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The Youth Vote

President Obama did a phenomenal job of getting out the youth vote in 2008.  Many conservatives and even some liberals were thinking that a repeat performance was next to impossible; however, he brought back the same young people as 2008 and added quite a few more.  In the 2012 election, people aged 18-29 increased their total of the electorate and went for President Obama 67%-30% nationally.

The combined total of electoral votes in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and Pennsylvania is 80 votes; Governor Romney’s final total nationwide was 206.  If he had won those four states, he would have won the election.  Contrary to popular belief, however, he didn’t lose them because “all the people in the state made a decisive choice.”  The largest reason he lost those states was the youth vote.

Young people voted in these four states 63%-35% for President Obama.  Romney handily won the 45+ crowd in all of these states.  Simply splitting the youth vote rather than getting blown out of the water could have made Mitt Romney the President-Elect of the United States.

The question now turns to our marketing of the conservative message.  We have four years to fix this enormous disconnect with young people around the country— it’s crunch-time.

Contrary to what some believe, I reject the notion that we must change the message of conservatism if we hope to appeal to the next generation.  Our message is timeless; it was the motivation behind our founders’ persistent dedication to maintaining this new nation and should remain ours today.  If we change our message every four years when a new generation of young people appears, we’ll appear flimsy, hypocritical, and indecisive— and rightly so.

I completely agree with what I’ve heard since the election concerning the youth vote.  We need a culture change; our education system is becoming more and more infiltrated by left-wing teachers who want to implant that mindset into their students at a young age.  We need to fix our education system, not only for political reasons but for student reasons— the United States lags far behind when it comes to math and science and, if we don’t fix that soon, we’ll be left in the dust as other countries take the lead.  We can’t afford for that to happen.

I also believe that conservatives need to be more receptive to Hollywood; not in the sense that we have to agree with their actions and with what comes out of it, but in the sense that we must not alienate the rare conservative actors that do exist.  We should be using those actors to reach out to young people.  The truth is that a college student is likely to be much more open to their favorite movie star than they are to an “old white guy.”  Outreach does not equal pandering– there’s nothing wrong with reaching out to the college crowd in ways that they’ll best receive our message.

Another huge issue:  When kids like that hear us talking about the tax code and the national debt, then turn around and hear the Democrats talking about issues such as this, which side do you think they’re going to be more attracted to?  I don’t think we should stop talking about the tax code and national debt, but we need to take some time to debunk the false picture the Left has painted of conservatives.  An apathetic young person today would watch the news and walk away believing that Republicans want to take women back to the Stone Age.  We’re letting liberals get away with this narrative.  We need to get out and personally talk to these young people and answer their questions; don’t let them believe these lies any longer.  Freedom is appealing to everyone, regardless of age– we’ve just been presenting it in the wrong way.

Before I continue I want to say that Governor Romney did a fantastic job as our candidate; with that said, the biggest issue I feel we had with young people in this election was in what we were talking about and how we were talking about it.  We were talking about this while Democrats were talking about this.  Here’s why I say that:  While I absolutely, positively agree with this Romney-Ryan ad, we produced many just like it and failed to point any of them toward young people.  We could have conveyed the same message but pointed some of these ads at the youth:  “Fiscal sanity is important, and here’s how it affects your future,” or, “Equality for women won’t even be a consideration if our debt explodes and bankrupts us.”  We could have addressed the same critical issues while at the same time reaching out to young people.  President Obama often spoke directly to young people:  “This is your election,” and “You’re the ones who will choose our next President,” and “You hold your future in your hands.”  I never once heard those things from Governor Romney or any of his surrogates.

I’m proud to be a conservative and I don’t want to see our message tampered with because of changing demographics.  I believe that we need to examine our approach and word choice as much as we do our marketing.  When President Obama was on the campaign trail discussing what he has “accomplished for middle-class families” and, specifically, “young people and their college tuition,” we countered by directly (and correctly) challenging each of his claims.  However, young people who already had an uneasy feeling about the Governor most likely viewed this as “bullying” the President— “All Obama’s done is try to help us, and Mitt Romney is just mad because he wasn’t the one who did these things.”  I attend a public college.  I see these kids very often and hear their conversations.  That is exactly what I heard for months before the election.

