« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

MEMBER DIARY

Why I Reluctantly Will Endorse Mitt Romney

My choice for President is  Mitt Romney.

I just shuddered at that statement.

But there it is.  There is the reality that 13 debates, months of bickering and intrigue, and countless discussions with conservative brethren have brought me.

It is kind of a sad reality. Is this the best conservatives could do?

So here has been my calculation for who I would support, from the beginning.  First, the candidate must be electable and able to defeat Barack Obama, both electorally and intellectually.  Second, they must broaden the base of the Republican Party, both on the conservative and moderate sides.  Third, they must be economically intelligent and have a pro-growth plan that will overturn the Obama economic disaster.  And fourth, because of the Obama experiment, they must show some executive level experience.

If you look at our current crop of candidates, the Congressional candidates (Paul, Bachmann, Santorum) all lack significant executive experience.  Newt Gingrich could be argued to have some executive experience as Speaker of the House, but that is stretching the definition to the breaking point.

I think all of our candidates have more of a pro-growth plan than Barack Obama.

As for broadening the base, this is the one I had the hardest time with.  For example, Mitt Romney.  He would definitely appeal to independents and moderates who like a milquetoast candidate.  Could he broaden his conservative wing?  I think he could, but that is a hard slog for him.  Could Newt Gingrich, who has years of baggage and is relatively well known, broaden his likability among moderates?  Doubtful.  Can Rick Perry overcome his stumbles and convince non-conservatives that he is intelligent?  Unlikely. In short, I am not sure any of our candidates significantly broaden the party.

As for electability, as time has gone on, it is clear that Paul, Bachmann, Santorum, and Cain would have great difficulty defeating Obama, both electorally and intellectually.

So after all of that angst, you are basically left with potential candidates Romney, Perry, and Gingrich.

But after Perry’s stumble after stumble in the debates, I can see him getting torn apart by Barack Obama in debates, in a style reminiscent of what Reagan did to Mondale.  I really wanted to like Perry, but he has never risen to the occasion.  His brightest moment was when he presented his tax plan, and he never showed another policy initiative as grand.  And he still appears more a caricature than the man that longtime supporters of him describe.

The best qualified candidate of the remaining opposition to Romney is Newt Gingrich.  All things being equal, Gingrich would get my vote.  But all things are not equal.  Every time I think Gingrich can leave his past behind, something comes up.  He cannot seem to keep his mouth out of the way of his campaign.  And he has been on top for about a month, and I am already fatigued trying to defend every new story about him.  I can’t imagine what another year of this would feel like.  Gingrich, ultimately, is a paper tiger.  He is the most well spoken of the group, bar none.  But is he really a conservative?  Is he, for that matter, even more conservative than Mitt Romney?  I am far from convinced of this.  And ultimately, he was the decisive argument for me between the two:   while Gingrich’s sacrifice of conservative principles largely came while he was in his own think tank with no outside pressures whatsoever, Romney’s betrayal came while surround by a horde of liberals looking to take a piece of him at every turn in the most liberal state government in the Union.  It is not an excuse for sacrificing his conservative ideals, so much as an explanation that makes far more sense than Newt sitting on a bench with Nancy Pelosi.

It comes down to this.  I have been waiting for the better part of 4 years for someone, anyone, to show me to be the standard bearer of the Conservative revolution initially started by Ronald Reagan 3 decades ago…and these group of candidates have failed.  I was waiting for a Mike Pence, John Thune, even a Jeb Bush to step forward and take the helm. They all took a pass, for one reason or another.  And so we are left with the current crop of candidates, despite all of our objections.

