Rossi gets in
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 25th at 04:00 PM |
Yesterday the word came down that Dino Rossi is in fact entering the Senate race against Patty Murray in Washington. Additionally, we have a University of Washington poll for May on the race that also came out the same day. Let’s see how he’s starting out.
Two minute warning in the California Senate Primary
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 25th at 02:03 AM |
Two polls on the California Senate Republican primary caught my attention today. I’ve been holding off posting on this race with my poll analysis hat on, because I wasn’t sure I could trust myself to be even handed enough. But these two polls, coming as they are 15 days before election day, are interesting enough that I have to try. They could hardly be more | Read More »
Tags:
2010,
California,
Carly Fiorina,
Chuck DeVore,
Jim DeMint,
Meg Whitman,
National Research,
Nikki Haley,
Sarah Palin,
Senate,
SurveyUSA,
Tom Campbell
Primary Eve in Pennsylvania
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 17th at 01:10 PM |
One more day until the big primary election in Pennsylvania, and two big races to watch. Who replaces Jack Murtha? Who faces Pat Toomey in November? Let’s dig in.
Tags:
2010,
Arlen Specter,
Jack Murtha,
Joe Sestak,
Mark Critz,
Morning Call,
Muhlenberg College,
PA-12,
Pat Toomey,
Pennsylvania,
Public Policy Polling,
Quinnipiac University,
Senate,
Special Election,
Susquehanna Polling and Research,
Tim Burns
Pennsylvania update
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 12th at 03:37 PM |
We’re less than a week away from primary election day in Pennsylvania, so let’s take a look at the latest polling news from the House Special election to replace Jack Murtha, the Senate primary for Arlen Specter’s seat, and a surprisingly interesting House race.
Tags:
2010,
Arlen Specter,
Cook Political Report,
Daily Kos,
Dave Argall,
Frank Ryan,
House,
Jack Murtha,
Joe Sestak,
Morning Call,
Muhlenberg College,
PA-12,
PA-17,
Pennsylvania,
Real Clear Politics,
Research 2000,
Senate,
Special Election,
Susquehanna Polling and Research,
Tim Holden
How does Sestak match up against Toomey?
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 11th at 02:30 PM |
Thanks to Arlen Specter’s collapse, it’s now more than academic to see how Joe Sestak matches up against Pat Toomey in the Pennsylvania Senate rate. So, on to Rasmussen’s poll from the 6th.
Hayworth, Brewer running weak in the General?
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 7th at 03:01 PM |
Daily Kos and Research 2000 looked back to Arizona. It’s a reasonably comprehensive poll, carpetbombing the general elections for Governor and Senate, as well as looking at the Republican primary for Senate. Let’s unpack it.
Tags:
2010,
Arizona,
Buzz Mills,
Daily Kos,
Dean Martin,
Jan Brewer,
JD Hayworth,
John McCain,
John Munger,
Research 2000,
Rodney Glassman,
Senate,
Terry Goddard
Carly Fiorina rakes in the pro-life endorsements
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | May 4th at 02:00 PM |
First Susan B. Anthony’s list endorsed Carly Fiorina in the Republican Senate primary here in California, and now via Flash Report we find that the California Pro-Life Council, the California affiliate of National Right to Life, has joined in endorsing Fiorina. This comes after she snagged Tom Coburn’s support. Clearly, behind closed doors she’s convincing people. At this point I’d love to be able to | Read More »
Tags:
2010,
Abortion,
California,
California Pro-Life Council,
Carly Fiorina,
Chuck DeVore,
Life,
National Right to Life,
Party of Death,
Senate,
Susan B. Anthony's list,
Tom Campbell,
Tom Coburn
Obama and Biden to be succeeded by Republicans?
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 30th at 06:42 PM |
Rasmussen released two new polls today. The Illinois and Delaware Senate races would seem to have little in common, but they do share a common element: they are being held for the seats vacated by Barack Obama and Joe Biden after their victory in November 2008. Are voters inclined to send more Democrats to the Senate to work with them?
Tags:
2006,
2010,
Alexi Giannoulias,
Barack Obama,
Chris Coons,
Delaware,
Illinois,
Joe Biden,
Mark Kirk,
Mike Castle,
Rasmussen Reports,
Senate
Republicans joust in Indiana
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 29th at 08:30 PM |
Five men are seeking to be the Republican nominee in the Indiana Senate race to replace Evan Bayh. Three have a likely chance to win. From where is each getting his support?
Tags:
2010,
Brad Ellsworth,
Dan Coats,
Don Bates,
Indiana,
John Hostettler,
Marlin Stutzman,
Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics,
Richard Behney,
Senate,
SurveyUSA,
TEA party
Thompson declines and so do Wisconsin Republican hopes
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 23rd at 03:09 PM |
Tommy Thompson was going to give Russ Feingold a tough race, but he decided not to run. How are Republicans doing now to challenge the three term incumbent? Rasmussen has a look.
