pennsylvania Senate polling. He hit double digits in the last Rasmussen poll a week ago, and Democrat Joe Sestak hasn’t led a poll since one weird outlier in the middle of May. For PPP to show Sestak up today is definitely surprising, and noteworthy, but it’s possible this is an outlier.
Toomey comfortably ahead, says two (and a half) polls
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 18th at 04:30 PM |
Good afternoon. My life gets much easier when polls agree, and that’s the state of the race for the Senate in Pennsylvania. We have two polls out directly comparing Republican Pat Toomey and Democrat Joe Sestak, as well as a poll on the Governor’s race. All three favor Pat Toomey by a healthy margin.
Battleground Senate Poll
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 11th at 03:00 PM |
From Unlikely Voter: In an open and credited aping of the Greenberg Quinlan Rosner House battleground polls, Public Opinion Strategies has conducted a massive Senate battleground poll. Politico has for us the summary and 150 pages of gory, numerical details. I’m going to see what sense I can make of it.
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Colorado,
Delaware,
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Ohio,
Pennsylvania,
Public Opinion Strategies,
Senate,
Washington
Corbett steady as Toomey and Sestak joust
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 3rd at 11:00 AM |
From Unlikely Voter: While the Pennsylvania Senate race has lived up to my expectations of volatility (Rasmussen has swing from Pat Toomey +8 to Joe Sestak +4 back to Toomey +6 most recently), the race for Governor has been pretty boring. No matter how many times this race gets polled, Republican Tom Corbett defies the recent partisan trend of Pennsylvania and consistently leads Democrat Dan | Read More »
Rasmussen updates on Sestak/Toomey
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | June 4th at 01:59 PM |
We’re in for the long haul in the Pennsylvania Senate race, because I honestly do expect this one to be in the toss-up range from now to Election Day, but that doesn’t mean we don’t get to check in on the polls obsessively the whole time looking for clues. Today: Rasmussen updates on the race.
Governors matter.
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 28th at 02:31 PM |
At RedState we’ve hammered for a long time the idea that your local politics matter. We also give plenty of attention to federal elections for the House, the Senate, and of course the President. But governors matter, too. The next governor of South Carolina will affect us all. As will Georgia’s, Ohio’s, and Oregon’s. It doesn’t matter where you live. These Governors, as well as | Read More »
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Wisconsin
The Rasmussen Secret Sauce: Pennsylvania Governor Edition
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 24th at 01:13 PM |
Are we tired of Pennsylvania yet? Of course not! Specifically we now check in on the Governor’s race. Rasmussen has released the first poll since the primary, but I will compare that with the last pre-primary Quinnipiac poll anyway. Tom Corbett and Dan Onorato were obvious likely nominees. I believe we have as much to learn about Rasmussen’s distinctive modeling as we do about the | Read More »
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2010,
Dan Onorato,
Governor,
Likely Voters,
Nate Silver,
Pennsylvania,
Quinnipiac University,
Rasmussen Reports,
Secret Sauce,
TEA party,
Tom Corbett
Primary Eve in Pennsylvania
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 17th at 01:10 PM |
One more day until the big primary election in Pennsylvania, and two big races to watch. Who replaces Jack Murtha? Who faces Pat Toomey in November? Let’s dig in.
Tags:
2010,
Arlen Specter,
Jack Murtha,
Joe Sestak,
Mark Critz,
Morning Call,
Muhlenberg College,
PA-12,
Pat Toomey,
Pennsylvania,
Public Policy Polling,
Quinnipiac University,
Senate,
Special Election,
Susquehanna Polling and Research,
Tim Burns
Pennsylvania update
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 12th at 03:37 PM |
We’re less than a week away from primary election day in Pennsylvania, so let’s take a look at the latest polling news from the House Special election to replace Jack Murtha, the Senate primary for Arlen Specter’s seat, and a surprisingly interesting House race.
Tags:
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Arlen Specter,
Cook Political Report,
Daily Kos,
Dave Argall,
Frank Ryan,
House,
Jack Murtha,
Joe Sestak,
Morning Call,
Muhlenberg College,
PA-12,
PA-17,
Pennsylvania,
Real Clear Politics,
Research 2000,
Senate,
Special Election,
Susquehanna Polling and Research,
Tim Holden
Americans for Prosperity comes out swinging on Net Neutrality
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 11th at 10:17 PM |
Americans for Prosperity, one of the Beltway area groups that really “gets it,” has come out hard against Net Neutrality and Title II classification of ISPs. They’re actually running television ads on the matter. What’s most interesting to me though is that their ad has three different versions. There’s the generic one above, but their YouTube Channel also shows up with two specialized ones: one | Read More »
How does Sestak match up against Toomey?
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 11th at 02:30 PM |
Thanks to Arlen Specter’s collapse, it’s now more than academic to see how Joe Sestak matches up against Pat Toomey in the Pennsylvania Senate rate. So, on to Rasmussen’s poll from the 6th.
Tim Burns consolidates his lead
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 3rd at 11:28 PM |
It’s late in the day but I know this race is drawing plenty of interest, so here goes. Daily Kos and Research 2000 hit the PA-12 Special Election. This makes two consecutive polls from sources that lean toward the Democrats. But do Republicans have reason to complain?
Pennsylvania Special: Replacing Jack Murtha
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 21st at 03:40 PM |
[UPDATE, Moe Lane: With Neil's permission I'm annotating this with a link to Tim Burns' moneybomb. Tim's less than four grand away from hitting his original goal of $50K; you can watch his RS CPAC interview here.] Public Policy Polling looked into the special election in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District, the seat vacated by the late Jack Murtha.
Tags:
2010,
Arlen Specter,
Barack Obama,
Ed Rendell,
Jack Murtha,
Mark Critz,
PA-12,
Pennsylvania,
PPACA,
Public Policy Polling,
Special,
Special Election,
Tim Burns
Comparing two Pennsylvania polls
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 8th at 12:44 PM |
Yesterday we looked at a poll from Public Policy Polling, but today we have a new poll from Quinnipiac University. Amusingly enough, while we’ve seen Quinnipiac overcount Democrats in Ohio, their results for Specter and Sestak come in just under PPP’s findings.