« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

MEMBER DIARY

Can Santorum Win the White House?

Can former US senator Rick Santorum, who is perceived as a strong conservative, win the White House in November if he becomes the GOP nominee?

Yes, certainly, he is electable.

To get a perspective, look at the 2008 election. We had a Republican president in George W. Bush with a wildly unpopular Iraq war and then, just as the election loomed, an economic collapse. We had a lousy GOP candidate in John McCain who seemed at times to not even want to be president.

We saw Obama taking many conservative positions in order to appeal to voters (he said he favored the 2nd Amendment, nuclear power, opposed homosexual marriage etc.). We had Obama promising ‘hope and change’ to a frightened populace. Obama played ‘the race card’ all the way (i.e., elect The First Black President). There was total 120% media sycophancy for Obama.

Yet Obama only won a modest victory of 6 points over a completely hapless McCain.

So even with everything going in his direction, Obama still was not a very popular candidate; don’t let the media rewrite history. And today Obama’s popularity is much lower than it was back then. Don’t let the growing media spin fool you. It is all geared toward election day and toward dispiriting Republicans.

And since Obama was elected, his weaknesses have shown bright. We have seen big Republican wins in almost every single election from the New Jersey governorship, to NY-9 – the New York City congressional district that voted Republican for the first time since 1922 – to the November 2010 Republican landslide with more than 680 federal and state electoral seats, including governorships, going from Democrat to Republican. Even Obama’s own former US Senate seat went to Republican Mark Kirk.

So don’t think that Obama is a political juggernaut. He is not. Trends are running strongly against him in almost every demographic.

Meanwhile his media cronies continue to tout ‘the power of the incumbency’ when actually that power only applies to incumbents who are popular. Obama is not.

Can Santorum beat Obama?

Again, yes. But remember how the Democrats operate. This will be the dirtiest campaign in history, with 150% media compliance. Democrats are desperate to keep Obama in power but they are deathly afraid of his weaknesses. Don’t be fooled by the media template that Obama and the Democrats are all confident.

Americans will see through all this media bias, however, because these are trying times. This election is different. Voters are going to think very clearly about what direction the nation is going in. And right now they are very negative about Obama.

And don’t forget that the ‘occupy’ movement is going to be another albatross around Obama’s neck. Because this movement is going to explode in the Autumn of 2012 with chaos and violence. And as it is tied to Obama, it is going to alienate millions of voters.

So while Santorum certainly faces major challenges like any candidate for the presidency does, let’s consider the positive aspects of a potential Santorum candidacy:

*Santorum is not Barack Obama. He does not have the terrible economy to take responsibility for. This is the Number One issue. Don’t let the Democrats and media mislead you about contraception and other social issues.

*Santorum can rightly tie Obama to crooked corporations (non-tax-paying General Electric, Solyndra etc.), crooked Wall Street (Democrats Corzine, Madoff etc.) and crooked government (Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac).

*Santorum can be seen as a humble “man of the people” with his big family and his honest ways and his modest sweaters. Democrats always like to say that that is who they are. Nonsense. They are the party of the super-rich elite. Santorum is the real deal. He indeed is “one of us”.

*Santorum will energize conservative voters, including Christians. Millions of these voters are angry at the GOP Establishment and could stay home if Romney is the nominee. Even some conservative Democrats – so-called Reagan Democrats – will vote for Santorum.

*Liberals are calling Santorum “too conservative” and “too Christian”. This is because they are afraid that he will take on Obama bluntly and confront the nation’s moral decline foursquare. Every word that Santorum says will be heard ‘round the nation in a presidential campaign. The media cannot censor him. Thus well-chosen words will echo widely.

*Santorum does not have the ‘occupiers’ and Maxine Waters and the media smear machine doing his dirty work. And he can expose them all by going “over the heads” of the media and appealing directly to voters as Ronald Reagan did.

*Americans are very nervous about the future. Because there is not only a jobs crisis, but an energy crisis, a housing crisis and a debt crisis. Santorum is much more likely to hit Obama hard on every issue. Romney has too often seemed like a “nice guy” Republican who won’t go after Obama. This is how McCain blew it.

