The Democrats did not have to lose this year
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | November 2nd at 01:30 PM |
Some will try to minimize the importance of any Republican gains tonight by saying the Democrats were bound to lose. Some will even say Democrats had a baked-in loss of 45 or more seats, which implies they had no hope of keeping the House at all, no matter what policy aims they worked to implement. The problem is, that’s nonsense. Cutting to the chase: while | Read More »
Johnson’s Believe It or Not
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 30th at 03:30 PM |
Wisconsin is traditionally the most Progressive state in America. Progressives win there. Progressives have long won there. Progressives have won there even in years when they lost in much of America. Wisconsin even went in for the La Follette-founded Progressive Party, making it a highly successful third party within the state for about a decade. So I’m just at a loss for words as to | Read More »
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Daily Kos checks on Wisconsin
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 21st at 06:00 PM |
Along with West Virginia, Wisconsin I wanted to see more polling in. Rasmussen Reports has been the lone voice up there polling again and again, showing these key races competitive while the rest of the polling world passed on by. PPP went there for Daily Kos finally, and now we get that critical second opinion on the races to see if they are as competitive | Read More »
Johnson and Walker extend leads in Wisconsin
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | September 20th at 12:30 PM |
Daily Kos and Public Policy Polling have hinted on Twitter that they have a new Wisconsin poll coming, which I am glad of because I’ve long wanted to see a second opinion in that state, but I’d like to start the week by hitting a pair of polls I missed while I was in Austin over the weekend: Rasmussen Reports on the Wisconsin Senate race | Read More »
Scott Walker would be bad news for Russ Feingold
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | August 12th at 12:00 PM |
From Unlikely Voter: Even in a wave election, some members of the losing party stand well in their own local elections. However one key trait of a wave election is that the losing party’s base is so discouraged that they fail to show up. So if this Rasmussen poll is right, I think the nomination of Scott Walker for Governor by Republicans would depress Democrats | Read More »
Ron Johnson is here to stay
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | July 30th at 01:15 PM |
From Unlikely Voter: When Ron Johnson showed a lead over Russ Feingold in the Wisconsin Senate polling, it could have been a fluky outlier result. The incumbent Democrat could still have been safe. Rasmussen again has Johnson ahead, though, so that theory is ruled out. The lead is tiny, but looks real.
A surprise turn in Wisconsin
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | June 23rd at 06:38 PM |
Good afternoon, wherever you may be. My apologies for getting today’s poll goodness out late, especially since it’s one I wanted to post yesterday anyway. But it turns out that, per Rasmussen, the Wisconsin Senate may yet be a race after all, despite the fact that many of us probably tuned it out once Tommy Thompson declined to run.
Thompson declines and so do Wisconsin Republican hopes
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 23rd at 03:09 PM |
Tommy Thompson was going to give Russ Feingold a tough race, but he decided not to run. How are Republicans doing now to challenge the three term incumbent? Rasmussen has a look.
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Discrepancies in the Wisconsin Senate Polling
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 7th at 02:06 AM |
If we look at a series of five polls of the Wisconsin Senate matchup between Senator Russ Feingold, Democrat, and former Governor Tommy Thompson, Republican, we find a broad range of results. On no news can we really expect the race to move 16 points in one week? Some of these have to be wrong, but will we ever know which?
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