COMMENTS

POSTING RULES  |  LOGIN TO COMMENT  |  REGISTER TODAY
  • gladtidings

    Although Newt is closing in.

    We’ll see what happens after Marianne Gingrich tells us a little more about the real Newt Gingrich.

    • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

      The debate shifted all the polls.

  • ethos

    Santorum and Newt baggage will keep this close, but he’ll still likely win.

  • conservativeparrothead

    For a Newt win, but I’m not very confident but it will be somewhat close.

    - I think the big issue is where does Santorum finish and how does that affect him moving forward, I havent heard him much talk about his resources in Florida. I know Newt has Marco Rubio’s campaign manager running his campaign down there, but Florida is about money, not sure either have it but Im sure Newt is slightly better off at this piont.

    But the question is, what is the difference between Newt and Santorum? If Newt wins and the Senators is below 20%, is that enough to move him out?
    If Newt comes in 2nd at say 25-26%, and Santorum is at say 22% or 23% then this thing moves on with the “conservative” split.

    Im hoping for a Newt win and beat Santorum by 20 points. Have him exit the race, get this thing one on one with a bump coming out of SC.

  • jakeofalltrades

    Too many polls give him too much of a lead.

  • Addison

    I doubt that Gingrich can have as good of a debate tonight as he did Monday, and Romney will be slightly better prepared for the financial stuff.

    Romney still has, I believe, the long-term “ur-momentum “in the race as the person who most people seem to think will win in the end — that opinion about what others will do matters when it comes down to passive decision making.

    I think that Romney’s negative ads and multi-faceted attacks on Newt will have enough of an effect to blunt Newt’s momentum and draw just enough votes away to give Romney his victory at 32% or so.

    All bets are off if the offshore banking issue comes up in any substantive or prolonged way and Mitt fumbles the response.

  • http://nextgenerationvoters.com Bethany

    He’s getting too much credit too quickly. He surged once and fell quickly, meaning that this “surge” may not even be real.

  • Ender

    all the polls are 1-6 point lead, with really just 1 night of 1 poll showing 6% lead with huge error margin. So the lead is likely 1-3 points. Too much?

    I hope that the truth of Gingrich’s real morality, and respect for the sanctity of marriage – embodied in his 2nd wife’s interview – will prevent the potential disaster of a Gingrich win.

  • Ender

    but I am a bit doubtful. So I predict Gingrich by 2%. Battle shifts to Florida.

  • dimondintherough

    the bitter ex wife story dies on the vine- it sounds overhyped to me…apparently she also says some good things about him!

  • http://nextgenerationvoters.com Bethany

    that he seems to be moving up fairly quickly, like you said– overnight. I’m somewhat confused by these polls at this point, since so many of them seem to show different things. Most of the surges we had were at least spread over a week or so before they reached such high numbers. Maybe it isn’t so surprising that he’s that high, since Newt has been in the 20s in SC for a little while now. I don’t want Newt either, and I’m slightly disappointed that Perry endorsed him. We’ll have to see what happens on Saturday! I’m guessing that it’ll end up with results just like Iowa, but with Romney and Newt.

  • http://www.AmericanThinker.com Hammer2008

    If the 2012 GOP presidential race was being played by the same rules (plurality vs. winner-take-all for the first (what?) three months) as 2008, Gov. Mike Huckabee would have been the consensus candidate and probable nominee? Well sorta’

    Left with the choices of four candidates, South Carolina has just entered the chasm of picking Win, Place, or Show. This is going to be a roller coaster.

    All that being said. I believe Speaker Gingrich will squeek out a “win is a win” in his neighboring state (why is no one reporting this ?!?). As for expectations, we’re probably in for another surprise by Sen. Santorum.

    Win – Gingrich – 32%
    Place – Romney – 26%
    Show – Santorum – 22%
    Hanging around like a worn sweater – Rep. Paul – 17%
    Write-ins/Absentees for other-rans – 5%