Tags:
2010,
Dave Westlake,
methodology,
Rasmussen Reports,
Richard Leinenkugel,
Ron Paul,
Russ Feingold,
Senate,
Terrence Wall,
Tommy Thompson,
Wisconsin
By Request: McCain v Hayworth
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 19th at 08:30 PM |
It’s slightly old but I know people are interested in this race, so an actual Rasmussen primary poll between Republicans JD Hayworth and John McCain. McCain leads, but is he doing well?
Checking in on the California Senate Primary
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 15th at 11:30 PM |
Since my last look at the polling in the California Senate Primary we’ve had no new primary polls, though in the general Rasmussen now shows Babs Boxer running poorly against all three Republicans. +2 over Tom Campbell, +3 over Chuck DeVore, and +4 over Carly Fiorina are not the numbers three term incumbent Democrats should be pulling in a state where Democrats capable of beating | Read More »
The race to replace Judd Gregg
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 13th at 02:24 PM |
If the Democrats want to regain a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate they have to win seats in their home turf, and that includes the New Hampshire seat of retiring Senator and Republican Judd Gregg. Rasmussen carpet bombed this race, which fortunately only has three likely matchups.
Tags:
2010,
Bill Binnie,
Carpet Bomb,
Daily Kos,
Judd Gregg,
Kelly Ayotte,
New Hampshire,
Ovide Lamontagne,
Paul Hodes,
Rasmussen Reports,
Research 2000,
Senate
Republicans need Dino Rossi for a chance at the Senate
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 12th at 11:00 AM |
Should the Republicans get lucky and take the Senate in November, Patty Murray’s is the kind of seat they will have to win. Washington is friendly territory for Democrats and 2010 should be no exception. However, a poll from late Friday suggests that she may be vulnerable to Dino Rossi and only to the former candidate for Governor.
Comparing two Pennsylvania polls
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 8th at 12:44 PM |
Yesterday we looked at a poll from Public Policy Polling, but today we have a new poll from Quinnipiac University. Amusingly enough, while we’ve seen Quinnipiac overcount Democrats in Ohio, their results for Specter and Sestak come in just under PPP’s findings.
Discrepancies in the Wisconsin Senate Polling
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 7th at 02:06 AM |
If we look at a series of five polls of the Wisconsin Senate matchup between Senator Russ Feingold, Democrat, and former Governor Tommy Thompson, Republican, we find a broad range of results. On no news can we really expect the race to move 16 points in one week? Some of these have to be wrong, but will we ever know which?
Tags:
2010,
Daily Kos,
Public Policy Polling,
Rasmussen Reports,
Research 2000,
Russ Feingold,
Senate,
St. Norbert College,
Tommy Thompson,
Wisconsin,
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute,
Wisconsin Public Radio
Harry Reid’s challengers crossing 50%
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 5th at 08:25 PM |
Rasmussen Reports has a new Nevada Senate poll out, and the results are looking terrible for Harry Reid. The Democrat is looking likely to be the second consecutive incumbent floor leader for his party to be voted out of office. Conventional wisdom says incumbents below 50 are vulnerable. Well, two of the three Republicans running to replace him are now above 50, and the third | Read More »
USC/LA Times poll of California races
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 5th at 02:19 PM |
USC and the LA Times polled some of the major California statewide races. The results, provided by pollsters Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and American Viewpoint, seem generally in line with what we’ve seen so far: Campbell and Fiorina are in a close primary race, lagged by DeVore. Boxer can’t reach 50. Whitman cruises in the primary. The big news to my eye is that Jerry Brown | Read More »
Tags:
2010,
American Viewpoint,
Barbara Boxer,
California,
Carly Fiorina,
Chuck DeVore,
Governor,
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner,
Jerry Brown,
Los Angeles Times,
Meg Whitman,
Real Clear Politics,
Senate,
Steve Poizner,
Tom Campbell,
USC
Arkansas Senate: A Huge Mess
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 3rd at 12:02 AM |
It’s late; I spent a lot of time preparing my nationwide modeling software, but here’s a quick look at the Arkansas Senate race, per Rasmussen. It’s a mess.
Tags:
2010,
Arkansas,
Bill Halter,
Blanche Lincoln,
Curtis Coleman,
Gilbert Baker,
Jim Holt,
John Boozman,
Kim Hendren,
Rasmussen Reports,
Senate
For the Record: John Campbell on his own Amendment
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | April 1st at 09:28 PM |
Here is the amendment that Tom Campbell asked John Campbell to withdraw, an amendment that would have withdrawn funding for a number of NSF grants. These aren’t earmarks, but is this wise spending?