The last debate in December was a sort of epiphany.  That epiphany was that none of the non-Romney candidates was going to turn into Ronald Reagan.  Ever.  Maybe this wasn’t an epiphany so mach as facing up to the reality.  Oh, sure, there are a few Perry fanatics and Bachmann lovers still out there.  They will probably hold on until the California primary.  But both have stumbled too many times, and too consistently, to be considered serious any more.  Bachmann’s Politifact nonsense from the last debate was the last string for me.  As for Perry, if he was this good in debates in August and September, he would be the leader.  But it just seems to be too little, too late. Too many missed opportunities, with too much of his buffoonery now baked into the social consciousness.  Santorum has never made the sale.  And Ron Paul is…Ron Paul.  Fascinating on pure market economics and libertarian views, but he lives in an alternate universe on foreign affairs.  Jon Huntsman is a non-entity.

Almost makes you wonder if Tim Pawlenty, who was my early leader, left the race way too early, no?

So we are left with Willard Mitt Romney.

I know.  My friends that read here will say this is a sellout.  Maybe it is.  But logically, without any knee jerk reactions, I don’t see any way around this.  I have for months begged others and myself to come to a conclusion that is different.  But I simply can’t.

But here is, ultimately my logic.

I don’t think many people will rationally argue that Romney is unelectable.  He certainly is.  His record as governor is admirable for one of the bluest states in the union, and he has been in politics long enough to be adequately vetted.

Romney would likely pull a lot of independent voters.  My really concern is, would he broaden the conservative bloc?  I am far from sure about this.  My conservative brethren have a deep and well developed distaste for Romney, and I am unsure if Romney can overcome it.  But I think ultimately, our hatred of Mr. Obama’s liberal policies will unify the right.

Romneycare is the biggest hurdle.  Will Romney really stand for states rights?  I honestly believe he will.  I don’t think he will ever be the opponent to government health care we want, so don’t even propose such a thought.  But our goal is to end the mandate on a federal scale.  I believe Romney will be an ally in this small, marginal victory.

Economically speaking, Romney actually is the most well spoken and practical of the bunch.  Although he does not support more radical reforms in D.C. such as Paul Ryan’s Medicare plan, he also has a more traditional approach put forward, which would do a lot of good in rolling back Obamanomics.  Romney likely would support a more radical conservative agenda for the economy if we can show there are votes in Congress for such a plan.

Furthermore, Romney has really show increased maturity on the campaign trail over the past few months.  What was a wooden caricature earlier in the year now shows some humor, fraility, and joviality.  His recent Fox News Sunday interview with Chris Wallace showed a comfortable, relaxed, and human Mitt.

Last, and certainly not least, we found under George W. Bush that even a relatively well intentioned President needs to be reigned in by Congress.  A Republican Congress failed to do that for Bush…it needs to learn its lesson, and keep Romney on a tight leash.  Without that, no man sitting in the Oval Office can be trusted completely.

So, after all that explanation, I endorse Mitt Romney.  I am not happy about it, and can’t believe it has come to this. And I am sure a lot of my friends on the internet will wonder if I have lost my senses completely. But Romney is a good man, a better man than the one sitting in the Oval Office by far.  And if he wins the nomination, it is time for Republicans unify, even if it is for this flawed candidate.

This was cross posted on Neoavatara.

COMMENTS

  • texastaxpayer

    You are aware of course that Mitt Romney had an approval rating of a whooping 34% at the end of his only term as governor right? He couldn’t even launch a credible reelection bid.
    You are aware of course that Romney ranked 47th out of 50 for job creation and economic growth during an economic boom right? His policies have blown a gaping hole in Massachusetts budget and they have not recovered on the economic front either.
    You are aware of course that Romney has held dualing positions on every major issue of our times right? Life, cap and trade, governments role in healthcare, 2nd amendment and tax policy are just a few areas where Romney has sounded more like Obama than Regan in recent years. His nomination will help to make the general election about character and trust versus economics and achievements, this of course willard will agree to as he has no economic leadership achievements to point to.
    I would request strongly that you reconsider, Mitt Romney is not going to win against Obama. He cant draw a clear contrast economically, his leadership record his rife with inconsistency, the GOP base does not support him and frankly he can’t win the election he must run.