We were absolutely correct when we challenged the President’s record; it is dismal at best and destructively evil for this country at worst.  However, young people who voted for the President in 2008 and had decided to do so again in 2012 were not going to believe what we were saying about his record.  They just knew he was the “cool, celebrity President” and wanted to re-elect him.  What we should have done to reach out to young people is show them the positives of liberty, capitalism, and conservatism rather than simply show them the evils of oppression, socialism, and liberalism.  Those two messages— the positives of one and negatives of another— go hand in hand; and we needed to present a larger contrast between the two ideologies.  Between the President’s massive control on the youth vote and the mainstream media’s infatuation with him, we were painted as bullies who were victimizing all the good the President has tried to do because we’re “greedy Republicans who are power-obsessed.”  They can’t portray us that way if we’re conveying the positives of a truly free country.  Look at these two phrases:

“The President has done a terrible job in the last four years.  Everything he has done to try to help the middle-class has failed.  My plan will get people back to work, make us energy independent, and increase America’s standing in the world.”

“Liberty is the only way you can achieve your dreams.  You can’t achieve those dreams under policies that include spreading your success around and demonizing you for making money— we want you to keep as much of your money as possible.  Capitalism is the best way for you to have a steady job that you love and excel at.  Freedom gives you the opportunity to pursue your dreams.”

Look at the wording of both phrases.  The root of both messages is the same— yet which sounds more appealing to young people?  The Republican Party needs to take on a more optimistic tone regarding the policies and ideas we represent rather than solely showing a negative attitude towards the opinions of the other side.  If we are optimistic about our own ideas, we won’t have to worry about being so negative about the other side’s.

It’s obvious that young people gravitate toward more optimistic messages— “hope and change” paraded them out to the polls in numbers we had never seen before.  The GOP needs to excite young people about conservatism rather than simply attempt to disgust them with liberalism.  There has to be a balance of presenting our ideas and attacking the opposite.  The Left attacks conservatism viciously because they can get away with it.  The GOP can’t get away with it; we have to be the upbeat, positive, this-is-how-conservatism-benefits-you party if we want to win young people over.  This isn’t pandering— this is reaching out to young people in the ways they’ll respond to best.  We can’t afford to continue letting the Left to buy young people’s votes with false promises and hypocritical hope.

COMMENTS

  • GremlinJones

    Issues that excite younger voters and inspire them to vote: gay marriage, marijuana legalization, support for education, climate change, creationism. We’re on the wrong side of all of them (mostly).

    • Viet71

      Agree. Young voters (aged 18 – 30) largely support gay marriage, marijuana legalization, expanded funding of education, efforts to reduce global warming, and opposition to creationist doctrine. No surprise.

      They’re not going to be sold on religious arguments, by and large.

      Republicans can reach them with reason. There is reason, for example, to dismiss global warming arguments and gay marriage legislation. On the other hand, saying stupid things will not win young voters.

  • westcoastpatriette

    Sorry to disagree, Bethany, but most young people will never find conservatism appealing — especially as long as the public schools are controlled by the leftists. Obama simply took advantage of their youthful ignorance and naivete and pandered to them by using the false promises of utopia via socialism and they fell for it — again. The things you said you kept hearing from your peers were shallow, shortsighted reasons to vote for anyone.

    They need to be being taught the difference between socialism and free markets and why our Constitutional Republic does not support anything except free markets. How about telling them about economic liberty and asking them if they really think it is fair for the government to take the money they earn and give it to someone else? I just don’t buy that Obama did a fantastic job of reaching the youth. I would say he did a fantastic job of conning them with lies. That’s about all of the credit I would give him.

    • J. Leg

      You can’t write people off and expect them to vote for you. Sorry, but reading “most young people will never find conservatism appealing ” is the most disheartning thing I have ever read.