*As a conservative Santorum won two terms (1994-2006) in the US Senate from Pennsylvania, which is considered a ‘swing state’. His critics explain that he lost re-election by a wide margin in 2006. But that was when the Republican party was badly beaten nationally in response to the unpopularity of the Iraq war. And Santorum was beaten by a pro-life Democrat.

To see senator Santorum’s entire voting record  from issues2000.org, please go here

Santorum often seems like a good conservative, and for the most part he is. But certainly not always. In fact some conservatives call him a big-government Republican. Here is just a selection of his political positions from issues2000.org:

He wants a 0% corporate tax rate, not the current 35%. Voted to limit the power of trial lawyers. Rated only 27% by the National Education Association (teacher unions). Voted for new oil drilling in ANWR in Alaska. Has voted to end solar energy subsidies. Has a 100% free-trade voting record according to the Cato Center. Opposed McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform bill. A+ rating from the National Rifle Association. Wishes to repeal ObamaCare. Rated 0 by radical peace group SANE.

He supports the reinstatement of the Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell legislation on homosexuals in the military. He supported Bush’s Medicare prescription program. He is rated only 25% by the American Civil Liberties Union. He voted against adding sexual orientation to the definition of hate crimes.

He wants to make English the official language of the United States. He wants illegal aliens barred from Social Security. Rated 0 by the AFL-CIO for an anti-union voting record. Says public-employee unions have bankrupted states.

He supported raising the Social Security retirement age. Wants to eliminate the “death tax”. Wants capital gains tax reduced. Opposes internet sales tax. Wants to stop Iran from getting nukes.

Santorum promotes marriage and the nuclear family. Wants to block-grant Medicaid, welfare and food stamps to states. Says Great Society program of the 1960s fractured families. Santorum is strongly Christian. He has said that the poor should get school choice vouchers.

So if you look at Santorum’s record, it would have wide appeal because
Americans still are generally much more conservative than liberal.

And if he can cut through the media caricature of him over his Christian faith, he could win the White House. Don’t be swayed by the radical media template. Because the same people said that Ronald Reagan was unelectable just a few months before Reagan trounced Jimmy Carter.

Rick Santorum, however, is not Ronald Reagan. But then again, nobody knew who Ronald Reagan really was until after he got elected.

Please visit my blog at www.nikitas3.com for more conservative insights. And enjoy the lively new Arts section.

Get Alerts

COMMENTS

  • mikeymike143

    he has the support of the rank and file republicans.

    • nocontest

      No to stem cell research and he believes if your daughter gets raped she should keep the baby. The baby should be considered a ‘gift’ even though it was conceived in a terrible way.

      Does anyone really think he can go up against Obama?

      Scraping the bottom is what we are doing Mitt, Newt, Rick, and Mr.Paul is this the best we can do?

      We aren’t in this to win

      • WmCraig

        One of the issues I am concerned with, and it goes to the core of the concept of “open primaries” is that the tea party movement was not about “winning” but about fixing the country.

        People repeatedly argue that their candidate is “electable”. This could be political suicide for the Republican party. The American people are (in my opinion) disgusted with the direction of government, and with Washington’s intrusions in particular. We all recognize the importance of good government, but Washington has become imperialistic, targeting the independence of it’s own people and their properly elected self governing entities for enslavement.

        Electing the next “would be emperor” to preside over the abomination Washington has become might simply hasten the end game and play into the progressives hand to “re-write” the constitution to create a more fair, just and autocratic monarchy. Of course they won’t call it that. They will use the term peoples republic or some other propaganda but the result is the same. Domination by an elite few located in a capital thousands of miles from where most people live and concerned first and foremost with their own survival at the expense of liberty and prosperity for all.

        We need to remember that in 2010 people were voting to fix the country. That the house members elected and sent to Washington got sucked under surface in the Boehner’s swamp does not change the reason they were sent. Washington is out of control and can’t be “adjusted”, it needs to be fixed. And the only way to fix it is to down size it. There is no slow painless way to downsize Washington.