  • reddog53

    As the able Texan above has pointed out, Mr. Romney was a one term governor who failed to capitalize on his supposed high popularity to be come a senator from Massachusetts.

    He has run for office a number of times since 1988, and isn’t exactly a dominating competitor. I really don’t understand where this ‘electablility’ thing comes from; when he ran in 2008, he was barely visible in the standings, and despite his hard work and organizational skills over the past 4+ years, he still only gains about 25% of the total.

    I also question the need to “broaden the base” and appeal to moderates by being moderate. Obama ran as a moderate in 2008 and fooled most everyone, and is capable of doing the same again. With two ‘moderates’ in the race, where is the compelling case to switch from Obama to another candidate — for those that aren’t paying a lot of attention to the election, this doesn’t seem compelling enough to switch.

    The Tea Party activism that has been out there and in DC over the past 2 years suggests that people aren’t looking for ‘moderation.’ Ditto the misguided, but passionate supporters of Ron Paul — he can’t be credibly called a moderate in any sense — his ideas are not mainstream, yet he has a significant following, that will not be reliable in their support for Romney in the general election.

    Yes, we need to find someone who can win the election. But as the last 3 years have shown, we need someone capable of handling the issues that arise once the President is sworn in — campaign slogans and intentions are fine– but the next President will be faced with a mix of serious foreign policy issues, global finance and a nation still needing to straighten itself out on many different levels.

    I’m not yet sure who that person is, but I don’t feel ready to place trust in someone whose main quality seems to be ‘able administrator.’

    It’s still way too early to commit at this point.

  • http://www.neoavatara.com/blog neoavatara

    Who is that person, with the remaining group? Are you convinced that Rick Perry, after stumbles time and again, could stand up to Obama during a long general election? Are any of us convinced that Gingrich is truly conservative either?

    Don’t misunderstand. I have had all the thoughts that you present, but have yet to find a sufficient answer to go with someone else.

    I have an open mind. Make a case to me why any one of these candidates are superior to Romney,and I am more than willing to listen. In fact, I really hope you convince me I am wrong.

    • reddog53

      Because of some of the things I have seen about him away from the glare of the debate circuses.

      But I”m also convinced that we don’ t need to throw in the towel and only consider the choices at hand.

      I think that the whole process is broken; we are 11 months from the election and it’s supposed to be “over.” Not a single vote yet cast–and don’t even get me started on the “caucuses” which are really misrepresentations of the electorate, even if benignly so. Lots of theater, but not much in the way of real, thorough discussion and decisions.

      Yet, in our history, we have countless times when the real choices weren’t made until a couple of months prior to the election, with the “evil” conventions doing the choosing after some intense and hard fought discussions and bargaining.

      We are making a mistake in doing this backwards. Previously, the state parties hammered out consensus “platforms” on issues that they could then rally their troops around. Now we seek ‘personalities’ and hope that they can convey some fraction of what the consensus might be, as well as hopefully being equal to the task of governing.

      What that has begotten is a perpetual cycle of campaigning and precious little governing. What we need now are some serious people that will govern by the will, or consensus, of the majority — not media darlings. Governing means using the Constitution as a guide to navigate whatever the issues of the day are — and since no one can know the future, we need to chose wisely.

      Clausewitz is famous for pointing out that “war is politics by other means.” What we have going on in our country is a very low intensity conflict, but conflict nonetheless, over the future of our country. We have to realize that in our current situation, politics is ‘war by other means’ and choose some folks that are willing to fight to preserve the nation while at the same time adapting it to the new realities of the age in which we live. This isn’t a venue for moderation, second measures or appeasing one side with giving in when that means the country is put at risk.

      This suggests that we need some true talent that can actually craft the laws, do the discussions, lead the committee hearings and direct the bureaucracies to meet the Constitution’s purpose and intent. They obviously need to communicate, but first they must have a concept or model to guide the effort. Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt and Reagan all understood that well.