      I went to a CA GOP meeting one time and one of the campaign workers from Chuck DeVore’s campaign said to us that we will never win Latinos and we will never win blacks, so we need to give up and focus on getting Central Valley and Southern California (sans LA) whites out to vote. I thought that was the biggest load of you know what I had ever heard.

      Let’s go into urban neighborhoods, college campuses, and black and Hispanic neighborhoods and start talking about conservatism. Using a reference to Christianity, Imagine if the 12 disciples after Jesus had gone said, “You know, these non-Jewish people will never accept us, there’s no use in going out there and spreading our message.” Imagine if the Apostle Paul had written letters to Jerusalem, Tel-Aviv, and Bethlehem instead of Rome, Corinth, and Thessolinika, There would be no world wide church today.

      We can’t be closed minded like that anymore.

      • westcoastpatriette

        I hear what you are saying, J.Leg, and I am open to ideas for how to appeal to the youth. But the old adage — if you are not liberal when you are twenty, you have no heart, and if you are not conservative by the time you are forty, you have no brains — is full of truth.

        Other than scolding me for writing them off, just how do you appeal to youth who have never had to pay a mortgage, raise a grandchild born out of wedlock or feed and clothe a family? I’m looking for specific ways to get through to them. Any ideas?

        • MadElephants

          We need to talk to them, for so long we have ignored the black vote, latino vote, and youth vote. Well now we are paying for it. I dont think its hard to explain to the youth and latino voters that, we want them to keep more of there pay checks, that they earned, and they should keep. All we need is Fox to put up a late night channel with some conservative comedians, that should get the vote to swing a few million

        • J. Leg

          I didn’t mean to scold you! I am sorry if it came across that way!

          We can start by talking about the out of control entitlement state. And what that means for them. We can become more engaged in pop culture rather than complaining about the liberal media. A couple years back, Conan O’Brien had William Shatner read portions of Sarah Palin’s “Going Rogue”, conservative activists complained that O’Brien and Shatner were trying to slander her and make her look dumb, but Palin had the right idea: She went on Conan and read ridiculous portions of Shatner’s autobiography. It was an incredibly funny skit, and effectively neutralized it! Our presidential candidates actually need to accept the invitations from MTV forums and learn how to answer dumb questions like “How old is the earth” with “With all due respect, I think that’s an incredibly stupid question.” But most of all, Republicans need to be on college campuses and host forums, guest lecture, and go out and talk to students.

  • MadElephants

    Bethany great post, I felt like you took the words right out of my mind. I have been thinking almost word for word about what you wrote and just could not get it down on paper.

    So let me respond to Gremlin Jones who said “Issues that excite younger voters and inspire them to vote: gay marriage, marijuana legalization, support for education, climate change, creationism. We’re on the wrong side of all of them (mostly).”

    I want to address these issues bc I believe the GOP has a double standard here. Gay Marriage being # 1.Do you think this should be a federal issue, or state issue? I do not care if gays decide to get married, and personally do not think the Government should tell anyone what to do. Why do you care? This is a state issue, if its an issue at all. I am so sorry but I am tired of Republicans being labeled over this issue. We don’t like Big Gov, but we want Big Gov to tell them not to get married? How does that work exactly? I am the party of less government how about ?

    Marijuana legalization #2 Again, another state issue. Please, dont tell me about gateway drug, blah blah blah. Its a non-issue, if your state legalizes it,and all goes well then Federal Gov should be out of it. Im sorry but Alcohol, and Cigs are far worse then the old joint. Enough studies out there to show this. Either way, Im not sure how old you are but I sure the heck dont see anyone having a hard time smoking weed? In fact because it is criminal we now have our school, working like street corners. I do not smoke, but I used too….and we wonder why young kids dont vote for old white men? Its cause we are hypocrites, we dont like big government but we want to pick and choose what we want them for?