        Nothing I have seen from any of the Republican candidates convinces me that they want to downsize Washington. All the candidates strike me as big government supporters, more interested in getting their hands on the control of all that power and money than they are in restoring liberty. The price of not shutting down the government under Obama’s watch is that it will never happen under our watch because we would get the blame. So the next Republican president, assuming there is such a thing will either have to be dedicated to restoring liberty by restoring independence to the states or he will simply be a temporary custodian for the next round of progressive subjugation.

        For the record, regardless of who wins the presidency, control of both houses of Congress could yield a solution that would solve all the problems.

      • jeffreywturner

        you should really re-think your condemnation of Santorum for his belief in principles which millions of people have given their lives for.

        Furthermore when you compare Santorum to Obama on these issues and imply that Obama is somehow the one who is less extreme, it indicates that you have no clue about Obama’s stances on them. You should really do some research.

        • rogsterling63

          millions more do not. He is a losing proposition

          • Agelaius

            He can pivot to economic issues and win. Also, even though some may feel his beliefs are out of the mainstream, any candidate of a major party gets taken seriously. His beliefs are not that far out from most Americans, and if we keep focused on the economy, personal liberty and responsibility, and maintaining US power abroad, he can win. The election will not be decided on birth control. He has good foreign policy experience, he’s smart, and he resembles the mainstream American voter – he is not of the elite. He’s more electable than Romney, and Santorum can defuse this 99% bs better than Romney.

      • David123

        nt

        • SoFiMil

          This should be the Republicans’ response every time, ala Newt.

  • renny

    any one of the current candidates can win, although I would prefer not Paul. Santorum has to hit ec. more and religion less, but I could vote for him. Newt has to emote less, but he has a proven record of “getting things done,” and despite his serial marriages and whatnot, I could vote for him. And I can vote for Romney, altho’ he is the most bloodless of them all.
    I think, despite the horror on the left at the tidal wave of response against o in his misquoting of Christ at his prayer breakfast and his edict on ocare against Catholics and his “hurt feelings” and not being believed in his religious, these diversions have traction with the electorate. The left is shocked, shocked for real, but maybe all this disruption is a good thing. People may as well know what principles count and which don’t.

    They are all electable. I wish we could pick one and get down to business, but it does not hurt to know as much as we can, and if it comes out now, it will be less influential in Sept. and Oct. Let the socialists vent. They are spending us into oblivion, and the country is not ignorant of their depredations.

  • haners

    New Michigan/Rosetta Stone post-debate poll has Romney at 36 and Santorum at 33.

    Among registered Republicans in Michigan:

    Romney 42
    Santorum 33
    Paul 8
    Gingrich 8

    Santorum is only still close to Romney because Democrats in Michigan are going for Santorum 36% versus Romney 3%

    http://www.tnr.com/sites/default/files/Michigan%20Mitchell_Rosetta%20Stone%20Feb%2023.pdf

    • JSobieski

      there is also a real possibility that Santorum is getting genuine support from Reagan democrat elements (UAW democrats who are socially conservative and like the favorable tax treatment for manufacturers)

      People underestimate the extent to which Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania democrats are a somewhat different than democrats nationally.

      • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

        t

      • haners

        http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2012_pennsylvania_president

        “Mitt Romney runs neck-and-neck with President Obama in the key electoral state of Pennsylvania, but Rick Santorum, a former U.S. senator from the Keystone State, trails the incumbent by six points. Most voters in the state disapprove of the job the president is doing.

        “New Rasmussen Reports data shows that if Romney is the Republican presidential nominee, Obama leads 45% to 44%.”

        • JSobieski

          nt

          • lapert

            I understand that they are poor predictors of the election in November but why would you think that comparative performance by different candidates in the same poll doesn’t tell you something about their relative competitiveness?

          • Agelaius

            They are very much the polling group of mainline establishment Republicans, those who support Romney. The fact that Rassmussen tweaks their polls can be very useful in terms of drumming up support in the general, but in the primaries it can be confusing. I think other pollers might be more reliable, and Santorum’s strength might be greater than Rassmussen suggests.

          • jamesm

            I thought Rasmussen was at least legitimate. I was surpised to see the latest poll. Should be close in Mich.