      We do not need self described “leaders” or “visionaries,” but the folks who are known by reputation and consistent performance. We all have personal examples of someone that has ‘it” and everyone knows it…without having to be told by the individual himself. We don’t need people who can focus group the concepts into mediocrity, but the ones that can inspire a focus group to ‘think different’ than they did when they arrived.

      I agree that our current host of candidates is a bit short in that ideal; I am just idealistic enough to think that we might find a way out of this mashup with reasonable leadership at all levels working to select the truly best candidate who will succeed in governing the country….and by the participation of millions of voters, exercising their right to vote.

      I think that the debates were a terrible means to demonstrate who the right ones are — allowing the media with its obvious bias and agenda to shape our perception of our own candidates was a really dumb approach — so when folks stumbled in that arena, I forgave them all. I would have much preferred the approach from 2008, with an impartial person (as Rick Warren was initially) asking commonsense questions and allowing deep, thoughtful responses, one on one.

      • snowshooze

        No replacement whatever. O’Romneycare needs to go. Period. (.)
        The ceapest path to health care is the one from your front door to the Doctor’s office. Not the one that winds through an insurance company, my bank account, 50 government agencies and who knows where else.
        Every one of them taking a piece of your tail.
        The Insurance industry got a bit dangerous for a while. It was the wild west.
        But then, it became regulated to the point that micro monopolies were created.
        We need to de-regulate it again. Allow cross State line sales and encourage competition.
        But Insurance IS NOT HEALTH CARE. It is entirely seperate, and Insurance is a huge factor in pushing up the cost of Health Care to the point it is now.
        In a lot of ways, we would be better of without it.
        In other ways, it makes possible a level of care never seen before.
        But forced insurance?
        No.
        I remember when they required Insurance in Washington State. Guess what? Every-bodies rates went UP! It saved us nothing.
        And we still had to pay extra for uninsured motorist!
        And remember… mandated insurance is not free. You will pay.
        So there is my insurance rant.
        Thanks,
        Mark

  • http://www.neoavatara.com/blog neoavatara

    I would be all for a brokered convention, especially if you could get the likes of a Jeb Bush or someone of his stature. Maybe I am not enough of a dreamer to believe that such a thing can happen. My biggest problem with this is historically, the brokering comes from insiders, and right now, who would they support that you and I could fall in love with? I am not sure.

    • snowshooze

      He has the money, and the machine.

  • David123

    Rick Perry is a former Air Force officer who has flown multi-engine aircraft – he had to be intelligent to do that.

    I watched some of the debates and I saw Rick Perry hit homeruns. He is a very good debater – better than Mitt Romney.

    Rick Perry has more executive experience than Mitt Romney.

    Rick Perry is a more consistent conservative than Mitt Romney.

    Oh, BTW – I am not a Perrybot; Rick Santorum is my first choice, and he is also more reliably conservative than Mitt Romney. However, I realise that Rick Santorum does not have the executive experience you are looking for.

    Rick Perry and Rick Santorum have both won more state-wide elections than Mitt Romney; all three are very electable against Obama.

    • SoFiMil

      Anyway, it hasn’t been determined if Huntsman tithes (sarc).

      While a case could be made for Huntsman, you’d be helping him tremendously by not saying anything. This thread is about Romney. If you must, go write a diary about Huntsman.

  • quill67

    I would be impressed. Actually on this count Santorum is stronger. He got elected in a blue state as a very conservative candidate and unlike Romney he was re-elected (although he finally lost) Gingrich was elected in a Democratic district–so good for him. Perry was re-elected twice in Texas. That is actually impressive most governors in modern history in Texas only served one term. Romney got elected in Mass. as a liberal Republican and as other pointed out he was not re-elected.

    The mistake that many make is thinking that being amoderate brodens the base. It does not. People like to appear to be reasonable so liberal democrats that will never vote republican will answer they are planning to vote for Romney (or McCain or Dole) because they are upset with some decision or policy of Obama (or Clinton or the Dem nominee) But when push comes to shove they go back home. And these moderates are not able to convince anyone that they are offering any change worth changing presidents over. So they lose.

