Bad Polling Discredits Good Polling

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  March 23rd at 11:14 PM  | 

“Lies, damn lies, and statistics.” “You can use a poll to prove anything.” We all hear the lines like these, which reflect the popular view of statistical analysis and opinion polling. Nobody believes it. It’s all made up, says the conventional wisdom, or at least doctored to a degree that it can’t be trusted. It’s not actually so bad at all, but it’s hard to | Read More »

The State of the Race in National Polling

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  August 6th at 11:36 AM  | 

Based on data conveniently aggregated for me by resident poll addict Adam C, I would now like to try to make sense of the recent national polling of the Presidential election, excluding tracking polls which are more useful for measuring movement than status. The polls included in my survey are as follows: NOTA: None of the Above. LV: Likely Voters. RV: Registered Voters. Poll Date | Read More »