    Support for Education# 3 I am back in school, and well its damn expensive, this is something we all should care about. (Maybe take some of the money we spend on fighting pot heads, and spend it on education or better yet, save it )

    Climate change and creationism # 4 I wont address I dont think votes are being casted because of that. Though, I think we should state that, climate change is real, but its part of the Earths natural cycles. I just did a report about it, read through most of the Heritage report debunking good Al and his B.S.

    #5 Abortion – Not sure how you left this out, because very important. Here is the deal, this is not a federal issue. This is a state issue again. We do not want the government to tell us what to do correct? Well I am pro-life and I believe the Fed needs to just not fund abortion clinics. We will let the states deal with it. If New Yorkers want Abortion clinics next to every 7-Eleven then thats there Tax dollars.

    We need to decide do we want government telling us what to do, or not? We can not pick and choose where we want them to step in at the federal level. We can easily adopt what I said into the part platform because it fits.

    I personally want a smaller government that is less intrusive – That means dont tell me, who I can marry. What weed I can smoke, If my wife is raped, Im pretty sure God did not want that.

    We need smaller Federal Government and place more power with the states, once Americans get a taste of the Federal Government leaving them alone, they will never turn back

    • keepcoolwithcoolidge

      Agree completely.

  • runner12

    Good post Bethany. We do need to outreach to college campuses. Contrary to popular myth, there are many large Christian organizations on college campuses. Many of these
    people are Conservative, but they have been taught that politics are “bad” and will drive people away from Christ. Many of them choose not to vote. Trust me, I run into these people all of the time.

    The way to reach out and draw in these people is for the GOP to start talking about the social issues they are for, like ending human trafficking, feeding the poor, school choice and reform, etc. My generation is all about social projects and activism. They will either follow the Left’s social agenda or Conservatives’. It is high time we show them that we believe regarding these issues.

    • runner12

      kowalski. I am not able to edit for some reason. I wanted to expound upon my last sentence, or rather clarify. We have to appeal to my generations’ sense of social duty. The Left has successfully sold them their “social justice” meme,
      which is false and neo-socialist in nature. But as Conservatives, we do believe in justice and helping the less fortunate (we just believe that big government programs are not the best way of achieving this goal) and we need to share that
      with people.

  • 1stRichard

    I don’t see how the youth vote can change with what we have, especially with colleges. Please pardon my bluntness, there are too few of us on the right that have the skill and knowledge to take on some Marxist college professor on a green surrounded by an Occupy Mob, and most are not this crazy. I am in the center of the five college area of W/Mass, occasionally there is some token national conservative speaker that comes around. This typically ends in a feeding frenzy at the zoo, one of the colleges around here is know as the U-Zoo. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cJPmv1vTbjc The surrounding towns can be much more hostile. (caution; moonbat) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UAYYXCVz4Gk These colleges are such an important recruitment tool for the left they are getting in to illegal immigrants. http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/11/state_house_news_service_massa.html#incart_river Lastly, I have found most in the Tea Party unwilling to fight in this arena as well, I look behind me and they have headed for the hills, thanks. To say this may be a problem would be a huge underestimation…

  • rustyoldgarand

    An enlightening article on the age demographics of the 2012 election:

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnzogby/2012/07/05/demographics-and-the-election-of-2012-age-and-race/

    It’s Forbes, so not a lib source. Note, that this is an article from July, so it does not represent exactly the results of the election, but it comes pretty close. What the GOP doesn’t seem to get right now is that it is losing the “Nike” generation as described in this article, basically the post-boomers who are now between 30 and 50 years old, and that these people are adults with kids and mortgages, not callow children jumping at shiny objects. These people describe themselves as conservatives, and are receptive to conservative ideas, but the majority vote blue.

    If you look at Gallup’s historical polling data:

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/154559/us-presidential-election-center.aspx

    …you will find that the 30-49 age range of voters have picked the winner in the last nine elections, going back to 1980. If we cannot win this generation, then we need to take a look in the mirror, because this part of the electorate is the bellwether of national elections, and most closely represent the average American. We only lost them by 1% nationally in 2012, so the sky isn’t falling, but we might want to engage a bit more with their values and concerns.

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