    The true undecided are ones who say they plan to vote for Obama. They are hard working Americans who have not had time to pay attention to the campaign and only listen to main stream press says. They know nothing about what has been going on. To convince them, we have to inform them and be willing to show how we are different. Perry has shown this and Gingrich is fantastic at it. Doubt it? Who called Obama the “Food Stamp President” OH how the moderates quaked. How could he throw that bomb? Well it was accepted and now other candidates are willing to say similar things.

    We need someone who will INFORM, CHALLENGE, and CHANGE. Is Romney that guy?

    His tax policy is: “Maintain current rates” and system. Only change is slight reduction in corporate tax rates. Gee the same plan that McCain advocated. HOW EXCITING WAS THAT???

    Santorum at least wants to allow manufacturers to pay no tax to increase manufacturing here in US. (and cut rate in half to 17.5%) Gingrich would but corporate to among lowest in world from 35% to 12.5% and allow investments to be taken off taxes all in one year–no more complicated deduction schedules. Gingrich offers optional flat tax of 15%. Perry also offers optional flat tax with more deductions at 20%.

    Romney says he wants to “Repeal and Replace” Obamacare. With what? He has given very llittle detail except ‘aid to states to help pay for uninsured’ and where will this money come from? And what will the requirements be? What will the requirements be changed to in future when Dem. elected?

    Third Party disucssions are banned on Redstate, but even Redstate discussed the possiblity a few months ago.

  • greyeagle

    The Primaries are just starting. Perry had 3 good debates and answered just fine when he was given questions. Apparently another debate next weekend. Perry has far stronger credentials than Mitt. Perry hates Obama and the feeling is mutual. Obama can not do debates without his teleprompter. Perry can, so big difference. So I will vote for Perry, Romney never.

  • Wayne

    It seems odd that greyeagle would suggest throwing his hat in so early. This is the single most important election of my and our collective lifetime. And, unless I only vote for Romney if I have no choice. But, I will have a choice to the end and it will be Perry or Newt. Nothing can sway that commitment except a new candidate that overwhelms my top two in all the core values I am looking for in a electable candidate capable of beating Obama.

    Romney is Obama light. That’s not a choice I would ever consider today.

  • deVere

    But he is no conservative. And in important respects it is fair to call him the grandfather of Obamacare, and the father of gay marriage. As a result he is a divisive figure in the Republican party.

    It is quite early to give up on nominating a conservative candidate. In 2008 the race was over after the Florida primary. Wouldn’t it make sense to wait at least that long before throwing in the towel?

  • nuclear139

    Romney is no conservative and we need to back a real one in order to take back the White House and get true reform. I don’t like Romney as our nominee because Obama and other socialist could hide their attacks on free enterprise behind Romney’s career at Bain Captal. They could also use their blame the rich excuse better against Romney than any other candidate and don’t be confused their are a lot of people who would just like to blame the rich also. I fear Romney will be just another Bob Dole who will allow the Dem’s to beat on him.

  • elayman

    He’s articulate, highly intelligent and experienced, deeply conservative, sports a logical, thoughtful style of doing business that is extremely attractive to moderates and Independents, essentially immune to attack after being appointed by Obama to the the most important diplomatic position in US foreign policy. What am I not getting ?

    Or what is wrong with the right wing side of America? Can’t you see he’s got what it takes to beat Obama?

  • nuclear139

    He was a pragmatic governor who could work with the other side of the aile to get things done like a Christie or Reagan and he was effective as our China ambassador which is an important trade partner to the U.S. All though he is not the most conservative he has by far the most foreign policy experience of any presidential candidate since Bush 1 in 1988. Huntsman can not be our nominee because working with Obama is a kiss of death for a conservative.

  • elayman

    Huntsman would be a dream ambassador for traditional, rational fiscal conservatism except for arguably Bachmann and Paul (theoretically). Plus the integrity level which those two lack and that more than compensates for any absence of radicalism.