Two more polls are out that absolutely confirm Cain is a serious force in the Republican Presidential race right now. Quinnipiac and CBS leave no more doubt, as the last four polls have all put Herman Cain at 17%, right up alongside Rick Perry and Mitt Romney. I’m going to try to break down these numbers get a good snapshot of this Cain moment.
First it was one national poll, and we could wait and see. Then it was a pair of state polls, and we could hold on for one more national poll. But after the new ABC News/Washington Post poll, there’s no denying it. For now we have a three way Republican Presidential race between Mitt Romney, Rick Perry, and Herman Cain.
Quinnipiac put out a pair of new polls, focusing on the Republican primary race in Pennsylvania and in Ohio. They have some problems that limit their utility, but I believe they will get much attention today because of their top line results, so it’s time to take a look anyway. Why the attention? Romney bucks the national trend again to lead in both states.
Last time around, Mitt Romney took a blow when he took ‘silver’ in his neighboring state New Hampshire, losing to the man who’d been plotting to win the state since the last contested primary there, John McCain. This time it looks like Romney is going to repeat the McCain strategy. By never having given up on the state since November 2008, Romney looks set to | Read More »
The new Gallup poll of the Republican contenders is out, this time with USA TODAY branding. Just looking at the frontrunners Rick Perry and Mitt Romney in isolation, it looks like Romney is gaining. What I find interesting though is where that support appears to be coming from. Romney’s support may be coming from Michele Bachmann.
Last night CNN hosted a key Republican Presidential debate, in which Rick Perry took a variety of attacks. This is critical because going into Rick Perry’s first debate, his favorability ratings were great, and his unfavorables were miniscule compared with the field. Let’s see where CNN had the state of the race going into last night.
Attacks on Rick Perry, new Presidential candidate and sudden poll leader, have begun to mount. He will soon take the stage in a debate against the other candidates. His opponents in both parties are determined to leave a mark on him. Let’s take a look at where he’s at as the pressure grows.
By request, we have a somewhat unusual poll: We Ask America asked Iowa Republicans which candidate they don’t want as the Republican Presidential nominee in 2012. As is usual this time of year, the poll is skewed by the inclusion of non-candidates. This time, overwhelmingly so.
By request I’m taking a look at a new poll of California Republicans by Probolsky Research. It shares problems I’m seeing in many early Presidential polls, but I am surprised at one finding that may be bad news for Mitt Romney.
Imagine if Sarah Palin promised reporters she’d take questions, then ran out from the event through the side door to avoid the questioning? Now imagine if Sharron Angle or Christine O’Donnell did it. The same shunned press would call them out for it and say they were fake or even avoiding accountability. Palin, of course, was accused of being entirely unqualified in part to avoiding | Read More »
As I’ve not been shy about saying, I have an emotional attachment to the California Senate race. I live here, I’ve always lived here, and in fact Democrat Barbara Boxer was first elected to the Senate when I was first beginning to follow politics, back when I was 14 years old. So I knew the television ad campaigns would make or break the race for | Read More »
Once again, it looks like endorsements are driving a primary. John Oxendine had taken to the air in Georgia and regained a decent lead (or as decent as you’ll get in a huge multi-way affair*), but now that Newt Gingrich endorsed Nathan Deal and Sarah Palin endorsed Karen Handel, the Ox is back in third.
Two polls on the California Senate Republican primary caught my attention today. I’ve been holding off posting on this race with my poll analysis hat on, because I wasn’t sure I could trust myself to be even handed enough. But these two polls, coming as they are 15 days before election day, are interesting enough that I have to try. They could hardly be more | Read More »
Given all the recent talk about Sarah Palin, and specifically whether she’d be a better President than the incumbent, we give you the Slurm® Keys to the Presidency, brought to you by new Slurm® Energy Drink. Keep the energy to party all night, Slurms MacKenzie™ Style! Character Under the stress of the job, the personal failings of “the man behind the desk” will come out. | Read More »
Sean Parnell has been sworn in as the new Governor of Alaska. Good luck, Governor Parnell. I think more eyes are on former Governor Sarah Palin though. In her farewell address she said what so many have been thinking: that she sees private life as an opportunity to do more for her causes than she could as Governor. I wish her and her family luck | Read More »
Every year, as regular viewers will know, The Simpsons has a Halloween episode, and the credits of the episode are altered so that the people have ‘spooky’ names. Bat Groening is one solid example. This year they just couldn’t have fun with it, no. They had to get political. One of the nicknames tonight was “Hockey Mom.” Get lost, losers. If you can’t just have | Read More »
I don’t have an exceptional amount of time today to outline my ballot and why I voted this way, but I’ve filled out my ballot and will mail it in today. Here’s how I voted.
Internet advertisers like to come up with hot button things that people want to click on. Money, sex, and politics all work. Well, what do advertisers think people will react to? What two people get the electorate excited? What race has people anxious? If you think McCain and Obama, you’re wrong. From Failblog: Best VP pick in my lifetime, and that says something given Cheney.
By now it’s become a Known Fact™ that supporters of Senator John McCain and Governor Sarah Palin shout nasty things about Senator Barack Obama at rallies, and have gone so far as to call for the Democratic nominee’s death. Obama has even attacked McCain for it. This of course means it’s not true. The Secret Service is as non-partisan a group as you will find, | Read More »
I’ve seen so many exchanges on the Internet lately that go like this: Smart person: You know, research shows that the older the mother gets, the more likely the children are to have Down’s Syndrome. Lefty: So what? More Down’s Syndrome babies are born to young mothers. I guess leftists are too busy learning at racist studies programs from Marxist professors to take classes in | Read More »
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