          • lapert

            What tweaks do you think they are doing that would benefit Romney in a head to head matchup but not Santorum in the same population?

          • Agelaius

            I do know that Rassmussen had some accuracy issues in the past and tended to get more accurate as the election date approached. But that is a good question. Is the sample truly random? Are they asking the same indivuduals sequentially about their preferences w/r/t Obama? If so it would be hard for them to tweak the polls and I am probably wrong

    • Agelaius

      I think our voters may still come home to Santorum in time. Romney did himself no favors with his more recent, clumsy attempts at pandering. And remember that it’s not so much about Republican voters as independent ones. There are Christian independents who will put us over the top in November – we can’t win with Republicans only and Santorum will bring more independents.

      I also like that Santorum went after colleges and professors as engines of indoctrination – that will work well with Michiganders who resent liberal elites and the higher education they use to lord it over them. They realize that people with social work degrees won’t put Michigan back to work, but if capitalism is unleashed and unrestricted, with minimal or no government oversight, they will soon have jobs – which is better than unemployment. They also have a greater chance in the informal economy – small scale agriculture and food selling and other sorts of small businesses – without health, environmental and labor restrictions weighing them down. Let’s face facts – in today’s world, low-education Michigan workers are never going to recover the highly paid union jobs of the past, because that system doesn’t work and will drag down the overall economy. There has been a structural change. The Democrats pretend otherwise, but they are not realistic. Low-education workers need to retool, and Santorum has it right – college is not the way to do that, because a liberal arts education doesn’t mean much in the job market. Let them unleash their creativity in an environment in which the government does not impede them or their employers, and in which business might be convinced to return to Michigan in exchange for less taxes, access to labor at market value, and major relaxation of environmental, health and safety regulations. Unemployed Michiganders will at least have the chance to sell their labor for whatever it will bring, It’s the only way to really build a robust economy not dependent upon government or unions, and the first step in the long gradual process of returning industrial enterprise to the United States.

      In terms of the Democrats messing with us, Operation Hillarity didn’t sit well with their activists, who hate Santorum so much they can’t even stomach to vote for him for short-term strategic reasons. I think we need to listen to their fears. Give the Democrats that which they most fear. This should be a call to all of us to get out and get Santorum elected. Santorum will draw a strong contrast, mobilize people of faith, help return the United States to its Christian roots, and even make some progress on recruiting the next generation of minority GOP voters – who are more likely to join with us on moral and religious grounds, particularly Latinos. Romney is more likely to cave on the gay agenda than Santorum, and conservative African Americans and Latinos will watch and pay attention. We need someone who can speak to conservative religious Latinos, and it’s not Mitt Romney.

      This comment has gotten too long… but Santorum can win in Michigan, and democrat party activists can’t really influence it one way or another. It’s the independents who count, and particularly the relgious ones who will actually vote in November.

      • JSobieski

        is that Romney won’t motivate the opposition to vote, while Santorum certainly will.

        There is no doubt in my mind based on what I see in social media and hear in conversations that Santorum is hated by D’s in a way that Romney is not.

    • drycnty

      Is that so few have done any of their own research on the candidates.

      Santorum just flat out lied on Meet the Press yesterday and I’m the only one writing about it:

      http://www.justin.fm/2012/02/senator-santorum-flat-out-lies-about.html

      Furthermore, if voters actually did do their own research there is only one intellectually honest choice: Speaker Gingrich.

      Who has led a National election before? Who was in the trenches in 1981 to save the Reagan Tax Cuts? Who wrote down EXACTLY what he would do as Speaker if elected and then did EXACTLY as he promised?

      Let’s be honest folks no other candidate in this race can hold a candle to Newt Gingrich regardless of measurement.

  • Archer

    If any of the three of them lose against Obama, it’d have to be through incompetence in campaigning, dirty tricks, or outright voter fraud.

    So for me its not a question of “who can win” but rather what the nominee will do after they win. In my opinion, Washington needs major reforms in the way it does business. Santorum and Romney don’t have the history of being a major reformer or working for the big changes unless the big change was happening anyway and they just wanted onto the bandwagon.

    I don’t think its a good idea to ever deliberately elect a placeholder until something better comes along rather than trying your darnedest to win as much as you can. Management consultant Peter Drucker, one of Newt’s heroes, had a lot of negative things to say about playing it safe and only trying for the easily achievable victories.

    • joeydavis

      It was Santorum as a young gun in the “group of 7″ that turned over the apple cart of corruption in the house and made Gingrich’s revolution even possible. Without Santorum’s willingness to reform Washington, Gingrich wouldn’t have had the chance. Also remember Santorum helped write the welfare reform legislation, that was the biggest piece of Washington’s reform.

  • bobguzzardi

    2006 was a bad year for Republicans because of Big Government GWBush Republicans like Rick Santorum who sold out their principles for power and status.

    Pennsylvania voters who voted for Pat Toomey on principle and there are millions will not vote for Rick Santorum.

    • Dave_A

      ntxt

      • bragar

        Well, we’ve never had a sitting president that was this destructive either. Any room this guy wonders into, he’s the least qualified at everything.

  • keonemichaels

    Because he does not have a snowflakes chance in hell to win. “Moderate” Americans are too scared of the extremist right wing he represents. To think otherwise is to be seriously deluded.

    • fightnright

      The main bloc of voters that Santorum can bring to the (R) table is the small fraction of conservatives who will refuse to vote unless a very conservative presidential candidate is running on the Republican ticket. Romney will keep the vast majority of (R) voters rightly terrified that in a last term, Obama far-leftist SCOTUS appointments and a huge transfer of power to the bureaucracies will render our votes moot in the future.

      But Romney can add to our column millions of moderate, independent and secular votes, plus swing ‘anybody but Obama’ waverers, even former Obama supporters financially burned because they trusted he would transform an economy they thought tanked by eight years of a Republican administration. Obama’s economic plan has failed them, and they are sniffing the political winds, seeing if there is an alternative who doesn’t scare them off.

      These moderates and independents own the only votes up for grabs in the coming election. They have already been hurt by a radical candidate presenting as a moderate in 2008. If our candidate can be profiled as a far right-winger or a religionist (not just a family values candidate; Romney has those creds) in the months long ad wars, the Republican column will not add battleground or purple states to our tallies this November. It’s as simple as that.

      • SoFiMil

        .

      • Agelaius

        Seriously… He’s a Bishop in the Mormon Church. That isn’t a disqualification as far as I am concerned, don’t get me wrong. I could vote for a Mormon, but have issues with Mitt. But the idea that secular independents will flock to Romney is flawed.

        Romney is also not an economic alternative for independents. Like it or not, there is class resentment. Romney is so tone deaf, he brags about how many cadillacs his wife has. Again, he made the money and they have every right to drive whatever they want. But class resentment is going to play a part with those independents you describe, and Santorum is more capable of countering Obama’s populist rhetoric.

        I used to be a lot more comfortable with Romney and at one time thought a Romney-Santorum ticket would make sense. I’m less certain now.

  • davenj1

    NO!!!!

  • noogan

    I hope Santorum cannot be the GOP nominee, because if he is, it says something about the GOP which is not complimentary. Frankly, I’m most astounded by the fact that no one is reporting on these things below, because, of course, all insiders KNOW it; they’re just keeping the American people ignorant of it, by avoiding bringing it up. Has one journalist asked Santorum about this? Has any other GOP contender pointed it out? There is a history here that begs the question: Is Rick Santorum a liar and a corrupt politician? After reading some research, my answer is YES. HE IS.

    Rick Santorum has a big problem with the truth, and with ethics. He borders on criminality. Why is the GOP ignoring it, and seeking to foist this man on the American people???

    In 2006, Santorum was named the ?Most Corrupt Politician? by a political watchdog group, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington. The Pittsburgh Post Gazette reported that Santorum took the most cash from corporate lobbyists of any other politician in Washington, adding that Santorum ?has a black belt in hypocrisy?
    (10/22/2006).

    In 2006, Santorum faced difficulties in his quest for a third term. Corruption allegations dogged him everywhere he went. He trailed his Democrat opponent by double digits for most of the campaign. To try to siphon votes away from Santorum?s opponent, many of his supporters helped finance a Green Party candidate. There were suspicions that Santorum?s campaign may have violated some federal election laws. Ultimately, the Green Party candidate was denied access to the ballot and Santorum lost his seat in the Senate. The Democrat won with 59% of the vote to Santorum?s 41%. It was the biggest margin of loss for an incumbent Republican senator in US history.

    Santorum supported the invasion of Iraq. In 2006, he announced that weapons of mass destruction had been found in Iraq ? a claim later proven false.

    Santorum?s interest in weather services wasn?t limited to penalizing Americans who didn?t obey the federal weatherman. Just two days before he introduced a bill that benefited private weather services, he was paid thousands of dollars from? a private weather service.

    Among other legislative favors, Santorum was given six thousand dollars from Miller Brewing just half a year after Santorum introduced legislation to cut taxes on large brewing companies. He received three thousand dollars from US Tobacco Corp. the day after he voted against a tobacco regulation bill. The list of favors to his campaign contributors goes on and on. Taking money from corporations and then voting for legislation that favors them is called corruption.

    Rick Santorum: The ultimate Insider, Senate Liaison to The K-Street Project, and Corrupt Lobbyist

    http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-19/santorum-lobbyist-meetings-part-of-insider-history-he-rejects

    The K-Street Project: Grover Norquist, Tom Delay, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K_Street_Project

    The Gang of Four: Starring Jack Abramoff, Tom Delay, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8q7l70tmxWg

  • honoraryintern

    … including the Washington Post and New York Times, as a liberal watchdog group and by others as Democratic-leaning, left-leaning and progressive. Are you a left wing hack job if the other left wing hack jobs
    say you’re on the team?

    School district went after Rick and his family and none of the other children receiving a virtual (very little out of pocket expenses for the district) education so the libs would have an issue inthe next election. All charges were dismissed, after the election.

    An individual gave $500 under the individual limit to a candidate that he agreed with…

    How is any of that criminal? It’s just liberal hacks (are you one?) attempting to find an issue that has traction with the MisMedia (as in Mis the point)

    This is the totality of the ‘report’ on Rick’s criminal activity.

    So your candidate is Mrs. Clinton?

  • Repair_Man_Jack

    They even sound like a Maoist collective. Why not quote The Spartacus Society while we’re at it?

  • Agelaius

    I won’t say that your motives are… I think you are a genuine conservative.

    But let’s look at some of these allegations. I can’t imagine that private weather forecasting is a big enough industry to really make much impact in terms of campaign donations, and it’s certainly not a bad idea to privatize the National Weather Service anyway. Correlation is not causation. Ditto for reducing taxes on breweries. Maybe there are legitimate policy reasons for doing so. “Thousands of dollars”? $6000 is enough to “buy” Rick Santorum? I don’t think so. Sadly, fundraising is a requirement of politics and demonstrating a quid pro quo for donations for issues he may already have supported is rather difficult to do.

    And so what if he used a Green Party ruse to try to undermine his Democratic opponent? Hey, if it works…. that’s merely good politics.

    Tom Delay had some issues but I would not disparage the entire K street enterprise. They managed to move the ball pretty far forward. It takes money to play in the political system, and much of what might have been considered illegal then isn’t even remotely illegal now, after Citizens United. These issues are more nuanced. I am reluctant to entirely condemn Delay because he accomplished a lot, and Norquist is a masterful organizer.

    To place Santorum in the same category as Gingrich, Norquist and Delay only tells me that he knows how to play hardball politics whe he needs to, and against Obama we don’t want someone who is too “moral” or “principled” to get down in the weeds and do what needs to be done. Santorum is moral in other areas – if he needs to hit hard and fight hard, and if he’s learned from some masters, then that’s all to the good.

  • joeyjojoshabadoo79

    It’s Romney or bust. Just bring a clothes pin on voting day. I know i will.

  • redmymind

    BUT, let the Rombots persist in their misguided fantasies. I could use a good laugh.